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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
New York Knicks 89 Excitement10.5 [28] MVPCharlie Ward (NYK): +41.5%
Washington Wizards 95 Comeback5.5 [144] LVPLatrell Sprewell (NYK): -29.7%


New York Knicks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Charlie Ward0.410,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.41,0.41,0.41,0.41,0.41,0.410.150.270.017100%0.4100.0000%0.00
Marcus Camby0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.2,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.15,0.060.07-0.00-0.001075%0.112-0.054100%0.03
Chris Dudley0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.030.020.005100%0.133-0.0900%0.00
Chris Childs-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,0.03,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.01,-0.02-0.070.04-0.011132%0.001-0.0200%0.00
Larry Johnson-0.220,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.17,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.14,-0.14,-0.22-0.13-0.12-0.031046%0.025-0.246100%0.04
Kurt Thomas-0.230,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.19,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23-0.12-0.11-0.001127%-0.191-0.04425%-0.08
Allan Houston-0.290,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.14,-0.17,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.26,-0.23,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29-0.17-0.15-0.021534%-0.165-0.132100%0.03
Latrell Sprewell-0.300,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.3-0.13-0.18-0.001828%-0.261-0.0400%0.00

Washington Wizards
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Tracy Murray0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.36,0.36,0.29,0.21,0.37,0.370.370.040.32-0.001159%0.391-0.0200%0.00
Otis Thorpe0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.27,0.340.340.070.280.001364%0.371-0.032100%0.03
John Coker0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.020.00-0.0110%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Randell Jackson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.03-0.01-0.00425%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Jeff McInnis0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.070.04-0.110.00383%-0.0700.0000%0.00
Mitch Richmond0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.11,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,0.01,-0.06,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.10-0.09-0.02-0.001546%0.033-0.13771%0.01
Calbert Cheaney0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.04,-0.01,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.02,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.10-0.08-0.04-0.021443%-0.013-0.09250%-0.00
Rod Strickland0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.06,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17-0.17-0.07-0.12-0.021744%-0.151-0.02757%-0.07
Ben Wallace0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2-0.20-0.08-0.120.01545%-0.121-0.091030%-0.14
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 OT1Total
this game22.42.325.515.422.31.839.51.818.4149.3
league avg26.93.042.016.026.32.245.71.718.8163.5
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
WAS +53.6%
NYK -20.1%
NYK -5.2%
WAS +26.5%
NYK -4.9%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsNYKWASNBANYKWASNBA
this game17.417.015.894.7104.499.6
season16.015.597.098.8
opponent15.916.6101.395.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4OTTotal
NYK16.517.916.618.917.217.4
WAS14.816.418.618.018.117.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Charlie Ward53530.47-0.971.450.1810-162616.219.0-2.8716.617.5-0.87
Chris Dudley56540.19-0.690.880.34-5-1-417.716.90.8117.516.21.36
Kurt Thomas4545-0.10-0.400.31-0.162-81016.818.0-1.2015.818.1-2.26
Allan Houston6562-0.31-0.19-0.13-0.22-3-3018.016.02.0817.416.01.37
Larry Johnson6969-0.46-0.04-0.43-0.38-3-3018.015.82.1317.316.01.22
Chris Childs5653-0.690.19-0.88-0.37-115-1617.617.20.3716.917.1-0.15
Latrell Sprewell6260-0.720.22-0.94-0.40-115-1617.018.1-1.0516.418.1-1.76
Marcus Camby6459-0.880.38-1.26-0.61-93-1217.517.10.4517.515.91.59

Washington Wizards
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Ben Wallace78801.05-0.551.610.5318-123016.519.7-3.1818.113.64.50
Tracy Murray45490.79-0.291.070.4312-61817.716.21.5217.217.6-0.46
Rod Strickland78790.75-0.251.010.3115-92416.718.6-1.9217.914.63.34
Otis Thorpe76790.410.090.330.188-21017.315.12.2817.616.31.35
Calbert Cheaney67710.190.31-0.110.34-511-1616.817.4-0.5517.018.6-1.59
John Coker11120.080.42-0.330.0806-617.916.81.0714.317.9-3.52
Mitch Richmond6160-0.180.68-0.86-0.1806-616.817.3-0.4518.415.62.89
Randell Jackson2624-0.230.73-0.960.03-915-2416.217.3-1.0315.718.0-2.28
Jeff McInnis1316-0.370.87-1.25-0.11-915-2418.616.71.9213.718.2-4.48


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.4,0.39,0.37,0.4,0.37,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.32,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.28,0.36,0.34,0.39,0.42,0.42,0.5,0.55,0.45,0.55,0.48,0.52,0.38,0.41,0.38,0.41,0.4,0.36,0.38,0.43,0.53,0.72,0.47,0.53,0.59,0.46,0.2,0.15,0.34,0.41,0.46,0.39,0.55,0.23,0.73,1
GameSimilarity Score
SEA 91, PHX 920.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.41,0.37,0.35,0.33,0.35,0.31,0.33,0.4,0.26,0.22,0.18,0.18,0.23,0.22,0.3,0.34,0.39,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.5,0.4,0.4,0.45,0.45,0.48,0.57,0.56,0.52,0.63,0.56,0.4,0.42,0.48,0.47,0.52,0.47,0.59,0.47,0.34,0.47,0.36,0.43,0.28,0.5,0.55,0.64,0.41,0.28,188.0%
SAS 118, DAL 1230.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.39,0.39,0.38,0.37,0.32,0.35,0.35,0.38,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.35,0.36,0.39,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.5,0.52,0.42,0.42,0.45,0.42,0.46,0.55,0.52,0.44,0.52,0.4,0.66,0.72,0.71,0.58,0.47,0.47,0.54,0.34,0.19,0.15,0.32,0.15,0.54,0.61,0.79,0.69,0.92,187.9%
SAS 114, ATL 1190.5,0.51,0.55,0.49,0.48,0.41,0.37,0.29,0.34,0.31,0.26,0.27,0.27,0.28,0.24,0.25,0.27,0.25,0.29,0.23,0.27,0.34,0.39,0.36,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.58,0.67,0.55,0.49,0.59,0.62,0.67,0.56,0.48,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.67,0.58,0.79,0.71,0.47,0.31,0.21,0.43,0.16,0.54,0.55,0.63,0.57,0.82,187.8%