NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	85		Excitement	9.8 [63]		MVP	Rodney Stuckey (DET): +81.3%
Detroit Pistons	88		Comeback	4.2 [136]		LVP	Metta World Peace (LAL): -16.6%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Andrew Bynum	0.46	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.29,0.46,0.46,0.46	0.16	0.31	0.00	18	73%	0.56	3	-0.10	5	80%	0.02
Kobe Bryant	0.13	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.17,-0.17,-0.02,-0.1,-0.1,0.27,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.13	-0.13	0.22	-0.03	26	38%	0.23	3	-0.10	6	67%	-0.01
Andrew Goudelock	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.01	-0.01	5	50%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steve Blake	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Troy Murphy	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derek Fisher	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	2	50%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Matt Barnes	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	3	25%	-0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Pau Gasol	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.01,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.27,-0.15,-0.15	-0.00	-0.14	0.00	14	62%	0.17	5	-0.32	4	100%	0.03
Metta World Peace	-0.17	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.17	-0.09	-0.08	-0.00	9	22%	-0.14	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rodney Stuckey	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.23,0.21,0.53,0.6,0.6,0.67,0.67,0.81	0.81	0.21	0.60	-0.00	20	72%	0.97	2	-0.16	7	100%	0.08
Jonas Jerebko	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.04,0.15,0.15,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.04	0.05	-0.00	8	56%	0.09	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Ben Wallace	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.00	0.05	-0.00	2	50%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Maxiell	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,0,-0.01	-0.01	-0.04	0.03	0.00	11	45%	0.05	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Ben Gordon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.01	-0.03	0.01	15	48%	-0.01	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Damien Wilkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	6	36%	-0.03	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.02
Tayshaun Prince	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.03	-0.01	15	33%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Knight	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.11	-0.03	-0.01	6	0%	-0.11	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Greg Monroe	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.12,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.12	-0.04	-0.00	10	10%	-0.16	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	26.6	1.8	28.5	19.8	23.1	2.5	29.6	1.8	17.2	150.9
league avg	25.5	2.3	29.8	14.2	26.9	2.3	33.6	1.9	17.4	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL -2.3%

DET +9.6%

DET +17.2%

DET +13.4%

DET +12.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	DET	NBA	LAL	DET	NBA
this game	17.1	17.8	15.6	93.4	96.7	102.8
season	16.2	16.3		103.8	99.5
opponent	15.4	15.1		104.4	103.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
LAL	16.5	16.5	16.2	19.9	16.8	17.1
DET	18.6	14.0	18.9	19.1	20.8	17.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Derek Fisher	52	51	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.42	11	-14	25	17.2	17.1	0.16	19.5	15.6	3.93
Metta World Peace	57	56	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	-0.36	8	-11	19	17.4	16.8	0.60	18.6	16.5	2.09
Andrew Bynum	67	68	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	-0.38	8	-11	19	17.4	16.4	0.99	18.8	14.9	3.87
Andrew Goudelock	17	18	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.09	-4	1	-5	18.2	16.9	1.34	16.2	18.2	-1.97
Kobe Bryant	74	73	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.32	1	-4	5	16.9	18.2	-1.34	18.2	16.2	1.97
Matt Barnes	35	36	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	-0.02	-11	8	-19	16.5	17.5	-1.02	16.3	18.8	-2.48
Pau Gasol	70	69	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.33	-1	-2	1	17.1	17.4	-0.31	18.4	16.0	2.32
Steve Blake	39	40	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	0.01	-14	11	-25	17.1	17.2	-0.16	15.6	19.5	-3.93
Troy Murphy	44	44	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	-0.14	-13	10	-23	17.1	17.2	-0.14	15.6	19.9	-4.24

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ben Gordon	69	68	0.97	-0.47	1.44	0.27	24	-21	45	16.7	21.2	-4.46	17.2	17.1	0.07
Damien Wilkins	29	29	0.41	0.09	0.33	0.06	12	-9	21	15.6	18.8	-3.25	16.2	17.6	-1.32
Jonas Jerebko	32	31	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.09	10	-7	17	15.6	19.0	-3.36	17.6	16.9	0.66
Ben Wallace	49	46	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.10	9	-6	15	16.7	19.1	-2.36	18.1	16.2	1.95
Rodney Stuckey	71	72	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.39	-4	7	-11	18.2	16.4	1.73	17.5	15.9	1.51
Greg Monroe	42	45	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.31	-6	9	-15	19.1	16.7	2.36	16.2	18.1	-1.95
Jason Maxiell	59	60	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.32	-7	10	-17	19.0	15.6	3.36	16.9	17.6	-0.66
Tayshaun Prince	62	62	0.09	0.41	-0.33	0.35	-9	12	-21	18.8	15.6	3.25	17.6	16.2	1.32
Brandon Knight	42	42	-0.24	0.74	-0.98	0.17	-14	17	-31	18.9	16.8	2.09	16.6	17.6	-1.06

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.47,0.46,0.45,0.42,0.4,0.39,0.33,0.39,0.37,0.4,0.38,0.35,0.34,0.34,0.36,0.27,0.26,0.35,0.39,0.44,0.46,0.54,0.59,0.58,0.62,0.55,0.49,0.39,0.42,0.32,0.35,0.22,0.27,0.29,0.21,0.22,0.22,0.34,0.38,0.53,0.7,0.59,0.6,0.61,0.36,0.41,0.42,0.54,0.61,0.45,0.45,0.57,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAC 99, PHI 101	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.52,0.45,0.42,0.41,0.39,0.35,0.43,0.42,0.42,0.48,0.4,0.46,0.38,0.35,0.42,0.39,0.42,0.31,0.36,0.44,0.54,0.58,0.63,0.66,0.58,0.48,0.39,0.35,0.28,0.24,0.18,0.13,0.21,0.42,0.43,0.53,0.42,0.4,0.47,0.46,0.61,0.39,0.45,0.78,0.42,0.54,0.45,0.46,0.45,0.74,1	89.1%
NYK 89, WAS 95	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.4,0.39,0.37,0.4,0.37,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.32,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.28,0.36,0.34,0.39,0.42,0.42,0.5,0.55,0.45,0.55,0.48,0.52,0.38,0.41,0.38,0.41,0.4,0.36,0.38,0.43,0.53,0.72,0.47,0.53,0.59,0.46,0.2,0.15,0.34,0.41,0.46,0.39,0.55,0.23,0.73,1	87.7%
PHI 98, ORL 99	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.55,0.54,0.6,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.45,0.49,0.42,0.4,0.44,0.42,0.36,0.31,0.35,0.39,0.36,0.44,0.46,0.46,0.51,0.42,0.41,0.43,0.42,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.45,0.38,0.34,0.29,0.28,0.22,0.22,0.43,0.52,0.53,0.36,0.53,0.6,0.61,0.63,0.57,0.27,0.54,0.45,0.71,0.55,0.9,1	87.6%