NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	87		Excitement	7.5 [327]		MVP	Daequan Cook (MIA): +16.5%
Miami Heat	89		Comeback	2.1 [176]		LVP	Lamar Odom (LAL): -30.3%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jordan Farmar	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.05	0.00	-0.00	8	75%	0.11	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Sasha Vujacic	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.02	0.03	0.00	3	83%	0.08	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Trevor Ariza	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	0.01	-0.00	5	70%	0.07	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Josh Powell	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luke Walton	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.00	4	25%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Andrew Bynum	-0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	4	44%	-0.01	2	-0.04	1	0%	-0.02
Vladimir Radmanovic	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Derek Fisher	-0.07	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	0.01	-0.08	0.01	8	65%	0.06	3	-0.13	4	75%	-0.01
Kobe Bryant	-0.13	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.03,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.08,-0.05,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13	-0.01	-0.09	0.03	24	54%	-0.02	5	-0.12	4	75%	-0.01
Pau Gasol	-0.16	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.16	-0.02	-0.13	-0.00	10	50%	-0.10	2	-0.05	6	50%	-0.18
Lamar Odom	-0.30	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.3	-0.12	-0.18	0.00	6	19%	-0.24	2	-0.06	4	25%	-0.05

Miami Heat
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Daequan Cook	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.22,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.08	0.08	-0.01	9	78%	0.22	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Jamaal Magloire	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shawn Marion	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	9	57%	0.08	2	-0.07	3	67%	0.00
Dwyane Wade	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0,0,-0.02,0,0.03,0,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.01,0,-0.01,0.06,0.01	0.01	0.02	-0.01	-0.00	25	58%	0.22	6	-0.21	10	70%	-0.03
Yakhouba Diawara	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Udonis Haslem	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.05	0.03	-0.01	8	32%	-0.02	0	0.00	3	0%	-0.07
Chris Quinn	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Beasley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	2	75%	0.05	4	-0.07	4	100%	0.02
Joel Anthony	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	5	33%	-0.02	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Mario Chalmers	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.10	-0.02	-0.01	12	38%	-0.03	4	-0.08	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	29.3	1.8	29.4	19.5	32.0	3.7	42.4	158.1
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIA +42.0%

MIA +19.7%

LAL -16.9%

MIA +4.3%

MIA +0.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	MIA	NBA	LAL	MIA	NBA
this game	13.7	16.5	15.5	89.7	94.7	106.4
season	14.9	16.0		110.6	105.9
opponent	15.7	15.4		105.7	102.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	15.5	13.8	13.6	12.1	13.7
MIA	16.5	17.1	15.9	16.7	16.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Vladimir Radmanovic	10	9	0.04	-0.54	0.58	-0.02	2	-4	6	10.9	14.0	-3.09	18.3	16.3	1.99
Josh Powell	5	5	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.04	1	-3	4	13.6	13.7	-0.07	21.2	16.3	4.93
Andrew Bynum	52	53	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.18	4	-6	10	14.4	12.8	1.58	17.0	16.0	1.03
Trevor Ariza	56	51	-0.06	-0.44	0.37	-0.15	3	-5	8	13.1	14.5	-1.42	17.2	15.7	1.54
Luke Walton	33	33	-0.07	-0.43	0.37	0.02	-3	1	-4	14.2	13.4	0.87	16.3	16.6	-0.31
Jordan Farmar	33	33	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	-0.16	2	-4	6	14.2	13.4	0.87	17.9	15.8	2.12
Sasha Vujacic	32	33	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	-0.36	2	-4	6	13.8	13.6	0.21	17.2	16.2	1.00
Derek Fisher	64	61	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	-0.28	-4	2	-6	13.4	14.2	-0.87	15.8	17.9	-2.12
Lamar Odom	54	51	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.26	-5	3	-8	13.9	13.4	0.41	16.3	16.8	-0.52
Pau Gasol	73	70	-0.56	0.06	-0.63	-0.39	-6	4	-10	13.4	14.5	-1.10	15.8	18.7	-2.87
Kobe Bryant	73	71	-0.57	0.07	-0.63	-0.39	-6	4	-10	13.8	13.2	0.56	15.8	18.7	-2.92

Miami Heat
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Udonis Haslem	71	72	0.86	-0.36	1.23	0.39	16	-14	30	16.5	16.8	-0.33	12.9	15.9	-2.98
Shawn Marion	76	78	0.69	-0.19	0.87	0.39	10	-8	18	16.4	17.1	-0.72	13.8	13.0	0.83
Joel Anthony	65	68	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.39	5	-3	8	15.8	18.1	-2.22	12.9	15.5	-2.63
Dwyane Wade	75	79	0.45	0.05	0.41	0.43	1	1	0	15.9	18.8	-2.90	13.4	14.8	-1.43
Mario Chalmers	79	82	0.36	0.14	0.23	0.31	2	0	2	16.6	16.3	0.32	13.0	17.1	-4.02
Daequan Cook	35	36	0.23	0.27	-0.05	0.08	5	-3	8	17.9	15.7	2.16	13.7	13.6	0.13
Jamaal Magloire	17	17	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	0.07	-5	7	-12	17.8	16.3	1.50	16.6	13.0	3.61
Chris Quinn	8	8	-0.13	0.63	-0.76	0.05	-6	8	-14	17.6	16.4	1.19	18.7	13.2	5.54
Yakhouba Diawara	10	11	-0.13	0.63	-0.76	0.04	-6	8	-14	15.2	16.7	-1.49	14.7	13.5	1.19
Michael Beasley	34	34	-0.30	0.80	-1.10	0.05	-12	14	-26	17.6	15.9	1.70	15.5	12.7	2.82

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.57,0.59,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.5,0.44,0.49,0.42,0.4,0.44,0.39,0.32,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.5,0.48,0.48,0.58,0.48,0.55,0.52,0.59,0.52,0.63,0.67,0.83,0.92,0.93,0.93,0.92,0.81,0.87,0.85,0.82,0.81,0.89,0.91,0.95,1
Game		Similarity Score
DET 85, IND 93	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.47,0.41,0.45,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.44,0.43,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.49,0.44,0.46,0.44,0.46,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.59,0.63,0.72,0.87,0.87,0.82,0.71,0.81,0.86,0.89,0.86,0.89,0.89,0.98,1,1	93.4%
MIN 89, NOH 98	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.59,0.63,0.66,0.63,0.65,0.62,0.53,0.56,0.46,0.49,0.47,0.38,0.33,0.4,0.34,0.32,0.34,0.36,0.26,0.22,0.49,0.35,0.45,0.55,0.55,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.63,0.74,0.78,0.87,0.87,0.79,0.83,0.85,0.86,0.85,0.87,0.95,0.93,1,1,1	93.3%
BOS 99, MIA 107	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.48,0.42,0.38,0.38,0.35,0.39,0.42,0.44,0.46,0.46,0.39,0.39,0.37,0.45,0.6,0.61,0.64,0.52,0.48,0.62,0.65,0.7,0.77,0.87,0.85,0.9,0.88,0.97,0.96,0.9,0.88,0.73,0.75,0.85,0.94,0.98,1	93.1%