NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Dallas Mavericks	108		Excitement	10.1 [52]		MVP	Jason Terry (DAL): +39.3%
Los Angeles Lakers	112		Comeback	3.8 [309]		LVP	Metta World Peace (LAL): -23.3%

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jason Terry	0.39	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.2,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.11,0.26,0.26,0.39,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.39	0.15	0.24	-0.01	15	70%	0.39	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Kidd	0.11	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.03	0.02	7	93%	0.13	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Vince Carter	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.03	0.02	-0.00	5	58%	0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Brendan Haywood	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.06	-0.04	0.00	5	75%	0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Ian Mahinmi	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	1	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Shawn Marion	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.00	-0.02	-0.00	9	50%	0.01	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Delonte West	-0.04	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.06	-0.09	0.01	15	62%	0.03	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.04
Brandan Wright	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	3	25%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Dirk Nowitzki	-0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.1,-0.12,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.13,-0.18,-0.18,-0.02,-0.02,-0.11,-0.06	-0.08	-0.01	-0.02	28	41%	-0.01	2	-0.06	3	100%	0.03

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Pau Gasol	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.12,0.3,0.3,0.32	0.32	0.07	0.24	-0.00	14	59%	0.34	1	-0.02	6	100%	0.02
Ramon Sessions	0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.22,0.31,0.31,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.11	0.08	0.02	15	65%	0.22	1	-0.05	4	75%	0.00
Matt Barnes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.05	0.09	-0.00	7	69%	0.17	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.03
Josh McRoberts	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.06	0.06	0.00	4	80%	0.12	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Andrew Bynum	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.19,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.05,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.01,0.01,0.11,0.11,0.07	0.07	-0.06	0.12	-0.01	24	41%	0.13	2	-0.06	8	62%	-0.06
Devin Ebanks	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.03	-0.00	0.02	5	60%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steve Blake	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0,0,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	4	50%	0.04	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Metta World Peace	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.14,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.23,-0.23	-0.23	-0.04	-0.20	-0.01	20	40%	-0.21	1	-0.03	5	80%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	23.6	2.7	32.2	19.4	25.4	2.7	35.1	1.7	17.8	160.6
league avg	25.5	2.3	29.8	14.2	26.9	2.3	33.6	1.9	17.4	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +22.2%

LAL +1.4%

LAL +28.9%

DAL -8.6%

LAL +6.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DAL	LAL	NBA	DAL	LAL	NBA
this game	15.5	17.5	15.6	111.3	116.7	102.8
season	15.5	16.2		101.6	103.8
opponent	15.1	15.5		103.5	100.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
DAL	13.6	16.0	16.3	15.9	16.9	15.5
LAL	16.4	17.6	16.5	18.4	20.6	17.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Vince Carter	39	39	0.12	-0.62	0.74	0.09	1	-5	6	14.4	16.3	-1.92	17.3	17.6	-0.30
Brandan Wright	17	16	0.00	-0.50	0.51	0.12	-4	0	-4	16.1	15.4	0.67	15.6	17.8	-2.28
Ian Mahinmi	15	15	-0.08	-0.42	0.33	0.01	-3	-1	-2	14.9	15.6	-0.68	14.9	17.9	-3.07
Jason Kidd	61	61	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.15	2	-6	8	15.6	15.3	0.27	17.8	16.9	0.95
Dirk Nowitzki	80	78	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.38	5	-9	14	15.5	15.6	-0.10	17.4	17.9	-0.53
Brendan Haywood	67	67	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.29	0	-4	4	15.7	15.1	0.63	18.5	15.0	3.52
Delonte West	72	71	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.21	-5	1	-6	15.3	16.0	-0.67	16.9	19.0	-2.03
Jason Terry	68	66	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.31	-6	2	-8	15.7	15.1	0.62	17.3	17.7	-0.40
Shawn Marion	58	59	-0.59	0.09	-0.67	-0.41	-6	2	-8	15.8	15.1	0.63	17.7	17.1	0.53

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Metta World Peace	73	74	0.74	-0.24	0.99	0.51	8	-4	12	17.8	16.2	1.63	16.4	12.6	3.80
Matt Barnes	61	61	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.32	7	-3	10	17.6	17.2	0.41	15.6	15.4	0.14
Pau Gasol	79	80	0.50	-0.00	0.51	0.44	2	2	0	17.4	17.5	-0.09	16.0	13.3	2.68
Andrew Bynum	78	80	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.24	4	0	4	17.6	16.8	0.84	15.6	15.0	0.61
Ramon Sessions	71	73	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.04	2	2	0	17.1	18.6	-1.49	15.3	16.2	-0.99
Devin Ebanks	32	33	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.06	-1	5	-6	17.2	17.6	-0.36	15.3	15.6	-0.26
Josh McRoberts	34	33	-0.10	0.60	-0.71	-0.10	0	4	-4	17.6	17.4	0.16	14.6	16.0	-1.41
Steve Blake	44	43	-0.16	0.66	-0.82	0.02	-6	10	-16	16.5	18.3	-1.77	13.8	16.9	-3.04

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.45,0.39,0.35,0.38,0.41,0.37,0.35,0.31,0.32,0.37,0.36,0.33,0.4,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.4,0.44,0.36,0.33,0.41,0.33,0.37,0.4,0.42,0.39,0.42,0.42,0.52,0.55,0.48,0.48,0.47,0.54,0.62,0.53,0.38,0.42,0.31,0.24,0.34,0.38,0.72,0.69,0.73,0.54,0.47,0.46,0.78,0.92,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 127, PHX 135	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.51,0.41,0.43,0.4,0.38,0.32,0.32,0.4,0.32,0.45,0.44,0.42,0.37,0.39,0.41,0.39,0.39,0.33,0.3,0.29,0.34,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.29,0.35,0.31,0.28,0.37,0.52,0.5,0.48,0.57,0.43,0.32,0.25,0.24,0.17,0.32,0.71,0.67,0.84,0.46,0.55,0.45,0.67,0.96,1	91.5%
NOH 108, IND 117	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.4,0.36,0.35,0.35,0.36,0.34,0.37,0.42,0.42,0.35,0.34,0.31,0.36,0.4,0.37,0.39,0.41,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.41,0.46,0.43,0.45,0.57,0.55,0.42,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.66,0.66,0.53,0.43,0.28,0.31,0.2,0.34,0.45,0.45,0.78,0.91,0.54,0.62,0.88,0.99,1,1	89.9%
MEM 116, SAC 127	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.42,0.36,0.36,0.32,0.33,0.31,0.3,0.29,0.24,0.35,0.42,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.56,0.61,0.54,0.46,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.64,0.52,0.39,0.38,0.42,0.45,0.44,0.52,0.4,0.46,0.48,0.52,0.58,0.53,0.31,0.24,0.46,0.69,0.63,0.55,0.73,0.54,0.39,0.36,0.69,0.98,1	89.6%