NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Clippers	78		Excitement	7.7 [246]		MVP	Jared Dudley (PHX): +25.8%
Phoenix Suns	81		Comeback	3.3 [218]		LVP	Channing Frye (PHX): -41.1%

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kenyon Martin	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.07	0.02	-0.00	11	64%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mo Williams	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.13,0.13,0.08,0.08	0.01	0.06	-0.00	13	50%	0.11	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
DeAndre Jordan	0.01	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	1	100%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bobby Simmons	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	4	37%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eric Bledsoe	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	100%	0.02	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Chris Paul	-0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.16,-0.09,-0.03	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	15	48%	0.04	2	-0.07	3	67%	-0.00
Reggie Evans	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Blake Griffin	-0.12	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.05,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.09,-0.12	-0.00	-0.08	0.03	19	40%	-0.12	0	0.00	5	100%	0.04
Randy Foye	-0.13	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.11	-0.03	-0.01	8	12%	-0.11	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Caron Butler	-0.25	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.13,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.25	-0.11	-0.14	0.01	13	33%	-0.08	3	-0.17	1	100%	0.00

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jared Dudley	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.18,0.18,0.24,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.23,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.26	0.26	0.13	0.11	-0.02	14	65%	0.26	0	0.00	6	83%	0.02
Marcin Gortat	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.09,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.04	0.13	0.00	11	56%	0.21	1	-0.04	10	60%	-0.00
Robin Lopez	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Grant Hill	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.03	0.00	0.03	10	54%	0.00	0	0.00	6	33%	-0.06
Michael Redd	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.05	-0.00	-0.03	3	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sebastian Telfair	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	0.01	-0.00	4	40%	0.02	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
Shannon Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	7	43%	-0.01	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Markieff Morris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.14,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.09	-0.03	-0.00	8	19%	-0.09	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Steve Nash	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.15,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.2	-0.20	-0.13	-0.07	-0.00	4	55%	0.04	7	-0.24	3	100%	0.04
Channing Frye	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.31,-0.36,-0.41	-0.41	-0.19	-0.22	0.00	18	16%	-0.41	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.7	3.6	27.2	18.3	27.6	3.8	43.9	149.1
league avg	25.5	2.3	29.8	14.2	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC -3.4%

PHX +13.3%

PHX +40.0%

LAC -3.1%

PHX +3.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	PHX	NBA	LAC	PHX	NBA
this game	17.4	15.4	15.6	89.7	91.0	102.8
season	16.2	15.0		106.0	104.7
opponent	15.7	15.7		104.9	104.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	17.4	17.4	17.6	17.1	17.4
PHX	12.6	16.1	14.4	18.9	15.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Eric Bledsoe	17	17	0.12	-0.62	0.74	0.00	4	-7	11	17.4	17.4	-0.05	16.8	15.0	1.74
Bobby Simmons	38	38	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.17	4	-7	11	18.0	16.9	1.13	15.9	15.0	0.89
Kenyon Martin	49	48	-0.06	-0.44	0.37	-0.36	10	-13	23	16.3	18.7	-2.39	16.0	14.6	1.39
DeAndre Jordan	30	32	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	0.06	-7	4	-11	18.1	17.0	1.03	13.4	16.4	-3.00
Reggie Evans	28	28	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	-0.04	-4	1	-5	18.9	16.7	2.27	17.3	14.5	2.86
Mo Williams	55	55	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	-0.45	9	-12	21	16.7	18.5	-1.75	15.6	14.9	0.72
Caron Butler	50	52	-0.43	-0.07	-0.37	-0.29	-5	2	-7	16.7	18.3	-1.62	14.7	16.3	-1.56
Chris Paul	68	70	-0.45	-0.05	-0.39	-0.39	-2	-1	-1	17.3	17.7	-0.38	14.7	17.7	-2.96
Randy Foye	34	36	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	0.01	-17	14	-31	18.6	16.6	2.01	15.5	15.3	0.24
Blake Griffin	66	69	-0.65	0.15	-0.80	-0.45	-7	4	-11	17.4	17.5	-0.11	15.2	15.8	-0.63

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Marcin Gortat	59	58	0.91	-0.41	1.31	0.23	23	-20	43	15.0	16.0	-1.02	17.5	17.1	0.38
Jared Dudley	65	65	0.68	-0.18	0.86	0.27	14	-11	25	15.4	15.2	0.21	17.5	17.0	0.46
Grant Hill	68	66	0.59	-0.09	0.68	0.30	10	-7	17	14.3	18.8	-4.45	17.4	17.2	0.20
Steve Nash	66	63	0.57	-0.07	0.65	0.28	10	-7	17	14.4	18.0	-3.62	17.2	18.0	-0.84
Channing Frye	69	66	0.48	0.02	0.45	0.30	6	-3	9	14.5	18.4	-3.92	17.2	18.0	-0.74
Sebastian Telfair	23	24	-0.07	0.57	-0.65	0.13	-7	10	-17	18.0	14.4	3.62	18.0	17.2	0.84
Shannon Brown	31	30	-0.12	0.62	-0.74	0.20	-11	14	-25	16.9	14.5	2.37	17.6	17.3	0.32
Michael Redd	14	13	-0.15	0.65	-0.80	0.06	-7	10	-17	16.8	15.1	1.69	16.1	17.6	-1.54
Markieff Morris	28	28	-0.15	0.65	-0.80	0.14	-10	13	-23	16.4	14.9	1.56	17.2	17.5	-0.26
Robin Lopez	22	22	-0.23	0.73	-0.96	0.15	-13	16	-29	17.7	14.6	3.08	17.8	17.2	0.57

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.44,0.47,0.51,0.59,0.61,0.56,0.49,0.54,0.4,0.4,0.38,0.45,0.4,0.33,0.32,0.27,0.27,0.25,0.36,0.41,0.46,0.4,0.49,0.61,0.64,0.64,0.58,0.55,0.55,0.63,0.78,0.75,0.9,0.85,0.82,0.79,0.81,0.87,0.84,0.87,0.68,0.55,0.77,0.85,1
Game		Similarity Score
DET 101, NJN 105	0.5,0.49,0.44,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.58,0.62,0.59,0.63,0.57,0.53,0.56,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.4,0.4,0.39,0.36,0.36,0.39,0.42,0.44,0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.52,0.61,0.68,0.65,0.69,0.73,0.81,0.9,0.96,0.92,0.85,0.83,0.81,0.83,0.95,0.87,0.9,0.64,0.78,0.83,1	92.1%
LAL 87, MIA 89	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.57,0.59,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.5,0.44,0.49,0.42,0.4,0.44,0.39,0.32,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.5,0.48,0.48,0.58,0.48,0.55,0.52,0.59,0.52,0.63,0.67,0.83,0.92,0.93,0.93,0.92,0.81,0.87,0.85,0.82,0.81,0.89,0.91,0.95,1	91.5%
CHH 81, ORL 86	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.56,0.54,0.56,0.57,0.57,0.53,0.49,0.42,0.4,0.37,0.42,0.45,0.46,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.3,0.36,0.42,0.51,0.44,0.5,0.43,0.46,0.52,0.61,0.7,0.71,0.78,0.69,0.59,0.7,0.82,0.81,0.87,0.91,0.83,0.88,0.83,0.76,0.6,0.75,0.63,0.94,0.9,1	91.1%