NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Minnesota Timberwolves	89		Excitement	6.4 [511]		MVP	Devin Brown (NOH): +16.3%
New Orleans Hornets	98		Comeback	3.5 [720]		LVP	Peja Stojakovic (NOH): -14.1%

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Al Jefferson	0.09	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.05	0.04	-0.00	17	56%	0.13	1	-0.04	2	0%	-0.04
Kevin Love	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.01	0.02	-0.03	7	61%	0.09	2	-0.03	4	75%	-0.00
Wayne Ellington	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.05	-0.01	0.00	7	75%	0.11	2	-0.07	2	50%	-0.01
Damien Wilkins	0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.02	-0.01	3	50%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nathan Jawai	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	0	100%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Sasha Pavlovic	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.03	-0.02	0.00	5	70%	0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Oleksiy Pecherov	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ryan Hollins	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	6	33%	-0.06	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Ryan Gomes	-0.10	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.06	-0.02	0.03	17	42%	-0.06	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Jonny Flynn	-0.12	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.08	-0.02	0.02	8	33%	-0.07	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.02
Corey Brewer	-0.12	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.10	-0.03	-0.01	7	29%	-0.06	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Ramon Sessions	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.1,-0.13,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.09	-0.03	-0.00	8	28%	-0.06	2	-0.07	2	50%	-0.01

New Orleans Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Devin Brown	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.10	0.06	-0.01	10	73%	0.20	2	-0.04	6	33%	-0.02
Chris Paul	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.01	0.11	0.00	13	55%	0.19	3	-0.07	3	100%	0.02
Darren Collison	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.06	0.06	0.00	2	125%	0.12	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Emeka Okafor	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	-0.01	0.04	-0.04	12	63%	0.14	5	-0.08	3	33%	-0.05
David West	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.02	0.03	-0.01	18	45%	0.06	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Darius Songaila	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	0.02	-0.02	3	75%	0.06	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Marcus Thornton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	4	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
James Posey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.02	-0.00	0.02	2	83%	0.02	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.00
Hilton Armstrong	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.08	-0.00	-0.00	4	10%	-0.06	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Peja Stojakovic	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.07	-0.06	0.02	10	38%	-0.10	2	-0.04	1	0%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.3	2.4	29.9	15.7	22.9	1.6	32.2	128.9
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NOH +44.1%

NOH +9.4%

MIN -18.0%

NOH +12.6%

NOH +2.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIN	NOH	NBA	MIN	NOH	NBA
this game	15.6	15.2	15.3	94.7	105.4	106.0
season	14.7	15.5		100.1	106.0
opponent	15.2	14.8		108.3	109.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIN	14.5	13.7	20.8	14.4	15.6
NOH	13.8	14.5	16.1	16.9	15.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Nathan Jawai	9	9	0.17	-0.67	0.84	-0.09	9	-18	27	13.0	15.9	-2.87	15.9	15.1	0.76
Sasha Pavlovic	20	19	0.08	-0.58	0.67	-0.06	5	-14	19	16.2	15.4	0.77	15.4	15.1	0.27
Corey Brewer	34	35	-0.04	-0.46	0.43	0.02	-2	-7	5	16.5	15.1	1.37	14.4	15.7	-1.29
Oleksiy Pecherov	4	4	-0.05	-0.45	0.41	0.04	-3	-6	3	13.5	15.7	-2.19	11.5	15.4	-3.87
Ramon Sessions	43	42	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	-0.24	5	-14	19	15.1	16.0	-0.84	14.8	15.5	-0.68
Damien Wilkins	22	21	-0.12	-0.38	0.27	0.21	-11	2	-13	19.3	14.5	4.86	15.2	15.2	-0.02
Kevin Love	46	48	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	-0.30	5	-14	19	14.2	16.9	-2.66	15.4	15.0	0.40
Al Jefferson	73	70	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.07	-10	1	-11	15.5	16.1	-0.64	14.9	16.2	-1.35
Jonny Flynn	51	51	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	0.01	-14	5	-19	16.0	15.1	0.84	15.5	14.8	0.68
Wayne Ellington	60	58	-0.46	-0.04	-0.43	-0.26	-7	-2	-5	15.1	16.5	-1.37	15.7	14.4	1.29
Ryan Hollins	34	34	-0.49	-0.01	-0.49	-0.26	-8	-1	-7	16.3	15.2	1.05	15.9	14.8	1.07
Ryan Gomes	74	74	-0.58	0.08	-0.67	-0.17	-14	5	-19	15.4	16.2	-0.77	15.1	15.4	-0.27

New Orleans Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
David West	70	71	0.71	-0.21	0.91	0.15	19	-10	29	14.8	16.3	-1.46	16.3	13.5	2.75
Peja Stojakovic	51	52	0.65	-0.15	0.81	0.04	21	-12	33	14.2	16.4	-2.23	16.7	14.2	2.54
Emeka Okafor	73	74	0.65	-0.15	0.79	0.12	18	-9	27	15.1	15.6	-0.57	15.3	16.6	-1.28
Chris Paul	76	76	0.53	-0.03	0.55	0.17	12	-3	15	15.0	16.3	-1.33	15.3	16.7	-1.39
Devin Brown	51	52	0.42	0.08	0.33	0.06	12	-3	15	14.8	15.7	-0.97	16.7	14.2	2.58
Marcus Thornton	25	26	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.03	0	9	-9	14.5	15.5	-0.94	13.7	16.3	-2.58
Darren Collison	34	34	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.21	-6	15	-21	16.9	14.2	2.69	15.9	15.4	0.40
Hilton Armstrong	20	20	-0.15	0.65	-0.79	0.12	-9	18	-27	15.6	15.1	0.57	16.6	15.3	1.28
James Posey	42	42	-0.15	0.65	-0.81	0.20	-12	21	-33	16.4	14.2	2.23	14.2	16.7	-2.54
Darius Songaila	23	23	-0.21	0.71	-0.91	0.09	-10	19	-29	16.3	14.8	1.46	13.5	16.3	-2.75

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.59,0.63,0.66,0.63,0.65,0.62,0.53,0.56,0.46,0.49,0.47,0.38,0.33,0.4,0.34,0.32,0.34,0.36,0.26,0.22,0.49,0.35,0.45,0.55,0.55,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.63,0.74,0.78,0.87,0.87,0.79,0.83,0.85,0.86,0.85,0.87,0.95,0.93,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHI 72, MIL 78	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.62,0.6,0.54,0.52,0.48,0.47,0.44,0.4,0.33,0.28,0.25,0.27,0.29,0.27,0.36,0.46,0.4,0.37,0.45,0.42,0.55,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.59,0.72,0.79,0.81,0.89,0.79,0.83,0.95,0.9,0.94,0.95,0.93,0.96,0.94,0.98,1	93.5%
LAL 87, MIA 89	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.57,0.59,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.5,0.44,0.49,0.42,0.4,0.44,0.39,0.32,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.5,0.48,0.48,0.58,0.48,0.55,0.52,0.59,0.52,0.63,0.67,0.83,0.92,0.93,0.93,0.92,0.81,0.87,0.85,0.82,0.81,0.89,0.91,0.95,1	93.3%
NOP 94, POR 100	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.54,0.56,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.5,0.49,0.38,0.38,0.35,0.29,0.28,0.31,0.31,0.34,0.27,0.27,0.3,0.29,0.37,0.39,0.36,0.36,0.42,0.55,0.52,0.66,0.77,0.9,0.81,0.84,0.82,0.89,0.85,0.96,0.95,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,0.95,1	92.3%