NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	116		Excitement	11.3 [22]		MVP	Andrew Bynum (LAL): +55.7%
Memphis Grizzlies	111		Comeback	16.9 [49]		LVP	O.J. Mayo (MEM): -48.6%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Andrew Bynum	0.56	0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.42,0.54,0.56	0.22	0.33	-0.00	18	84%	0.64	4	-0.09	8	87%	0.02
Pau Gasol	0.11	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,0.03,0.03,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	-0.03	0.13	-0.00	14	47%	0.22	3	-0.11	2	100%	0.01
Derek Fisher	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.03	-0.01	0.02	5	67%	0.02	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Josh McRoberts	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Troy Murphy	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	2	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andrew Goudelock	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	3	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Matt Barnes	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	0.01	0.00	4	42%	0.02	2	-0.06	4	75%	0.00
Kobe Bryant	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.03,0.02,0.06,0.28,0.13,0.13,0.06,0.06,-0.05,-0.19,-0.19,-0.25,-0.36,-0.25,-0.1	0.06	-0.15	0.02	25	55%	0.06	3	-0.17	12	92%	0.06
Steve Blake	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.2,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	0.01	-0.14	0.00	5	90%	0.18	4	-0.32	0	0%	0.00
Metta World Peace	-0.14	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14	-0.09	-0.06	-0.02	7	25%	-0.12	1	-0.02	6	50%	-0.05

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Quincy Pondexter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.16,0.16,0.15	0.15	0.07	0.06	-0.02	8	75%	0.16	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dante Cunningham	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.05	0.05	-0.00	6	67%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marreese Speights	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.16,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.18,0.24,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.13	-0.03	0.01	20	61%	0.10	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Tony Allen	0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.09	0.01	0.01	12	64%	0.09	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Sam Young	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	5	40%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeremy Pargo	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Josh Selby	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mike Conley	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.14,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.01	-0.01	-0.10	0.07	-0.02	15	33%	0.05	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Hamed Haddadi	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Marc Gasol	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.19,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.21,-0.33,-0.33,-0.26,-0.26,-0.37,-0.3	-0.30	-0.08	-0.23	-0.01	25	40%	-0.16	2	-0.14	0	0%	0.00
O.J. Mayo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.33,-0.33,-0.33,-0.44,-0.49	-0.49	-0.19	-0.32	-0.02	25	28%	-0.43	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1		OT2	Total
this game	23.9	2.5	29.4	17.3	27.3	2.6	30.3	2.7	7.9	2.7	15.6	162.2
league avg	25.5	2.3	29.8	14.2	26.9	2.3	33.6	1.9	17.4	1.9	17.4	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +73.3%

LAL +36.4%

MEM -8.9%

MEM -49.6%

MEM -1.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	MEM	NBA	LAL	MEM	NBA
this game	15.4	16.1	15.6	104.5	100.9	102.8
season	16.2	15.6		103.8	102.0
opponent	15.7	15.1		100.1	103.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
LAL	13.7	14.0	16.2	18.1	15.9	15.4
MEM	15.1	15.4	15.1	18.8	16.5	16.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Steve Blake	68	68	0.95	-0.45	1.40	0.28	23	-18	41	14.9	16.2	-1.34	17.0	14.7	2.29
Andrew Bynum	91	91	0.70	-0.20	0.90	0.38	11	-6	17	15.8	13.5	2.34	16.4	14.4	2.01
Metta World Peace	70	68	0.58	-0.08	0.66	0.58	0	5	-5	16.1	14.3	1.74	16.3	15.8	0.52
Kobe Bryant	98	98	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.42	-1	6	-7	15.6	14.0	1.60	16.1	16.1	-0.00
Pau Gasol	87	86	0.33	0.17	0.17	0.54	-7	12	-19	16.0	13.4	2.60	16.0	16.2	-0.16
Andrew Goudelock	13	12	0.11	0.39	-0.28	-0.07	6	-1	7	14.0	15.6	-1.60	16.1	16.1	0.00
Troy Murphy	31	31	0.08	0.42	-0.34	-0.18	9	-4	13	12.6	16.5	-3.89	15.7	16.2	-0.47
Matt Barnes	43	43	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	-0.20	5	0	5	14.0	16.3	-2.31	15.4	16.5	-1.05
Josh McRoberts	11	11	-0.14	0.64	-0.77	-0.05	-3	8	-11	16.8	15.3	1.56	15.7	16.1	-0.39
Derek Fisher	43	42	-0.45	0.95	-1.40	0.08	-18	23	-41	16.2	14.9	1.34	14.7	17.0	-2.29

