NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Orleans Hornets	87		Excitement	8.2 [190]		MVP	Chris Paul (NOH): +20.9%
Houston Rockets	82		Comeback	5.0 [228]		LVP	David West (NOH): -19.8%

New Orleans Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Paul	0.21	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.15,-0.15,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,0.21	-0.04	0.25	0.00	14	59%	0.38	6	-0.17	4	100%	0.05
Rasual Butler	0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.17,0.17	0.02	0.15	0.00	2	60%	0.17	0	0.00	1	100%	0.02
Bobby Jackson	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.03	0.08	-0.01	7	64%	0.14	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jannero Pargo	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.1,0.1	0.01	0.08	-0.00	8	62%	0.16	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Morris Peterson	0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.00	5	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Melvin Ely	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	3	33%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ryan Bowen	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	5	40%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Peja Stojakovic	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	0.01	5	17%	-0.07	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Tyson Chandler	-0.12	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.05	-0.06	0.01	9	35%	-0.10	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
David West	-0.20	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.07,0.07,-0.03,-0.11,-0.2,-0.2	0.00	-0.19	0.01	27	46%	-0.17	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Carl Landry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	1	100%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Aaron Brooks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	-0.01	9	52%	0.05	1	-0.03	3	67%	-0.01
Rafer Alston	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.04	0.03	-0.01	13	43%	0.04	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.02
Bonzi Wells	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	0.00	3	60%	0.05	2	-0.06	4	50%	-0.02
Luther Head	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04	-0.04	0.01	-0.05	0.01	11	46%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Luis Scola	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	0.01	0.00	6	50%	0.03	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Charles Hayes	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	2	50%	-0.00	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Shane Battier	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	4	25%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Yao Ming	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.04,0,-0.04,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.18,-0.18	-0.18	-0.06	-0.11	0.02	24	51%	0.19	6	-0.37	11	73%	0.05

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.3	1.8	27.4	15.7	25.0	1.8	35.0	130.9
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NOH +27.5%

HOU -8.6%

NOH +7.5%

NOH +28.2%

HOU -4.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NOH	HOU	NBA	NOH	HOU	NBA
this game	16.5	15.5	15.4	96.7	91.1	105.7
season	15.9	16.2		109.6	104.6
opponent	15.2	15.7		100.3	104.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NOH	16.3	17.5	17.2	15.1	16.5
HOU	16.4	15.3	14.1	16.2	15.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Orleans Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Morris Peterson	42	42	0.78	-0.28	1.06	0.46	11	-6	17	14.8	18.0	-3.26	15.6	15.4	0.22
Rasual Butler	12	13	0.70	-0.20	0.91	0.44	9	-4	13	10.3	17.4	-7.12	16.7	15.3	1.39
Chris Paul	73	73	0.63	-0.13	0.76	0.34	10	-5	15	15.7	20.0	-4.32	15.5	15.3	0.25
Jannero Pargo	36	37	0.58	-0.08	0.65	0.46	4	1	3	16.2	16.7	-0.56	16.1	15.1	1.03
David West	74	73	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.39	4	1	3	16.6	16.2	0.30	15.5	15.5	-0.04
Tyson Chandler	74	73	0.35	0.15	0.19	-0.01	12	-7	19	16.5	16.4	0.15	16.5	11.4	5.11
Peja Stojakovic	49	49	0.26	0.24	0.02	-0.01	9	-4	13	16.3	16.7	-0.43	15.5	15.5	-0.07
Bobby Jackson	32	31	-0.38	0.88	-1.27	-0.12	-9	14	-23	19.7	14.7	5.04	13.8	16.4	-2.58
Melvin Ely	29	31	-0.46	0.96	-1.41	-0.10	-12	17	-29	17.7	15.9	1.76	13.9	16.3	-2.39
Ryan Bowen	29	28	-0.46	0.96	-1.42	-0.08	-13	18	-31	19.4	15.1	4.25	15.0	15.7	-0.73

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Luis Scola	52	52	0.22	-0.72	0.94	0.07	5	-10	15	15.2	15.9	-0.77	17.6	15.0	2.60
Bonzi Wells	26	26	0.13	-0.63	0.76	-0.02	5	-10	15	15.8	15.4	0.49	18.7	15.6	3.08
Carl Landry	12	11	0.11	-0.61	0.71	-0.04	5	-10	15	16.1	15.4	0.67	17.9	16.3	1.61
Charles Hayes	35	35	-0.12	-0.38	0.27	0.00	-4	-1	-3	16.6	14.8	1.80	16.0	16.8	-0.77
Aaron Brooks	45	45	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.34	2	-7	9	13.8	17.2	-3.36	17.2	15.8	1.40
Rafer Alston	76	75	-0.52	0.02	-0.53	-0.43	-3	-2	-1	15.9	13.6	2.28	16.1	18.6	-2.52
Yao Ming	78	79	-0.61	0.11	-0.71	-0.31	-10	5	-15	15.4	16.1	-0.67	16.3	17.9	-1.61
Shane Battier	64	64	-0.63	0.13	-0.76	-0.34	-10	5	-15	15.4	15.8	-0.49	15.6	18.7	-3.08
Luther Head	62	63	-0.81	0.31	-1.11	-0.37	-15	10	-25	15.9	14.5	1.40	15.9	18.0	-2.14

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.41,0.43,0.4,0.37,0.38,0.34,0.34,0.38,0.49,0.47,0.44,0.46,0.47,0.46,0.46,0.39,0.39,0.3,0.34,0.4,0.41,0.39,0.36,0.32,0.29,0.28,0.34,0.52,0.56,0.7,0.78,0.71,0.83,0.68,0.7,0.7,0.67,0.75,0.72,0.76,0.42,0
Game		Similarity Score
CLE 98, BOS 96	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.45,0.43,0.43,0.39,0.4,0.38,0.32,0.35,0.38,0.36,0.38,0.42,0.42,0.37,0.33,0.29,0.36,0.33,0.36,0.37,0.32,0.37,0.31,0.36,0.33,0.35,0.32,0.31,0.37,0.52,0.68,0.74,0.74,0.66,0.52,0.63,0.59,0.6,0.66,0.69,0.79,0.77,0.42,0	92.5%
TOR 92, DET 90	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.52,0.52,0.5,0.47,0.45,0.34,0.39,0.37,0.45,0.42,0.5,0.44,0.48,0.47,0.44,0.33,0.39,0.42,0.44,0.39,0.31,0.2,0.22,0.26,0.4,0.42,0.45,0.3,0.29,0.35,0.38,0.48,0.52,0.72,0.58,0.62,0.71,0.71,0.73,0.74,0.65,0.73,0.61,0.72,0.67,0.41,0	92.1%
DET 80, UTA 78	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.53,0.45,0.39,0.37,0.35,0.31,0.36,0.37,0.36,0.44,0.47,0.42,0.37,0.37,0.34,0.36,0.44,0.33,0.3,0.37,0.32,0.34,0.37,0.33,0.36,0.26,0.23,0.24,0.23,0.29,0.4,0.54,0.48,0.57,0.62,0.73,0.69,0.64,0.78,0.76,0.71,0.68,0.42,0	91.1%