NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	102		Excitement	8.6 [135]		MVP	Paul Millsap (UTA): +42.4%
Portland Trail Blazers	97		Comeback	5.2 [162]		LVP	Raymond Felton (POR): -36.8%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Paul Millsap	0.42	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.16,0.16,0.31,0.42	0.14	0.29	0.01	20	72%	0.51	3	-0.08	3	100%	0.01
Derrick Favors	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.07	0.06	0.01	7	69%	0.12	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Enes Kanter	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.06	0.00	0.01	2	100%	0.05	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Gordon Hayward	0.03	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.18,0.21,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.02,0.02,0.03	0.13	-0.07	0.03	12	67%	0.03	0	0.00	6	83%	0.00
Devin Harris	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.04	-0.00	0.01	7	53%	0.02	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
CJ Miles	-0.00	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	100%	0.03	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
DeMarre Carroll	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jamaal Tinsley	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.08,-0.08,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.05	-0.10	-0.00	4	37%	-0.06	2	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Earl Watson	-0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.10	-0.06	0.00	5	0%	-0.12	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Al Jefferson	-0.18	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.02,-0.02,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.08,-0.18	-0.05	-0.12	0.00	17	37%	-0.15	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.01
Alec Burks	-0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.13	-0.06	-0.01	8	29%	-0.07	3	-0.11	5	40%	-0.07

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Wesley Matthews	0,0,0,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.19,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.29,0.29,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.5,0.5,0.38	0.38	0.28	0.12	0.03	12	97%	0.43	2	-0.05	10	80%	-0.01
Luke Babbitt	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.06	0.00	0.00	3	100%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Hasheem Thabeet	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
LaMarcus Aldridge	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.02	0.01	22	55%	0.18	4	-0.19	5	100%	0.04
Jonny Flynn	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	-0.00	5	38%	-0.01	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Nolan Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Joel Przybilla	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.04	-0.03	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
JJ Hickson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.10	-0.03	-0.01	8	25%	-0.03	2	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Nicolas Batum	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.29	-0.29	-0.01	-0.27	0.00	17	47%	-0.08	2	-0.21	0	0%	0.00
Raymond Felton	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.23,-0.23,-0.37,-0.37	-0.37	-0.17	-0.22	-0.02	10	20%	-0.16	4	-0.21	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.2	1.8	25.6	15.5	26.3	2.0	33.0	126.4
league avg	25.5	2.3	29.8	14.2	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +7.3%

POR -7.0%

UTA +10.6%

UTA +28.7%

UTA +10.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	POR	NBA	UTA	POR	NBA
this game	16.0	14.8	15.6	110.9	102.1	102.8
season	15.8	15.7		104.0	104.1
opponent	15.4	15.1		104.7	104.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	18.1	15.2	16.7	14.2	16.0
POR	14.0	16.1	14.0	15.2	14.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jamaal Tinsley	35	36	0.76	-0.26	1.03	0.32	15	-10	25	15.2	16.5	-1.26	14.5	15.0	-0.54
Paul Millsap	67	71	0.71	-0.21	0.93	0.33	13	-8	21	15.3	18.0	-2.73	14.6	15.3	-0.64
Alec Burks	39	40	0.65	-0.15	0.80	0.56	3	2	1	16.4	15.7	0.69	15.4	14.4	1.02
Gordon Hayward	77	79	0.51	-0.01	0.53	0.37	5	0	5	16.0	16.2	-0.23	14.4	17.0	-2.63
Al Jefferson	77	80	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.35	5	0	5	15.8	17.3	-1.50	14.3	17.3	-2.92
DeMarre Carroll	8	8	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	-0.04	0	5	-5	17.1	15.9	1.22	16.5	14.7	1.84
Derrick Favors	67	69	-0.06	0.56	-0.63	-0.24	6	-1	7	16.2	15.4	0.78	15.0	14.2	0.85
Devin Harris	27	28	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	0.08	-6	11	-17	16.8	15.7	1.09	13.2	15.5	-2.26
Enes Kanter	19	18	-0.12	0.62	-0.73	0.00	-4	9	-13	17.0	15.8	1.25	17.4	14.2	3.18
CJ Miles	14	15	-0.16	0.66	-0.82	0.08	-8	13	-21	17.0	15.8	1.17	13.7	15.0	-1.28
Earl Watson	30	31	-0.17	0.67	-0.83	-0.05	-4	9	-13	16.2	15.9	0.33	16.6	13.9	2.72

