inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Los Angeles Lakers 120 Excitement15.6 [3] MVPRobert Horry (SAS): +28.6%
San Antonio Spurs 117 Comeback14.4 [47] LVPManu Ginobili (SAS): -53.5%


Los Angeles Lakers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Horace Grant-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.020.00-0.0010%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Gary Payton-0.020,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,0,-0.02-0.020.000.01964%0.083-0.10757%-0.03
Kareem Rush-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.02-0.000.0000%0.001-0.0300%0.00
Luke Walton-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.02-0.010.0010%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Jannero Pargo-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.010.0010%-0.021-0.0300%0.00
Devean George-0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.07-0.010.00643%0.013-0.09250%-0.03
Derek Fisher-0.170,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.12,-0.22,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17-0.07-0.10-0.001732%-0.1700.0000%0.00
Shaquille O'Neal-0.190,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.11,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.02,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.18,-0.18,-0.28,-0.19-0.04-0.150.002356%-0.034-0.161669%0.01
Bryon Russell-0.210,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.21-0.10-0.120.0040%-0.171-0.0410%-0.04
Karl Malone-0.330,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.2,-0.26,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.33,-0.33,-0.33,-0.33,-0.33,-0.33-0.13-0.200.001737%-0.262-0.07650%-0.05
Kobe Bryant-0.410,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.11,0.21,0.21,0.06,0.06,0,0,0.03,-0.1,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.410.09-0.490.012959%-0.362-0.05580%0.03

San Antonio Spurs
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Robert Horry0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.290.290.070.210.00486%0.2900.00683%0.03
Bruce Bowen0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.020.06-0.00761%0.111-0.034100%0.07
Rasho Nesterovic0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.04-0.010.011354%0.0200.0000%0.00
Ron Mercer0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.03-0.010.00560%0.0200.0000%0.00
Hedo Turkoglu0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.040.040.00547%0.031-0.03560%-0.02
Jason Hart0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.020.01-0.020.011254%0.011-0.032100%0.01
Shane Heal0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.00-0.02-0.00642%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Kevin Willis0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.26-0.26-0.16-0.100.0060%-0.173-0.0900%0.00
Malik Rose0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.07,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.17,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.28,-0.36,-0.36,-0.36,-0.42,-0.42,-0.35,-0.39,-0.46,-0.46,-0.46,-0.46-0.46-0.21-0.25-0.011239%-0.315-0.161479%-0.03
Manu Ginobili0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.21,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.29,0.32,0.3,0.3,0.14,0.14,0,0.06,0.01,-0.1,-0.19,-0.36,-0.36,-0.36,-0.32,-0.41,-0.54-0.540.07-0.61-0.002160%-0.421-0.121385%-0.06
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 OT1 OT2Total
this game27.53.829.220.534.62.743.52.417.22.626.0209.9
league avg47.82.427.914.324.82.129.82.017.42.017.4150.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
SAS -41.1%
SAS -40.8%
LAL +109.8%
LAL +9.1%
LAL +13.0%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsLALSASNBALALSASNBA
this game15.015.215.7104.3101.7100.5
season15.415.9102.8100.1
opponent15.815.692.799.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4OTTotal
LAL14.214.515.914.319.115.0
SAS15.815.516.113.914.715.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Gary Payton95950.83-0.331.170.4812-92114.716.3-1.6015.713.02.64
Shaquille O'Neal99990.81-0.311.120.4313-102314.717.2-2.5815.513.42.16
Kobe Bryant98980.470.030.430.354-1515.313.51.7614.917.3-2.42
Bryon Russell31280.440.060.370.237-41114.415.3-0.9214.515.5-0.92
Derek Fisher76760.400.100.310.294-1515.114.90.1914.915.8-0.85
Devean George49500.150.35-0.200.034-1514.515.4-0.9015.615.00.65
Karl Malone84870.060.44-0.370.18-47-1115.314.40.9215.514.50.92
Jannero Pargo66-0.100.60-0.690.08-69-1512.015.2-3.1916.315.21.16
Luke Walton76-0.140.64-0.77-0.05-36-917.614.92.7113.015.4-2.36
Kareem Rush910-0.170.67-0.850.03-710-1717.014.92.1413.615.4-1.79
Horace Grant2120-0.260.76-1.020.01-912-2116.914.62.3014.615.4-0.71

San Antonio Spurs
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Shane Heal25260.11-0.610.73-0.097-101714.115.5-1.4215.315.00.31
Hedo Turkoglu32320.08-0.580.65-0.106-91514.415.6-1.1515.414.90.53
Robert Horry3534-0.04-0.460.41-0.195-81314.315.6-1.2815.314.90.38
Ron Mercer2625-0.13-0.370.25-0.04-30-316.514.91.6814.215.3-1.06
Rasho Nesterovic6465-0.18-0.320.14-0.12-2-1-115.614.80.8114.815.4-0.59
Manu Ginobili8890-0.20-0.300.10-0.4910-132314.816.6-1.8215.214.50.70
Malik Rose8890-0.43-0.07-0.36-0.22-74-1115.614.11.4214.815.7-0.84
Kevin Willis3232-0.43-0.07-0.36-0.34-30-314.715.5-0.8014.015.4-1.46
Jason Hart9089-0.610.11-0.73-0.32-107-1715.514.11.4215.015.3-0.31
Bruce Bowen7576-0.670.17-0.83-0.14-1815-3315.714.31.4714.915.4-0.50


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.59,0.55,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.51,0.6,0.51,0.53,0.63,0.58,0.53,0.59,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.54,0.68,0.74,0.78,0.78,0.73,0.69,0.65,0.69,0.66,0.74,0.72,0.58,0.62,0.79,0.76,0.68,0.74,0.88,0.91,0.9,0.79,0.55,0.42,0.54,0.61,0.63,0.55,0.42,0.46,0.31,0.21,0.33,0.17,0
GameSimilarity Score
LAC 80, DEN 820.5,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.44,0.4,0.43,0.43,0.5,0.47,0.42,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.54,0.56,0.61,0.56,0.63,0.63,0.69,0.78,0.76,0.64,0.68,0.65,0.69,0.69,0.71,0.75,0.66,0.78,0.71,0.67,0.63,0.74,0.81,0.83,0.69,0.64,0.69,0.58,187.4%
MEM 102, MIN 920.5,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.49,0.5,0.6,0.62,0.61,0.63,0.55,0.56,0.56,0.57,0.47,0.58,0.55,0.6,0.58,0.63,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.64,0.7,0.73,0.66,0.72,0.69,0.64,0.53,0.62,0.68,0.59,0.63,0.63,0.75,0.74,0.75,0.67,0.67,0.77,0.64,0.65,0.78,0.81,0.92,0.95,0.9,0.54,0.61,0.55,0.66,0.27,0.54,0.31,0.15,0.06,0.01,087.3%
LAL 116, MEM 1110.5,0.51,0.55,0.59,0.55,0.56,0.51,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.6,0.66,0.66,0.6,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.56,0.53,0.59,0.64,0.65,0.56,0.5,0.66,0.72,0.75,0.73,0.84,0.92,0.94,0.89,0.8,0.87,0.89,0.85,0.87,0.82,0.83,0.85,0.79,0.71,0.78,0.8,0.84,0.84,0.42,0.54,0.54,0.55,0.57,0.47,0.46,0.25,0.54,0.67,0.17,087.0%