NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Clippers	99		Excitement	12.1 [13]		MVP	Eric Snow (PHI): +5.6%
Philadelphia 76ers	101		Comeback	7.4 [286]		LVP	Elton Brand (LAC): -55.3%

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Eric Piatkowski	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.08	-0.02	0.01	11	78%	0.17	3	-0.12	1	0%	-0.02
Keyon Dooling	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.01	-0.00	6	64%	0.06	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.02
Corey Maggette	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.04,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.05,0.11,0.12,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.07,0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.00	-0.04	-0.02	12	60%	0.09	3	-0.11	6	83%	-0.01
Marko Jaric	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	0.00	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Sean Rooks	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	0.00	0	0%	0.00	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Quentin Richardson	-0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.07	-0.09	0.00	7	37%	-0.06	2	-0.09	2	100%	0.01
Michael Olowokandi	-0.19	0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.06,-0.08,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.12,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.14	-0.06	-0.01	16	39%	-0.09	4	-0.10	4	50%	-0.02
Andre Miller	-0.30	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.24,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.19,-0.34,-0.3	-0.12	-0.19	-0.01	12	43%	-0.03	4	-0.27	6	83%	0.03
Elton Brand	-0.55	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.18,-0.18,-0.11,-0.11,-0.23,-0.55	-0.00	-0.52	0.03	12	60%	-0.45	2	-0.10	11	64%	-0.16

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Eric Snow	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	-0.01	0.07	-0.00	15	44%	0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Art Long	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	-0.00	0.00	4	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Greg Buckner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	9	45%	-0.00	1	-0.03	4	75%	-0.00
Brian Skinner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	3	25%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Aaron McKie	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.08,-0.08,-0.14,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	0.00	12	43%	-0.00	1	-0.05	4	100%	0.03
Mark Bryant	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.02	-0.10	0.00	2	50%	-0.03	1	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Keith Van Horn	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.16,-0.1,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.20	-0.06	-0.14	0.00	10	36%	-0.10	1	-0.10	2	100%	0.01
Todd MacCulloch	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.05,-0.22	-0.22	-0.01	-0.21	-0.00	11	54%	-0.05	1	-0.17	6	83%	-0.05
Allen Iverson	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.06,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.09,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.04,-0.01,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.19,-0.28,-0.39,-0.39,-0.39,-0.29,-0.48,-0.35	-0.35	-0.10	-0.25	0.00	28	48%	-0.23	3	-0.12	15	80%	-0.06

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	21.9	2.8	32.1	15.5	29.4	2.6	36.0	1.6	15.3	157.2
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	1.9	17.2	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC -17.1%

LAC -9.2%

PHI +44.0%

PHI +32.5%

LAC -0.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	PHI	NBA	LAC	PHI	NBA
this game	14.6	16.1	15.5	96.1	97.1	101.6
season	15.4	15.3		100.2	102.1
opponent	15.5	15.4		99.9	104.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
LAC	15.7	14.1	13.5	14.6	15.9	14.6
PHI	16.3	15.9	17.0	16.7	12.8	16.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Sean Rooks	23	22	0.07	-0.57	0.64	-0.08	5	-7	12	13.6	14.9	-1.33	13.6	16.8	-3.20
Eric Piatkowski	55	57	0.04	-0.54	0.58	-0.37	14	-16	30	14.0	15.3	-1.37	17.4	14.6	2.73
Corey Maggette	65	65	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.09	3	-5	8	14.5	14.7	-0.21	16.7	15.1	1.58
Marko Jaric	12	12	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	0.03	-3	1	-4	14.1	14.7	-0.59	15.9	16.1	-0.22
Andre Miller	85	86	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	-0.35	5	-7	12	15.1	12.2	2.88	16.7	13.5	3.16
Keyon Dooling	40	40	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	-0.09	-8	6	-14	15.5	14.0	1.51	14.6	17.1	-2.46
Quentin Richardson	44	43	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	0.03	-16	14	-30	14.4	14.7	-0.30	15.2	16.8	-1.54
Elton Brand	91	93	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.38	-3	1	-4	14.7	14.1	0.59	16.2	15.1	1.15
Michael Olowokandi	90	91	-0.61	0.11	-0.72	-0.46	-5	3	-8	14.4	16.2	-1.86	16.4	14.1	2.33

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mark Bryant	26	25	0.80	-0.30	1.10	0.30	17	-15	32	12.8	17.2	-4.46	13.8	14.9	-1.06
Allen Iverson	92	91	0.70	-0.20	0.91	0.50	7	-5	12	16.0	16.7	-0.72	14.8	13.2	1.53
Greg Buckner	58	56	0.57	-0.07	0.63	0.33	8	-6	14	15.4	17.0	-1.51	13.3	16.1	-2.85
Brian Skinner	49	48	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.25	9	-7	16	15.5	16.7	-1.18	14.0	15.1	-1.09
Todd MacCulloch	70	68	0.13	0.37	-0.23	0.43	-10	12	-22	17.1	14.1	3.01	14.3	15.2	-0.86
Aaron McKie	74	76	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	-0.03	0	2	-2	16.1	16.1	-0.03	15.1	13.1	1.97
Art Long	11	12	-0.06	0.56	-0.61	0.00	-2	4	-6	15.2	16.2	-1.04	14.7	14.6	0.07
Eric Snow	80	80	-0.16	0.66	-0.83	0.04	-7	9	-16	17.0	13.0	4.00	14.9	13.5	1.39
Keith Van Horn	49	49	-0.46	0.96	-1.43	-0.05	-14	16	-30	17.5	14.9	2.64	15.6	13.7	1.81

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.52,0.45,0.42,0.41,0.39,0.35,0.43,0.42,0.42,0.48,0.4,0.46,0.38,0.35,0.42,0.39,0.42,0.31,0.36,0.44,0.54,0.58,0.63,0.66,0.58,0.48,0.39,0.35,0.28,0.24,0.18,0.13,0.21,0.42,0.43,0.53,0.42,0.4,0.47,0.46,0.61,0.39,0.45,0.78,0.42,0.54,0.45,0.46,0.45,0.74,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 85, DET 88	0.5,0.51,0.47,0.46,0.45,0.42,0.4,0.39,0.33,0.39,0.37,0.4,0.38,0.35,0.34,0.34,0.36,0.27,0.26,0.35,0.39,0.44,0.46,0.54,0.59,0.58,0.62,0.55,0.49,0.39,0.42,0.32,0.35,0.22,0.27,0.29,0.21,0.22,0.22,0.34,0.38,0.53,0.7,0.59,0.6,0.61,0.36,0.41,0.42,0.54,0.61,0.45,0.45,0.57,1	89.1%
PHI 98, ORL 99	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.55,0.54,0.6,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.45,0.49,0.42,0.4,0.44,0.42,0.36,0.31,0.35,0.39,0.36,0.44,0.46,0.46,0.51,0.42,0.41,0.43,0.42,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.45,0.38,0.34,0.29,0.28,0.22,0.22,0.43,0.52,0.53,0.36,0.53,0.6,0.61,0.63,0.57,0.27,0.54,0.45,0.71,0.55,0.9,1	87.8%
NYK 89, WAS 95	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.4,0.39,0.37,0.4,0.37,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.32,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.28,0.36,0.34,0.39,0.42,0.42,0.5,0.55,0.45,0.55,0.48,0.52,0.38,0.41,0.38,0.41,0.4,0.36,0.38,0.43,0.53,0.72,0.47,0.53,0.59,0.46,0.2,0.15,0.34,0.41,0.46,0.39,0.55,0.23,0.73,1	87.3%