NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Memphis Grizzlies	116		Excitement	12.2 [9]		MVP	Kevin Martin (SAC): +36.6%
Sacramento Kings	127		Comeback	6.9 [168]		LVP	Tyreke Evans (SAC): -14.3%

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Zach Randolph	0.20	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.14,0.03,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.07	0.12	-0.01	21	61%	0.46	4	-0.26	7	86%	0.03
Allen Iverson	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.04,0.12,0.02,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.01	0.09	-0.00	9	61%	0.21	2	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Marc Gasol	0.11	0,0,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.00	0.09	-0.01	11	55%	0.21	3	-0.11	7	86%	0.06
Rudy Gay	0.10	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.22,0.29,0.22,0.16,0.1,0.1	-0.06	0.14	-0.03	23	42%	0.14	2	-0.04	4	50%	-0.07
Hasheem Thabeet	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mike Conley	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	-0.02	-0.01	11	54%	0.04	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Steven Hunter	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0	75%	0.03	2	-0.07	4	75%	-0.01
Sam Young	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
O.J. Mayo	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.05,0.02,0,0,0,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.09,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09	-0.02	-0.07	-0.00	20	51%	0.01	4	-0.10	3	67%	0.00
DeMarre Carroll	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.07	-0.03	0.00	3	0%	-0.07	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevin Martin	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.01,0,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.21,0.25,0.31,0.31,0.28,0.33,0.3,0.26,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.39,0.33,0.33,0.19,0.19,0.18,0.18,0.37,0.37	0.37	0.23	0.16	0.03	27	67%	0.44	3	-0.07	18	72%	0.00
Beno Udrih	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.1,0.1,0.23,0.51,0.42,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.36	0.36	0.04	0.31	-0.01	12	67%	0.50	3	-0.14	0	0%	0.00
Spencer Hawes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.29,0.29,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23	0.23	0.07	0.17	0.02	17	55%	0.26	1	-0.03	4	75%	0.01
Andres Nocioni	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.08,0.06,0.07	0.07	0.04	0.06	0.03	9	59%	0.08	1	-0.01	4	75%	0.02
Jon Brockman	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	1	100%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Desmond Mason	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Thompson	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.04	0.04	0.01	8	39%	0.04	1	-0.05	2	50%	-0.02
Kenny Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sean May	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.06	0.00	-0.02	5	20%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Omri Casspi	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.21,0.19,0.19,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	0.09	-0.18	-0.04	9	75%	0.16	1	-0.22	2	0%	-0.04
Tyreke Evans	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.10	-0.03	0.01	4	21%	-0.09	2	-0.05	6	50%	-0.05

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	28.2	1.6	28.4	17.4	27.1	2.5	38.4	1.5	18.4	163.5
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	2.0	39.8	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAC +45.5%

MEM -10.8%

SAC +4.6%

SAC +16.6%

MEM -6.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MEM	SAC	NBA	MEM	SAC	NBA
this game	13.9	14.9	15.3	105.5	114.4	106.0
season	15.4	15.2		106.8	103.7
opponent	15.0	15.0		108.5	108.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
MEM	12.6	14.9	14.5	14.0	12.8	13.9
SAC	16.8	13.9	14.3	14.8	14.3	14.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Zach Randolph	85	86	0.32	-0.82	1.14	0.09	8	-19	27	13.6	14.8	-1.20	16.0	11.0	4.94
Hasheem Thabeet	2	2	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	0.04	-3	-8	5	13.0	13.9	-0.93	14.5	14.9	-0.37
Sam Young	7	7	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	0.03	-4	-7	3	20.1	13.5	6.66	11.0	15.1	-4.13
Steven Hunter	15	14	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.02	-3	-8	5	15.3	13.7	1.65	12.8	15.2	-2.38
Allen Iverson	39	41	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	-0.05	-7	-4	-3	12.7	14.6	-1.85	13.5	15.7	-2.18
Marc Gasol	101	103	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.16	-5	-6	1	14.0	12.4	1.60	15.0	13.7	1.20
Mike Conley	74	75	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	-0.17	-6	-5	-1	14.3	13.1	1.23	14.9	14.8	0.09
O.J. Mayo	97	99	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.19	-7	-4	-3	13.4	17.8	-4.46	15.3	11.5	3.77
Rudy Gay	97	97	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.20	-8	-3	-5	13.7	15.2	-1.50	14.8	15.6	-0.81
DeMarre Carroll	33	31	-0.83	0.33	-1.16	-0.24	-20	9	-29	14.9	13.5	1.39	14.1	15.2	-1.07

