NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Detroit Pistons	101		Excitement	7.3 [341]		MVP	Kendall Gill (NJN): +22.4%
New Jersey Nets	105		Comeback	1.9 [599]		LVP	Sam Cassell (NJN): -20.4%

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jerome Williams	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.05,0.11,0.11	0.05	0.08	0.01	5	81%	0.15	1	-0.03	6	83%	0.06
Bison Dele	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.04	-0.02	0.00	15	60%	0.08	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Malik Sealy	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02	0.00	-0.02	-0.00	10	58%	0.01	1	-0.02	6	50%	-0.06
Grant Hill	-0.05	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.15,-0.17,-0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.05	-0.09	0.03	-0.01	19	54%	0.13	6	-0.17	8	62%	0.00
Joe Dumars	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.01	-0.02	0.03	7	44%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Aaron McKie	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.03	-0.05	0.00	4	80%	0.05	4	-0.14	2	100%	0.01
Lindsey Hunter	-0.10	0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1	-0.08	-0.03	-0.01	13	37%	-0.07	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.02
Theo Ratliff	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.08	-0.03	0.00	5	33%	-0.05	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kendall Gill	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.17,0.11,0.22	0.22	0.03	0.20	0.01	14	63%	0.27	2	-0.05	7	71%	-0.00
Keith Van Horn	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	-0.03	0.11	0.00	18	52%	0.16	3	-0.08	6	100%	0.06
Kerry Kittles	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07	0.07	0.01	0.05	-0.01	15	56%	0.10	1	-0.03	6	33%	-0.01
David Benoit	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.01	-0.02	6	57%	0.03	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01
Michael Cage	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jayson Williams	0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	-0.01	0.01	6	72%	0.05	2	-0.05	6	83%	0.01
Sherman Douglas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.07	-0.01	-0.02	1	25%	-0.02	2	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Kevin Edwards	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Sam Cassell	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.2,-0.2	-0.20	-0.09	-0.12	-0.00	23	40%	-0.14	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.1	1.6	23.9	15.0	26.3	2.4	44.4	137.7
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NJN +19.6%

NJN +4.5%

NJN +17.8%

NJN +16.7%

DET -8.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DET	NJN	NBA	DET	NJN	NBA
this game	15.4	13.3	15.6	101.0	104.0	102.5
season	15.9	15.6		102.8	104.9
opponent	15.2	15.9		103.9	101.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DET	17.3	15.7	17.6	11.2	15.4
NJN	11.0	15.6	10.1	16.5	13.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Malik Sealy	47	46	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.15	1	-5	6	15.8	15.1	0.75	13.3	13.2	0.05
Jerome Williams	58	58	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	-0.42	8	-12	20	13.3	18.3	-4.92	15.4	10.4	4.94
Aaron McKie	34	35	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.04	-5	1	-6	14.0	16.1	-2.14	10.9	14.5	-3.59
Lindsey Hunter	69	70	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.39	2	-6	8	15.7	14.9	0.78	13.7	12.2	1.58
Grant Hill	94	94	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	-0.39	1	-5	6	15.2	18.0	-2.76	13.3	12.4	0.89
Theo Ratliff	51	51	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.02	-13	9	-22	17.6	13.1	4.57	12.5	14.0	-1.47
Bison Dele	83	84	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.21	-8	4	-12	16.2	11.7	4.46	13.6	11.8	1.79
Joe Dumars	64	67	-0.47	-0.03	-0.45	-0.30	-6	2	-8	15.0	16.2	-1.27	12.2	15.3	-3.07

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Sam Cassell	82	83	0.75	-0.25	1.01	0.25	17	-13	30	13.1	13.7	-0.59	15.3	16.0	-0.71
Keith Van Horn	82	80	0.67	-0.17	0.84	0.29	13	-9	22	13.4	12.8	0.51	15.7	14.2	1.45
Jayson Williams	83	83	0.61	-0.11	0.72	0.29	11	-7	18	13.7	11.0	2.75	15.6	14.6	0.99
Kerry Kittles	81	80	0.58	-0.08	0.66	0.31	9	-5	14	12.8	15.2	-2.48	15.4	15.3	0.14
David Benoit	44	44	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.20	2	2	0	13.1	13.4	-0.30	15.0	15.7	-0.65
Kendall Gill	73	73	0.10	0.40	-0.29	0.31	-7	11	-18	12.8	14.6	-1.82	15.3	15.7	-0.40
Sherman Douglas	24	22	-0.06	0.56	-0.61	0.09	-5	9	-14	13.0	13.3	-0.28	15.6	15.3	0.29
Michael Cage	20	19	-0.15	0.65	-0.80	0.08	-8	12	-20	13.7	13.1	0.55	15.4	15.4	-0.05
Kevin Edwards	16	16	-0.27	0.77	-1.04	0.08	-12	16	-28	15.8	12.8	3.04	14.8	15.5	-0.71

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.44,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.58,0.62,0.59,0.63,0.57,0.53,0.56,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.4,0.4,0.39,0.36,0.36,0.39,0.42,0.44,0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.52,0.61,0.68,0.65,0.69,0.73,0.81,0.9,0.96,0.92,0.85,0.83,0.81,0.83,0.95,0.87,0.9,0.64,0.78,0.83,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 87, MIA 89	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.57,0.59,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.5,0.44,0.49,0.42,0.4,0.44,0.39,0.32,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.5,0.48,0.48,0.58,0.48,0.55,0.52,0.59,0.52,0.63,0.67,0.83,0.92,0.93,0.93,0.92,0.81,0.87,0.85,0.82,0.81,0.89,0.91,0.95,1	92.8%
DEN 92, NOH 94	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.54,0.59,0.63,0.64,0.69,0.63,0.69,0.62,0.56,0.54,0.6,0.56,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.44,0.46,0.44,0.44,0.54,0.5,0.57,0.57,0.69,0.67,0.58,0.65,0.59,0.65,0.79,0.74,0.85,0.81,0.8,0.79,0.86,0.94,0.92,0.92,0.94,0.85,0.72,0.76,0.84,1	92.5%
POR 75, SAC 79	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.53,0.54,0.59,0.61,0.59,0.63,0.55,0.58,0.52,0.58,0.55,0.49,0.42,0.37,0.44,0.51,0.44,0.44,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.58,0.61,0.65,0.68,0.66,0.76,0.67,0.74,0.85,0.85,0.94,0.93,0.86,0.89,0.76,0.77,0.86,0.85,0.67,0.84,1	92.4%