NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	95		Excitement	6.4 [518]		MVP	Andrew DeClercq (ORL): +5.6%
Orlando Magic	101		Comeback	1.6 [633]		LVP	Eric Williams (BOS): -27.9%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Antoine Walker	0.01	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	0.00	0.02	7	64%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Vin Baker	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.01	6	65%	0.03	1	-0.02	5	100%	0.02
J.R. Bremer	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Walter McCarty	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.03	-0.03	0.01	6	67%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Shammond Williams	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.11,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.03	-0.05	0.01	11	64%	0.04	2	-0.06	3	100%	0.03
Tony Battie	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tony Delk	-0.04	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.04	-0.09	0.03	-0.01	8	28%	-0.02	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Paul Pierce	-0.24	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.05,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.22,-0.24	-0.13	-0.11	0.00	28	47%	-0.04	4	-0.19	16	100%	0.07
Eric Williams	-0.28	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.09,-0.08,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.19,-0.19,-0.28	-0.19	-0.09	-0.00	12	33%	-0.14	5	-0.14	6	100%	0.03

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Andrew DeClercq	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.04	0.01	-0.00	8	62%	0.06	0	0.00	5	60%	0.00
Mike Miller	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.05,0.03,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.01	0.00	17	59%	0.15	3	-0.11	0	0%	0.00
Ryan Humphrey	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jacque Vaughn	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.03	8	56%	0.04	3	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Jeryl Sasser	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Olumide Oyedeji	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tracy McGrady	0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	16	54%	-0.01	1	-0.02	14	57%	-0.09
Darrell Armstrong	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.03	-0.03	0.01	9	61%	0.00	3	-0.07	10	80%	-0.02
Shawn Kemp	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.10	-0.01	-0.02	6	31%	-0.04	2	-0.05	4	75%	0.00
Pat Garrity	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.12	-0.05	-0.02	9	33%	-0.10	2	-0.05	6	100%	0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.2	2.6	34.0	16.5	28.5	2.6	40.0	149.5
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ORL +39.4%

BOS -7.9%

ORL +1.1%

ORL +13.3%

ORL +4.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	ORL	NBA	BOS	ORL	NBA
this game	14.9	14.9	15.5	99.0	104.1	101.6
season	15.6	14.6		99.3	102.7
opponent	15.8	15.5		103.1	99.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	16.4	14.1	15.1	14.1	14.9
ORL	14.2	15.2	16.2	14.2	14.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
J.R. Bremer	3	3	-0.03	-0.47	0.45	-0.03	0	-6	6	13.7	15.0	-1.29	17.7	14.8	2.83
Tony Battie	30	30	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	-0.07	-3	-3	0	16.4	14.2	2.16	15.3	14.8	0.54
Walter McCarty	59	60	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	-0.34	4	-10	14	15.1	14.7	0.35	14.8	15.2	-0.38
Vin Baker	38	37	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	-0.00	-8	2	-10	13.7	15.7	-2.08	14.8	15.0	-0.19
Antoine Walker	45	44	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.00	-8	2	-10	15.7	14.3	1.41	15.2	14.7	0.55
Shammond Williams	76	75	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	-0.32	0	-6	6	14.2	17.5	-3.26	15.1	14.3	0.85
Tony Delk	72	73	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.28	-4	-2	-2	14.4	16.5	-2.06	14.6	15.8	-1.15
Paul Pierce	92	94	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.35	-3	-3	0	15.0	12.5	2.52	14.9	16.3	-1.45
Eric Williams	65	69	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.22	-8	2	-10	15.6	13.5	2.12	14.8	15.2	-0.45

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Pat Garrity	74	72	0.52	-0.02	0.53	0.25	9	-3	12	14.6	15.8	-1.18	14.3	16.7	-2.33
Jacque Vaughn	61	59	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.31	6	0	6	15.2	14.4	0.77	14.8	15.1	-0.31
Mike Miller	86	83	0.42	0.08	0.33	0.30	4	2	2	14.9	15.2	-0.29	15.2	13.2	2.04
Darrell Armstrong	60	59	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.25	5	1	4	14.4	15.7	-1.25	14.2	16.1	-1.89
Tracy McGrady	78	78	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.35	-1	7	-8	14.8	15.6	-0.88	15.3	13.3	1.95
Jeryl Sasser	17	19	0.15	0.35	-0.19	0.04	4	2	2	15.1	14.9	0.23	13.3	15.3	-2.00
Shawn Kemp	38	39	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.02	3	3	0	15.3	14.7	0.55	15.4	14.6	0.74
Ryan Humphrey	6	6	0.09	0.41	-0.33	-0.03	4	2	2	14.7	14.9	-0.28	15.7	14.9	0.80
Andrew DeClercq	42	41	0.03	0.47	-0.45	0.05	-1	7	-8	15.2	14.7	0.55	15.1	14.8	0.32
Olumide Oyedeji	23	24	-0.02	0.52	-0.53	0.07	-3	9	-12	15.8	14.6	1.18	16.7	14.3	2.33

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.54,0.63,0.6,0.57,0.55,0.62,0.65,0.73,0.75,0.82,0.83,0.82,0.84,0.87,0.8,0.77,0.84,0.81,0.9,0.87,0.93,0.9,0.9,0.94,0.91,0.86,0.87,0.88,0.92,0.94,0.92,0.93,0.9,0.87,0.82,0.68,0.73,0.64,0.6,0.39,0.69,0.79,0.89,0.91,1
Game		Similarity Score
GSW 100, DAL 107	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.48,0.53,0.63,0.69,0.64,0.65,0.65,0.71,0.75,0.74,0.79,0.86,0.92,0.88,0.87,0.78,0.81,0.84,0.87,0.88,0.94,0.93,0.92,0.91,0.89,0.93,0.94,0.87,0.78,0.81,0.8,0.84,0.9,0.85,0.78,0.71,0.76,0.63,0.74,0.76,0.54,0.75,0.79,0.9,1,1	93.3%
DET 95, WAS 99	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.59,0.57,0.61,0.64,0.64,0.63,0.69,0.76,0.66,0.7,0.76,0.72,0.77,0.73,0.71,0.7,0.77,0.85,0.84,0.85,0.84,0.9,0.92,0.9,0.94,0.96,0.92,0.92,0.93,0.96,0.95,0.94,0.91,0.87,0.81,0.71,0.67,0.58,0.53,0.53,0.47,0.53,0.72,0.89,0.96,1	93.1%
HOU 83, LAC 90	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.5,0.58,0.61,0.62,0.62,0.59,0.63,0.71,0.75,0.78,0.85,0.83,0.79,0.77,0.76,0.79,0.81,0.87,0.9,0.93,0.89,0.84,0.91,0.93,0.93,0.89,0.81,0.71,0.75,0.84,0.89,0.89,0.92,0.85,0.84,0.75,0.8,0.72,0.69,0.65,0.73,0.81,0.89,0.91,0.99,1	92.5%