NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Minnesota Timberwolves	107		Excitement	6.5 [407]		MVP	Martell Webster (MIN): +25.8%
Denver Nuggets	113		Comeback	1.1 [799]		LVP	Jose Juan Barea (MIN): -23.6%

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Martell Webster	0.26	0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.28,0.26	0.07	0.19	0.00	7	75%	0.27	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Derrick Williams	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.04,0.1,0.11,0.15,0.19,0.15,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.04	0.06	-0.03	20	61%	0.27	5	-0.14	4	100%	0.02
Anthony Randolph	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.08,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11	0.16	0.03	0.08	16	70%	0.20	2	-0.09	8	75%	-0.05
Nikola Pekovic	0.03	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.08	0.00	0.05	6	86%	0.05	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Wesley Johnson	0.01	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.07	-0.00	0.06	8	69%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Malcolm Lee	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Tolliver	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.01	-0.01	5	30%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Beasley	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	3	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Love	-0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.08	-0.00	-0.01	5	0%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jose Juan Barea	-0.24	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.24	-0.09	-0.18	-0.04	13	43%	-0.17	4	-0.07	2	50%	-0.01

Denver Nuggets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Danilo Gallinari	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,0.09,0.15,0.26,0.26,0.2	0.20	-0.01	0.17	-0.04	16	53%	0.23	3	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Arron Afflalo	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.08	0.08	0.05	14	62%	0.14	1	-0.03	6	67%	0.00
Al Harrington	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.04	0.01	-0.02	8	69%	0.11	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Kenneth Faried	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0,0,0,0.07	0.07	0.06	0.01	0.00	9	62%	0.12	1	-0.06	8	75%	0.03
JaVale McGee	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.02	-0.00	4	67%	0.07	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.03
Ty Lawson	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.03	0.03	0.07	-0.01	0.02	17	60%	0.05	2	-0.02	6	100%	0.03
Kosta Koufos	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.04	0.00	0.03	4	70%	0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Corey Brewer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.04	-0.01	7	47%	-0.01	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Andre Miller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21	-0.21	-0.11	-0.10	-0.00	3	0%	-0.08	3	-0.13	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.2	2.3	30.6	15.7	23.3	2.4	36.5	136.9
league avg	25.5	2.3	29.8	14.2	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DEN +3.1%

DEN +10.0%

DEN +21.8%

DEN +4.2%

DEN +10.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIN	DEN	NBA	MIN	DEN	NBA
this game	15.5	14.8	15.6	112.6	118.9	102.8
season	15.3	14.5		102.6	107.5
opponent	15.8	15.1		104.5	104.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIN	16.1	13.3	16.5	16.6	15.5
DEN	13.2	13.9	15.6	16.9	14.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Malcolm Lee	26	27	0.03	-0.53	0.56	0.06	-1	-5	4	15.7	15.5	0.19	16.4	14.1	2.30
Kevin Love	17	16	-0.05	-0.45	0.39	0.04	-3	-3	0	16.5	15.3	1.16	13.2	15.1	-1.94
Wesley Johnson	63	61	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.13	0	-6	6	15.1	16.3	-1.15	13.7	16.7	-3.01
Martell Webster	59	61	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.49	10	-16	26	16.5	13.9	2.57	16.0	12.7	3.26
Anthony Randolph	60	62	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	-0.39	6	-12	18	15.1	16.2	-1.13	15.7	13.2	2.48
Michael Beasley	20	20	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	0.13	-13	7	-20	15.5	15.5	-0.02	13.6	15.1	-1.52
Nikola Pekovic	40	38	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.03	-9	3	-12	15.8	15.3	0.45	12.8	16.1	-3.35
Anthony Tolliver	44	43	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	-0.20	-5	-1	-4	14.9	16.1	-1.21	15.3	14.4	0.96
Derrick Williams	72	74	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.31	-4	-2	-2	15.6	15.3	0.34	15.5	12.5	2.98
Jose Juan Barea	74	73	-0.61	0.11	-0.72	-0.29	-11	5	-16	15.3	16.2	-0.93	14.1	17.0	-2.86

Denver Nuggets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kenneth Faried	73	72	0.63	-0.13	0.76	0.37	9	-3	12	14.5	15.9	-1.38	15.2	16.3	-1.10
Arron Afflalo	75	76	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.42	5	1	4	14.2	17.1	-2.98	15.6	15.3	0.25
Ty Lawson	68	71	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.23	11	-5	16	14.8	14.9	-0.07	15.9	14.4	1.47
Danilo Gallinari	71	71	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.31	6	0	6	14.3	16.2	-1.88	15.4	16.0	-0.59
Andre Miller	50	51	0.37	0.13	0.25	0.20	6	0	6	15.7	13.8	1.98	15.3	15.8	-0.56
Kosta Koufos	28	28	0.09	0.41	-0.31	0.04	2	4	-2	14.0	15.1	-1.08	17.5	14.7	2.86
JaVale McGee	35	35	0.07	0.43	-0.36	-0.05	4	2	2	14.5	15.0	-0.45	14.7	16.0	-1.27
Al Harrington	42	42	-0.03	0.53	-0.57	0.05	-3	9	-12	15.8	14.0	1.77	15.3	15.7	-0.41
Corey Brewer	33	29	-0.24	0.74	-0.98	0.05	-10	16	-26	16.3	14.0	2.26	15.3	15.6	-0.30

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.57,0.63,0.69,0.73,0.75,0.79,0.74,0.68,0.77,0.82,0.84,0.83,0.9,0.92,0.94,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.95,0.95,0.97,0.96,0.92,0.98,0.97,0.96,0.95,0.89,0.85,0.81,0.75,0.71,0.68,0.64,0.71,0.66,0.75,0.79,0.77,0.71,1
Game		Similarity Score
BOS 95, ORL 101	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.54,0.63,0.6,0.57,0.55,0.62,0.65,0.73,0.75,0.82,0.83,0.82,0.84,0.87,0.8,0.77,0.84,0.81,0.9,0.87,0.93,0.9,0.9,0.94,0.91,0.86,0.87,0.88,0.92,0.94,0.92,0.93,0.9,0.87,0.82,0.68,0.73,0.64,0.6,0.39,0.69,0.79,0.89,0.91,1	92.4%
POR 98, MEM 102	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.5,0.54,0.52,0.51,0.61,0.63,0.62,0.65,0.62,0.65,0.72,0.69,0.66,0.71,0.74,0.77,0.77,0.87,0.86,0.85,0.86,0.93,0.93,0.94,0.93,0.94,0.9,0.84,0.9,0.95,0.93,0.94,0.94,0.81,0.84,0.88,0.89,0.88,0.89,0.84,0.78,0.8,0.78,0.84,0.85,1	92.1%
LAC 93, UTA 102	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.5,0.44,0.53,0.57,0.61,0.63,0.71,0.68,0.7,0.7,0.72,0.72,0.73,0.69,0.74,0.77,0.77,0.8,0.88,0.9,0.91,0.93,0.94,0.92,0.94,0.92,0.89,0.97,0.94,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.94,0.9,0.88,0.72,0.68,0.59,0.65,0.78,0.8,0.97,0.97,1,1	91.9%