NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Chicago Bulls	100		Excitement	11.2 [23]		MVP	Rodney Stuckey (DET): +20.7%
Detroit Pistons	94		Comeback	23.3 [63]		LVP	Tayshaun Prince (DET): -33.0%

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kyle Korver	0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.16,0.18	0.09	0.09	0.00	6	87%	0.21	1	-0.04	3	100%	0.03
Joakim Noah	0.15	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.07	0.10	0.01	15	59%	0.17	1	-0.01	4	100%	0.08
Richard Hamilton	0.03	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	-0.00	-0.01	12	54%	0.05	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Derrick Rose	0.01	0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0.03,0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,0.03,0.03,-0.14,-0.2,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.02,0.02,0.01	-0.14	0.14	-0.01	22	46%	0.26	7	-0.25	8	62%	0.13
Jimmy Butler	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Omer Asik	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ronnie Brewer	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.01	-0.00	5	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Taj Gibson	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	4	40%	-0.01	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
CJ Watson	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.04	-0.07	0.00	5	33%	-0.07	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.04
Carlos Boozer	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.19,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11	-0.02	-0.09	0.00	13	54%	0.08	3	-0.20	2	50%	-0.01
Luol Deng	-0.31	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.31,-0.31,-0.31,-0.31	-0.13	-0.19	-0.01	8	12%	-0.15	2	-0.16	0	0%	0.00

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rodney Stuckey	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.06,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.07,-0.03,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.18,0.21	0.21	0.14	0.08	0.01	19	57%	0.21	0	0.00	18	72%	-0.08
Will Bynum	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ben Wallace	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Damien Wilkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ben Gordon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.05	0.00	5	64%	0.05	3	-0.11	4	100%	0.02
Brandon Knight	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.09	-0.01	-0.01	10	59%	0.13	7	-0.22	2	100%	0.02
Charlie Villanueva	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.02	-0.07	0.00	15	43%	-0.07	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jason Maxiell	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12	-0.12	-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	9	33%	-0.00	2	-0.12	0	0%	0.00
Greg Monroe	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.05	-0.12	-0.01	13	43%	-0.10	2	-0.06	4	75%	0.00
Tayshaun Prince	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.18,-0.18,-0.27,-0.27,-0.33,-0.33,-0.33,-0.33	-0.33	-0.12	-0.21	0.00	8	25%	-0.26	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	27.5	1.8	30.2	18.6	29.3	0.5	48.0	1.8	16.0	173.8
league avg	25.5	2.3	29.8	14.2	26.9	2.3	33.6	1.9	17.4	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI +42.8%

CHI +14.4%

CHI +20.8%

DET -31.3%

CHI +3.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	DET	NBA	CHI	DET	NBA
this game	15.6	15.4	15.6	98.0	91.3	102.8
season	16.0	16.3		104.7	99.5
opponent	15.4	15.9		104.4	97.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
CHI	15.5	17.2	15.4	15.3	13.3	15.6
DET	17.2	14.8	13.4	16.0	16.7	15.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Joakim Noah	77	78	0.90	-0.40	1.31	0.26	22	-16	38	14.8	17.9	-3.05	16.4	12.6	3.81
Derrick Rose	86	86	0.88	-0.38	1.25	0.35	18	-12	30	14.8	19.8	-5.02	16.1	12.2	3.92
Kyle Korver	51	52	0.78	-0.28	1.05	0.25	18	-12	30	16.1	15.0	1.12	16.4	14.5	1.89
Luol Deng	84	88	0.76	-0.26	1.01	0.37	13	-7	20	15.0	18.4	-3.41	15.9	13.1	2.79
Carlos Boozer	80	80	0.67	-0.17	0.85	0.23	15	-9	24	15.7	15.0	0.74	16.4	12.2	4.21
Jimmy Butler	2	1	-0.04	0.54	-0.59	-0.01	-1	7	-8	2.5	15.8	-13.34	7.0	15.5	-8.53
Richard Hamilton	41	40	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	-0.00	-3	9	-12	15.7	15.5	0.17	15.6	15.4	0.21
Omer Asik	22	22	-0.23	0.73	-0.95	0.13	-12	18	-30	16.6	15.3	1.29	13.1	16.1	-2.94
Taj Gibson	23	24	-0.36	0.86	-1.22	0.02	-13	19	-32	17.9	14.9	2.96	11.9	16.5	-4.66
Ronnie Brewer	27	26	-0.38	0.88	-1.27	0.03	-14	20	-34	16.6	15.2	1.43	12.0	16.6	-4.61
CJ Watson	24	25	-0.66	1.16	-1.82	-0.07	-20	26	-46	17.3	15.1	2.24	12.8	16.3	-3.44

