NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	78		Excitement	3.3 [1156]		MVP	Chauncey Billups (DET): +14.5%
Detroit Pistons	90		Comeback	1.2 [1130]		LVP	Eric Snow (CLE): -6.3%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Stephen Graham	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.04	0.00	0.04	2	80%	0.00	0	0.00	1	0%	0.00
Martynas Andriuskevicius	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Donyell Marshall	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	6	42%	-0.00	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Anderson Varejao	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	0	25%	-0.02	1	0.00	4	25%	-0.03
Drew Gooden	-0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	-0.00	-0.02	5	64%	0.04	4	-0.06	1	100%	0.00
Damon Jones	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.07	0.00	-0.03	3	0%	-0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	0.01	0.02	13	47%	0.00	2	-0.04	6	83%	0.01
Ronald Murray	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.01	0.01	13	53%	0.03	4	-0.08	6	50%	-0.02
Sasha Pavlovic	-0.05	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	-0.00	-0.01	6	17%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
LeBron James	-0.06	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.00	-0.00	0.05	20	51%	-0.01	3	-0.04	3	67%	-0.01
Eric Snow	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.07	-0.00	-0.01	4	50%	0.01	4	-0.07	2	50%	-0.01

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chauncey Billups	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.13	0.01	-0.00	9	78%	0.16	1	-0.01	9	89%	0.02
Antonio McDyess	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.00	-0.03	3	40%	0.02	0	0.00	4	50%	0.00
Ben Wallace	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.01	7	69%	0.05	2	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Richard Hamilton	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.04	19	45%	0.03	2	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Dale Davis	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Maxiell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	1	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alex Acker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	1	100%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lindsey Hunter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.03	0.01	-0.03	4	50%	0.02	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Rasheed Wallace	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.03	0.01	-0.02	19	39%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tayshaun Prince	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0.02	9	50%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Carlos Delfino	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	3	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Maurice Evans	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	0.00	0.04	5	50%	-0.03	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	30.1	3.5	34.2	16.8	30.0	3.0	28.0	145.6
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DET +20.4%

DET +3.8%

DET +7.8%

DET +17.2%

DET +0.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	DET	NBA	CLE	DET	NBA
this game	15.2	15.9	15.6	83.9	97.8	104.4
season	16.2	16.9		105.6	108.3
opponent	15.8	15.5		101.4	103.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	15.4	14.2	16.0	15.2	15.2
DET	16.6	15.8	15.3	16.1	15.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Stephen Graham	6	7	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.21	7	-19	26	7.5	15.7	-8.22	14.9	16.0	-1.18
Martynas Andriuskevicius	5	6	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.26	9	-21	30	6.2	15.7	-9.50	14.3	16.1	-1.72
Anderson Varejao	23	24	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.18	0	-12	12	13.0	15.9	-2.86	17.1	15.5	1.54
Damon Jones	46	45	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	-0.16	-2	-10	8	14.4	15.9	-1.50	15.4	16.4	-1.02
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	60	57	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	-0.00	-8	-4	-4	15.8	14.0	1.85	15.6	16.6	-1.01
Drew Gooden	50	50	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	0.15	-14	2	-16	15.1	15.3	-0.12	16.0	15.9	0.03
Sasha Pavlovic	34	34	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.10	-6	-6	0	14.4	15.7	-1.33	16.0	15.9	0.04
Ronald Murray	69	68	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	-0.23	-2	-10	8	15.2	15.2	-0.02	16.0	15.7	0.32
Donyell Marshall	48	47	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	0.00	-11	-1	-10	16.4	13.9	2.48	16.0	15.9	0.15
Eric Snow	52	51	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	0.14	-16	4	-20	17.2	12.7	4.53	15.8	16.2	-0.41
LeBron James	72	71	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	0.10	-17	5	-22	15.3	14.9	0.37	16.4	14.3	2.09

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tayshaun Prince	64	67	0.43	0.07	0.36	-0.27	24	-12	36	16.0	15.7	0.33	15.8	13.7	2.03
Ben Wallace	70	72	0.37	0.13	0.23	-0.22	20	-8	28	15.6	17.0	-1.45	15.7	13.6	2.10
Richard Hamilton	64	65	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.06	10	2	8	15.7	16.4	-0.69	15.6	14.2	1.35
Chauncey Billups	66	65	0.32	0.18	0.14	-0.09	14	-2	16	16.4	14.7	1.69	15.7	14.1	1.55
Rasheed Wallace	55	55	0.32	0.18	0.13	-0.04	12	0	12	16.9	14.6	2.31	15.8	14.3	1.57
Antonio McDyess	31	34	0.27	0.23	0.03	-0.03	10	2	8	14.9	16.5	-1.62	16.9	14.2	2.66
Lindsey Hunter	20	23	0.18	0.32	-0.14	-0.03	7	5	2	14.8	16.2	-1.40	15.8	15.0	0.84
Maurice Evans	37	36	0.16	0.34	-0.19	0.21	-2	14	-16	16.5	15.6	0.90	14.6	15.5	-0.90
Carlos Delfino	19	18	0.06	0.44	-0.37	0.30	-8	20	-28	15.3	16.1	-0.86	12.7	15.8	-3.06
Dale Davis	22	20	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.31	-9	21	-30	16.7	15.7	0.97	11.1	16.3	-5.22
Jason Maxiell	6	5	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.26	-9	21	-30	14.3	16.1	-1.72	6.2	15.7	-9.50
Alex Acker	6	5	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.26	-9	21	-30	14.3	16.1	-1.72	6.2	15.7	-9.50

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.52,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.57,0.6,0.62,0.66,0.66,0.71,0.71,0.75,0.8,0.76,0.77,0.78,0.86,0.87,0.85,0.8,0.81,0.86,0.9,0.94,0.93,0.94,0.9,0.92,0.91,0.96,0.98,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 86, DAL 100	0.5,0.51,0.47,0.48,0.49,0.46,0.52,0.57,0.53,0.55,0.57,0.64,0.64,0.68,0.68,0.7,0.73,0.77,0.78,0.78,0.77,0.81,0.86,0.85,0.86,0.82,0.81,0.86,0.89,0.92,0.86,0.87,0.88,0.92,0.92,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.7%
POR 63, NOH 99	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.5,0.53,0.58,0.53,0.59,0.55,0.57,0.6,0.62,0.63,0.62,0.69,0.71,0.75,0.74,0.74,0.79,0.78,0.78,0.83,0.86,0.82,0.79,0.86,0.85,0.87,0.93,0.95,0.93,0.96,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.1%
POR 75, IND 92	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.5,0.54,0.57,0.55,0.61,0.63,0.62,0.62,0.6,0.66,0.74,0.75,0.77,0.8,0.76,0.79,0.88,0.89,0.87,0.82,0.78,0.76,0.77,0.85,0.9,0.93,0.95,0.93,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.7%