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Andres Nocioni	45	48	0.90	-0.40	1.31	0.41	17	-6	23	14.0	15.5	-1.53	12.2	15.3	-3.09
Beno Udrih	62	59	0.82	-0.32	1.14	0.03	27	-16	43	14.4	15.5	-1.08	13.9	13.9	0.05
Omri Casspi	64	62	0.79	-0.28	1.07	0.14	22	-11	33	14.2	15.8	-1.56	14.2	13.6	0.61
Spencer Hawes	94	90	0.54	-0.04	0.59	0.10	15	-4	19	15.0	14.4	0.60	13.6	15.2	-1.58
Kevin Martin	110	108	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.22	10	1	9	14.9	12.0	2.89	14.0	9.5	4.49
Jason Thompson	55	60	0.27	0.23	0.03	0.21	2	9	-7	14.9	14.8	0.09	15.3	12.3	3.02
Jon Brockman	15	15	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	-0.05	1	10	-9	14.5	14.9	-0.46	10.5	14.5	-3.99
Sean May	17	17	-0.15	0.65	-0.80	0.17	-11	22	-33	15.6	14.7	0.92	17.1	13.3	3.80
Desmond Mason	12	13	-0.19	0.69	-0.88	0.10	-10	21	-31	17.7	14.5	3.23	15.2	13.7	1.41
Tyreke Evans	49	51	-0.32	0.82	-1.14	0.15	-16	27	-43	15.5	14.4	1.08	13.9	13.9	-0.05
Kenny Thomas	32	27	-0.65	1.15	-1.79	-0.59	-2	13	-15	15.7	14.5	1.20	13.3	14.1	-0.86

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.42,0.36,0.36,0.32,0.33,0.31,0.3,0.29,0.24,0.35,0.42,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.56,0.61,0.54,0.46,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.64,0.52,0.39,0.38,0.42,0.45,0.44,0.52,0.4,0.46,0.48,0.52,0.58,0.53,0.31,0.24,0.46,0.69,0.63,0.55,0.73,0.54,0.39,0.36,0.69,0.98,1
Game		Similarity Score
DAL 108, LAL 112	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.45,0.39,0.35,0.38,0.41,0.37,0.35,0.31,0.32,0.37,0.36,0.33,0.4,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.4,0.44,0.36,0.33,0.41,0.33,0.37,0.4,0.42,0.39,0.42,0.42,0.52,0.55,0.48,0.48,0.47,0.54,0.62,0.53,0.38,0.42,0.31,0.24,0.34,0.38,0.72,0.69,0.73,0.54,0.47,0.46,0.78,0.92,1	89.6%
NYK 102, DAL 109	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.39,0.37,0.39,0.33,0.37,0.43,0.42,0.38,0.37,0.42,0.38,0.42,0.47,0.49,0.46,0.53,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.59,0.58,0.59,0.63,0.55,0.45,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.66,0.63,0.56,0.42,0.38,0.38,0.33,0.24,0.31,0.24,0.22,0.53,0.71,0.45,0.83,0.46,0.46,0.45,0.43,0.85,1	89.1%
ATL 76, MIN 86	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.39,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.4,0.38,0.42,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.58,0.59,0.61,0.66,0.58,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.51,0.45,0.48,0.52,0.38,0.35,0.34,0.41,0.44,0.52,0.46,0.48,0.57,0.62,0.58,0.47,0.41,0.33,0.55,0.45,0.66,0.83,0.54,0.61,0.79,0.97,1,1	88.7%