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Nolan Smith	15	14	0.15	-0.65	0.79	-0.03	6	-11	17	17.7	14.3	3.39	19.1	15.5	3.61
Luke Babbitt	17	17	0.01	-0.52	0.53	-0.10	4	-9	13	17.9	14.1	3.81	18.1	15.5	2.51
Hasheem Thabeet	4	2	-0.01	-0.49	0.47	-0.01	0	-5	5	16.0	14.8	1.24	23.0	15.9	7.14
Jonny Flynn	25	24	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.01	-1	-4	3	18.2	13.6	4.60	16.1	16.0	0.10
Joel Przybilla	45	44	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	-0.15	-3	-2	-1	13.6	15.9	-2.22	16.1	15.9	0.24
JJ Hickson	53	51	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.28	-4	-1	-3	15.9	13.5	2.43	15.4	16.7	-1.30
Raymond Felton	70	68	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.34	-4	-1	-3	13.6	18.2	-4.60	16.0	16.1	-0.10
LaMarcus Aldridge	77	75	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.21	-9	4	-13	14.2	17.4	-3.25	15.8	17.1	-1.36
Wesley Matthews	82	79	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.36	-5	0	-5	14.4	17.6	-3.25	15.6	18.5	-2.94
Nicolas Batum	87	86	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	-0.27	-9	4	-13	14.6	17.5	-2.94	15.8	18.7	-2.84

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.6,0.62,0.65,0.66,0.67,0.68,0.69,0.69,0.71,0.75,0.71,0.73,0.75,0.77,0.8,0.79,0.75,0.69,0.64,0.67,0.7,0.54,0.52,0.37,0.3,0.3,0.24,0.23,0.29,0.41,0.37,0.37,0.44,0.3,0.3,0.29,0.2,0.27,0.3,0.15,0.22,0.39,0.45,0.84,0.42,0
Game		Similarity Score
NOP 120, PHX 114	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.64,0.63,0.65,0.65,0.66,0.65,0.69,0.67,0.75,0.77,0.78,0.76,0.84,0.79,0.8,0.76,0.75,0.73,0.69,0.7,0.7,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.35,0.45,0.59,0.48,0.4,0.4,0.38,0.43,0.38,0.47,0.47,0.43,0.35,0.4,0.39,0.36,0.67,0.59,0	90.0%
POR 98, TOR 97	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.51,0.55,0.59,0.63,0.65,0.67,0.65,0.69,0.73,0.69,0.72,0.76,0.83,0.79,0.77,0.75,0.72,0.75,0.76,0.64,0.61,0.56,0.51,0.6,0.49,0.33,0.3,0.24,0.23,0.2,0.31,0.41,0.48,0.36,0.38,0.38,0.29,0.17,0.1,0.26,0.41,0.47,0.75,0.72,0.86,0.73,0	89.1%
NYK 111, NJN 105	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.57,0.57,0.58,0.59,0.64,0.71,0.75,0.77,0.78,0.78,0.79,0.82,0.79,0.81,0.82,0.8,0.81,0.79,0.72,0.69,0.61,0.54,0.55,0.4,0.42,0.39,0.27,0.23,0.29,0.41,0.34,0.37,0.32,0.19,0.19,0.07,0.03,0.07,0.04,0.12,0.22,0.45,0.36,0.32,0.42,0	88.9%