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Damien Wilkins	33	35	0.30	-0.80	1.11	-0.11	14	-20	34	14.9	15.7	-0.84	17.4	14.6	2.73
Ben Gordon	59	58	0.29	-0.79	1.08	-0.09	13	-19	32	14.2	17.2	-3.03	16.2	14.8	1.42
Jason Maxiell	65	63	0.14	-0.64	0.78	0.17	-1	-5	4	15.7	15.1	0.58	15.0	16.6	-1.64
Will Bynum	9	7	0.05	-0.55	0.60	0.02	1	-7	8	16.2	15.4	0.85	16.1	15.5	0.61
Ben Wallace	21	21	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.17	0	-6	6	15.1	15.5	-0.44	17.5	15.1	2.39
Charlie Villanueva	37	37	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	-0.09	-5	-1	-4	15.3	15.5	-0.19	17.3	14.6	2.65
Greg Monroe	80	80	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.17	-5	-1	-4	15.7	14.7	1.02	15.3	16.7	-1.41
Rodney Stuckey	67	67	-0.61	0.11	-0.73	-0.14	-16	10	-26	16.3	13.9	2.39	14.6	17.5	-2.95
Tayshaun Prince	70	67	-0.80	0.30	-1.11	-0.22	-20	14	-34	15.7	14.9	0.84	14.6	17.4	-2.73
Brandon Knight	74	75	-1.14	0.64	-1.79	-0.82	-11	5	-16	15.4	15.7	-0.34	15.4	16.0	-0.52

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.43,0.39,0.39,0.32,0.36,0.35,0.31,0.36,0.38,0.35,0.44,0.42,0.47,0.51,0.48,0.42,0.48,0.54,0.51,0.44,0.36,0.27,0.24,0.2,0.13,0.12,0.14,0.23,0.2,0.21,0.34,0.48,0.52,0.58,0.66,0.79,0.76,0.77,0.59,0.65,0.67,0.53,0.63,0.57,0.84,0.46,0.53,0.54,0.22,0.04,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 100, DEN 94	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.46,0.44,0.45,0.41,0.45,0.47,0.39,0.4,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.42,0.46,0.48,0.39,0.29,0.31,0.25,0.2,0.2,0.19,0.18,0.22,0.24,0.2,0.21,0.32,0.35,0.44,0.63,0.67,0.62,0.48,0.52,0.67,0.72,0.7,0.54,0.6,0.47,0.71,0.55,0.85,0.54,0.45,0.45,0.32,0.04,0	89.6%
MIA 93, ATL 88	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.45,0.36,0.36,0.33,0.3,0.38,0.38,0.34,0.3,0.36,0.33,0.33,0.36,0.46,0.41,0.46,0.46,0.39,0.33,0.22,0.31,0.28,0.36,0.22,0.19,0.35,0.41,0.41,0.41,0.52,0.56,0.54,0.52,0.66,0.72,0.73,0.74,0.71,0.62,0.61,0.63,0.57,0.42,0.46,0.55,0.37,0.57,0.08,0	88.6%
DET 88, CLE 81	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.5,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.41,0.4,0.34,0.3,0.28,0.28,0.34,0.36,0.42,0.4,0.35,0.36,0.28,0.26,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.31,0.28,0.2,0.17,0.14,0.21,0.29,0.41,0.44,0.4,0.48,0.5,0.57,0.62,0.71,0.77,0.82,0.66,0.72,0.69,0.66,0.43,0.42,0.46,0.47,0.36,0.17,0.09,0	88.0%