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Sam Young	49	51	0.44	-0.94	1.39	0.00	15	-20	35	15.4	16.7	-1.29	14.9	15.9	-1.02
Jeremy Pargo	1	1	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.01	0	-5	5	2.0	16.2	-14.21	10.0	15.5	-5.46
Josh Selby	1	1	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.01	0	-5	5	2.0	16.2	-14.21	10.0	15.5	-5.46
Hamed Haddadi	13	13	-0.07	-0.43	0.37	0.05	-4	-1	-3	13.7	16.4	-2.71	16.7	15.2	1.45
Tony Allen	40	41	-0.08	-0.42	0.35	-0.46	13	-18	31	14.7	16.9	-2.21	16.0	15.1	0.85
Dante Cunningham	31	30	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	0.12	-11	6	-17	14.6	16.7	-2.09	13.2	16.2	-2.99
Marreese Speights	89	90	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.38	1	-6	7	16.9	12.8	4.10	15.8	13.7	2.10
Quincy Pondexter	63	63	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	0.10	-16	11	-27	16.5	15.5	1.00	15.7	15.0	0.66
Marc Gasol	94	95	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	-0.42	1	-6	7	16.1	15.9	0.24	15.3	15.9	-0.54
Mike Conley	94	96	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.39	-4	-1	-3	16.4	14.1	2.29	16.1	11.3	4.72
O.J. Mayo	75	74	-0.96	0.46	-1.42	-0.37	-20	15	-35	17.0	14.2	2.76	14.9	16.5	-1.69

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.59,0.55,0.56,0.51,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.6,0.66,0.66,0.6,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.56,0.53,0.59,0.64,0.65,0.56,0.5,0.66,0.72,0.75,0.73,0.84,0.92,0.94,0.89,0.8,0.87,0.89,0.85,0.87,0.82,0.83,0.85,0.79,0.71,0.78,0.8,0.84,0.84,0.42,0.54,0.54,0.55,0.57,0.47,0.46,0.25,0.54,0.67,0.17,0
Game		Similarity Score
POR 80, SAS 81	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.58,0.57,0.6,0.59,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.62,0.63,0.62,0.56,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.54,0.49,0.59,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.5,0.58,0.69,0.78,0.81,0.84,0.87,0.9,0.91,0.88,0.87,0.82,0.87,0.92,0.85,0.86,0.85,0.7,0.65,0.78,0.9,0.83,0.91,0.73,1	87.1%
LAL 120, SAS 117	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.59,0.55,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.51,0.6,0.51,0.53,0.63,0.58,0.53,0.59,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.54,0.68,0.74,0.78,0.78,0.73,0.69,0.65,0.69,0.66,0.74,0.72,0.58,0.62,0.79,0.76,0.68,0.74,0.88,0.91,0.9,0.79,0.55,0.42,0.54,0.61,0.63,0.55,0.42,0.46,0.31,0.21,0.33,0.17,0	87.0%
DEN 87, LAC 89	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.5,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.63,0.6,0.58,0.6,0.53,0.55,0.52,0.53,0.54,0.64,0.59,0.67,0.75,0.74,0.77,0.78,0.81,0.86,0.87,0.86,0.94,0.94,0.91,0.85,0.87,0.84,0.79,0.71,0.81,0.83,0.85,0.92,0.96,0.96,0.89,0.58,1	87.0%