NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

San Antonio Spurs	71		Excitement	3.0 [1212]		MVP	Rasheed Wallace (DET): +8.6%
Detroit Pistons	102		Comeback	1.3 [1062]		LVP	Tim Duncan (SAS): -11.8%

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Beno Udrih	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.04	5	50%	0.03	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Devin Brown	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.05	-0.00	-0.06	8	38%	0.00	0	0.00	5	60%	-0.02
Tony Massenburg	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rasho Nesterovic	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	0	0%	0.00	1	0.00	2	0%	0.00
Manu Ginobili	-0.00	0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.01	-0.01	9	55%	0.01	2	-0.02	4	75%	-0.00
Brent Barry	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0.02	2	75%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Nazr Mohammed	-0.03	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	6	33%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Bruce Bowen	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	0.00	0.02	3	75%	0.01	3	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Robert Horry	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	0.03	6	42%	-0.05	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Tony Parker	-0.08	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.00	-0.01	13	43%	-0.02	3	-0.06	2	0%	-0.00
Tim Duncan	-0.12	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.17	-0.01	-0.05	17	37%	-0.06	3	-0.06	9	67%	-0.01

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rasheed Wallace	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.08	0.02	0.02	10	67%	0.09	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.00
Lindsey Hunter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.10	0.00	0.03	10	74%	0.08	0	0.00	3	100%	0.00
Tayshaun Prince	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.00	0.00	-0.05	14	45%	0.05	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Antonio McDyess	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	11	57%	0.05	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Darvin Ham	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ronald Dupree	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darko Milicic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chauncey Billups	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	14	49%	0.01	1	-0.01	7	100%	0.03
Carlos Arroyo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	3	37%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Ben Wallace	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	11	42%	-0.03	0	0.00	4	25%	-0.02
Richard Hamilton	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.11	-0.00	-0.06	16	33%	-0.04	1	-0.02	4	100%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.9	4.4	37.2	21.0	27.2	3.3	34.3	155.4
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DET +22.3%

DET +2.6%

DET +4.1%

DET +19.4%

DET +1.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAS	DET	NBA	SAS	DET	NBA
this game	15.7	17.0	15.5	78.9	118.6	104.0
season	16.3	16.7		105.8	103.5
opponent	15.9	15.6		98.9	98.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAS	15.9	17.6	14.4	15.1	15.7
DET	18.5	15.1	17.7	17.0	17.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tony Massenburg	12	10	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.23	-8	-23	15	15.8	15.7	0.13	14.7	17.3	-2.64
Rasho Nesterovic	27	26	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	0.31	-13	-18	5	14.0	16.4	-2.41	17.7	16.8	0.89
Devin Brown	39	36	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	0.28	-12	-19	7	14.3	16.8	-2.45	17.4	16.8	0.56
Brent Barry	18	17	-0.10	-0.40	0.29	0.22	-11	-20	9	16.4	15.6	0.83	18.0	16.8	1.20
Nazr Mohammed	33	31	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.02	-4	-27	23	17.1	14.9	2.11	16.1	17.6	-1.52
Beno Udrih	23	22	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	0.38	-20	-11	-9	15.9	15.7	0.20	16.7	17.1	-0.41
Tony Parker	67	64	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	0.03	-11	-20	9	15.7	15.9	-0.20	17.1	16.7	0.41
Robert Horry	37	36	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	0.13	-17	-14	-3	15.4	16.0	-0.58	17.6	16.7	0.90
Manu Ginobili	60	62	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	-0.03	-12	-19	7	15.3	16.5	-1.17	17.3	16.5	0.80
Tim Duncan	71	69	-0.42	-0.08	-0.35	0.16	-20	-11	-9	15.9	15.1	0.85	17.3	15.9	1.36
Bruce Bowen	63	57	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	0.35	-27	-4	-23	16.8	13.3	3.47	16.3	18.5	-2.18

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rasheed Wallace	59	64	0.57	-0.07	0.64	-0.43	34	-3	37	16.5	18.2	-1.68	16.2	14.5	1.77
Tayshaun Prince	63	67	0.55	-0.05	0.60	-0.21	26	5	21	17.5	15.7	1.89	16.3	14.0	2.37
Richard Hamilton	67	73	0.43	0.07	0.36	-0.27	24	7	17	16.6	18.7	-2.12	16.2	13.8	2.41
Chauncey Billups	69	71	0.34	0.16	0.19	-0.21	19	12	7	17.2	16.2	1.00	15.3	17.5	-2.22
Ben Wallace	70	72	0.27	0.23	0.04	-0.08	12	19	-7	17.5	15.2	2.27	15.4	16.9	-1.46
Lindsey Hunter	40	41	0.20	0.30	-0.10	-0.21	14	17	-3	16.8	17.2	-0.39	15.0	16.3	-1.24
Antonio McDyess	33	34	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.02	2	29	-27	18.0	16.4	1.62	16.0	15.6	0.45
Carlos Arroyo	15	15	0.03	0.47	-0.43	-0.20	8	23	-15	17.3	17.0	0.36	13.8	16.1	-2.31
Darvin Ham	6	5	0.02	0.48	-0.46	-0.16	6	25	-19	13.5	17.3	-3.80	14.2	15.8	-1.61
Ronald Dupree	4	4	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.15	5	26	-21	14.5	17.2	-2.66	16.0	15.7	0.29
Darko Milicic	4	4	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.15	5	26	-21	14.5	17.2	-2.66	16.0	15.7	0.29

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.49,0.47,0.56,0.58,0.55,0.63,0.65,0.64,0.62,0.65,0.66,0.76,0.79,0.81,0.78,0.76,0.77,0.84,0.86,0.85,0.86,0.88,0.83,0.9,0.87,0.93,0.92,0.94,0.95,0.95,0.96,0.95,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 96, UTA 120	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.48,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.59,0.63,0.65,0.64,0.64,0.66,0.7,0.72,0.79,0.77,0.8,0.76,0.81,0.82,0.84,0.83,0.88,0.94,0.92,0.91,0.93,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.95,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.2%
CLE 76, IND 98	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.61,0.64,0.67,0.7,0.7,0.68,0.71,0.79,0.81,0.83,0.8,0.84,0.87,0.87,0.85,0.84,0.91,0.88,0.86,0.89,0.91,0.94,0.96,0.94,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.0%
MIN 93, POR 116	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.5,0.56,0.59,0.59,0.57,0.6,0.66,0.63,0.68,0.72,0.8,0.79,0.79,0.8,0.78,0.81,0.82,0.86,0.9,0.92,0.91,0.88,0.86,0.94,0.92,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.0%