NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	75		Excitement	2.8 [976]		MVP	Lou Amundson (IND): +8.4%
Indiana Pacers	92		Comeback	1.1 [787]		LVP	Nicolas Batum (POR): -8.5%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Wesley Matthews	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.01	5	50%	0.03	0	0.00	8	75%	-0.01
Joel Przybilla	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	1	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jamal Crawford	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.03	7	50%	0.02	2	-0.01	4	100%	0.01
Nolan Smith	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.10	0.00	0.10	3	125%	0.02	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Luke Babbitt	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.06	0.00	-0.06	5	30%	0.00	2	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Johnson	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Craig Smith	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	0.00	0.01	3	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Marcus Camby	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	0	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.02
Kurt Thomas	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.05	0.00	-0.03	2	0%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
LaMarcus Aldridge	-0.04	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	15	44%	-0.01	2	-0.03	9	78%	-0.00
Gerald Wallace	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.00	0.00	4	42%	-0.01	3	-0.06	4	75%	-0.00
Raymond Felton	-0.08	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.11	0.00	-0.03	8	29%	-0.03	3	-0.05	1	100%	0.00
Nicolas Batum	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.04	-0.01	0.03	11	35%	-0.09	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Lou Amundson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.14	0.01	0.06	11	87%	0.08	2	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Danny Granger	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.09,0.08,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.04	0.01	-0.03	8	61%	0.08	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01
Tyler Hansbrough	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.00	0.00	-0.03	6	47%	0.03	1	-0.00	5	80%	0.00
George Hill	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.01	-0.01	9	50%	0.03	1	-0.02	4	0%	-0.06
Dahntay Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.04	0.00	-0.05	6	33%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
David West	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	10	50%	0.04	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Paul George	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.04	-0.00	0.03	9	61%	0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Ayres	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lance Stephenson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	2	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
A.J. Price	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	2	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Roy Hibbert	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	9	44%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Darren Collison	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	0.01	-0.01	10	36%	-0.02	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.2	2.3	29.5	16.3	25.5	2.4	25.6	129.0
league avg	25.5	2.3	29.8	14.2	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +43.8%

POR -11.1%

IND +11.9%

IND +6.5%

POR -1.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	IND	NBA	POR	IND	NBA
this game	16.2	14.6	15.6	81.5	96.8	102.8
season	15.7	15.7		104.1	104.2
opponent	15.6	15.4		101.1	104.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	17.8	17.0	14.3	15.8	16.2
IND	14.3	15.7	14.5	14.2	14.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Luke Babbitt	15	15	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.29	10	-27	37	14.9	16.4	-1.50	13.3	14.9	-1.55
Chris Johnson	8	9	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.00	0	-17	17	13.6	16.4	-2.80	12.1	14.9	-2.80
Craig Smith	19	20	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.24	8	-25	33	16.3	16.2	0.10	13.9	14.8	-0.88
Marcus Camby	11	10	-0.08	-0.42	0.33	0.06	-5	-12	7	19.5	15.7	3.71	13.6	14.8	-1.16
Nolan Smith	21	24	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	-0.22	3	-20	23	16.6	16.1	0.56	11.9	15.6	-3.70
Joel Przybilla	26	28	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.19	1	-18	19	18.2	15.4	2.85	14.2	14.8	-0.66
Kurt Thomas	22	25	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	0.24	-16	-1	-15	16.0	16.2	-0.18	11.5	15.8	-4.29
Nicolas Batum	55	57	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	0.18	-15	-2	-13	16.2	16.2	0.04	15.8	12.9	2.87
Gerald Wallace	50	49	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.03	-9	-8	-1	16.2	16.1	0.08	16.6	12.5	4.11
Wesley Matthews	73	76	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	-0.09	-8	-9	1	15.6	18.3	-2.62	14.5	15.4	-0.91
Jamal Crawford	45	46	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	0.37	-24	7	-31	16.4	15.9	0.51	13.2	16.0	-2.72
Raymond Felton	49	50	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	0.01	-12	-5	-7	16.2	16.2	-0.05	16.3	12.8	3.46
LaMarcus Aldridge	66	66	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	0.18	-18	1	-19	15.7	17.4	-1.67	15.5	12.6	2.91

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
David West	51	49	0.43	0.07	0.37	-0.06	17	0	17	16.0	13.0	2.97	17.1	15.2	1.92
Dahntay Jones	55	53	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.12	6	11	-5	14.3	15.0	-0.70	16.9	15.2	1.79
Paul George	41	40	0.29	0.21	0.08	-0.12	14	3	11	14.5	14.7	-0.19	16.7	15.7	1.00
Roy Hibbert	48	46	0.27	0.23	0.05	-0.17	15	2	13	15.7	13.6	2.16	15.8	16.6	-0.80
A.J. Price	47	45	0.25	0.25	0.01	0.08	6	11	-5	13.9	15.4	-1.44	16.9	15.5	1.42
Darren Collison	48	47	0.25	0.25	-0.01	-0.08	11	6	5	15.4	13.9	1.44	15.5	16.9	-1.42
George Hill	47	45	0.23	0.27	-0.04	-0.24	16	1	15	14.6	14.7	-0.13	16.1	16.3	-0.14
Lou Amundson	47	46	0.23	0.27	-0.05	0.17	2	15	-13	13.6	15.7	-2.16	16.6	15.8	0.80
Danny Granger	34	34	0.18	0.32	-0.13	0.01	6	11	-5	15.8	14.0	1.84	15.4	16.7	-1.27
Tyler Hansbrough	31	31	0.07	0.43	-0.37	-0.17	8	9	-1	12.9	15.5	-2.58	15.8	16.4	-0.57
Jeff Ayres	13	12	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.23	-8	25	-33	13.4	14.8	-1.46	13.5	16.6	-3.09
Lance Stephenson	13	12	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.23	-8	25	-33	13.4	14.8	-1.46	13.5	16.6	-3.09

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.5,0.54,0.57,0.55,0.61,0.63,0.62,0.62,0.6,0.66,0.74,0.75,0.77,0.8,0.76,0.79,0.88,0.89,0.87,0.82,0.78,0.76,0.77,0.85,0.9,0.93,0.95,0.93,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
GSW 86, DAL 111	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.51,0.52,0.59,0.57,0.61,0.67,0.62,0.6,0.6,0.66,0.73,0.77,0.75,0.76,0.76,0.84,0.85,0.79,0.77,0.82,0.78,0.83,0.77,0.87,0.91,0.88,0.91,0.94,0.94,0.93,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.1%
CLE 78, DET 90	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.52,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.57,0.6,0.62,0.66,0.66,0.71,0.71,0.75,0.8,0.76,0.77,0.78,0.86,0.87,0.85,0.8,0.81,0.86,0.9,0.94,0.93,0.94,0.9,0.92,0.91,0.96,0.98,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.7%
SAS 71, DET 102	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.49,0.47,0.56,0.58,0.55,0.63,0.65,0.64,0.62,0.65,0.66,0.76,0.79,0.81,0.78,0.76,0.77,0.84,0.86,0.85,0.86,0.88,0.83,0.9,0.87,0.93,0.92,0.94,0.95,0.95,0.96,0.95,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.7%