inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Chicago Bulls 72 Excitement6.1 [571] MVPJoe Smith (CHI): +11.1%
Milwaukee Bucks 78 Comeback3.3 [224] LVPKirk Hinrich (CHI): -24.8%


Chicago Bulls
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Joe Smith0.110,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.110.100.010.00687%0.151-0.044100%0.03
Chris Duhon-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.010.01-0.010.00462%0.021-0.0300%0.00
Ben Wallace-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.01-0.020.01450%-0.001-0.03250%-0.01
Andres Nocioni-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05-0.02-0.010.011341%-0.021-0.033100%0.02
Thabo Sefolosha-0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.06-0.010.00636%-0.012-0.052100%0.01
Ben Gordon-0.130,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.13,-0.09,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13-0.05-0.060.021447%-0.033-0.10475%-0.01
Luol Deng-0.150,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15-0.09-0.040.021136%-0.093-0.0600%0.00
Tyrus Thomas-0.150,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15-0.11-0.04-0.00712%-0.111-0.0420%-0.05
Kirk Hinrich-0.250,0,0,0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.22,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.25-0.21-0.09-0.051225%-0.106-0.1500%0.00

Milwaukee Bucks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Michael Redd0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.07,0.11,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.13,0.1,0.080.080.030.04-0.012448%0.091-0.018100%0.04
Michael Ruffin0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.020.040.001100%0.0600.0000%0.00
Charlie Bell0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.010.00-0.01561%0.083-0.08875%0.00
Desmond Mason0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.01-0.000.01442%-0.0200.00475%-0.01
Royal Ivey0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.03-0.00-0.0020%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Yi Jianlian0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.04,-0.07,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.050.00-0.011547%0.023-0.064100%0.02
Mo Williams0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.03-0.010.02750%0.002-0.0500%0.00
Bobby Simmons0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.06-0.00-0.01520%-0.041-0.0100%0.00
Charlie Villanueva0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.05-0.01-0.00225%-0.041-0.02450%-0.02
Andrew Bogut0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06-0.06-0.06-0.02-0.02837%-0.032-0.0300%0.00
Dan Gadzuric0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12-0.12-0.09-0.03-0.0030%-0.062-0.0600%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game27.10.828.515.426.22.036.0136.1
league avg27.92.430.016.226.62.433.3140.1
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
MIL +12.0%
MIL +9.2%
MIL +10.9%
MIL +19.4%
CHI -1.5%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsCHIMILNBACHIMILNBA
this game15.115.815.476.684.8105.7
season15.015.8102.2103.4
opponent15.215.5110.7105.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
CHI14.820.313.712.515.1
MIL15.214.016.317.715.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Andres Nocioni46420.12-0.610.73-0.3014-203415.514.80.7716.914.91.94
Thabo Sefolosha3533-0.07-0.430.36-0.101-7817.213.93.2214.916.3-1.43
Tyrus Thomas5656-0.15-0.350.20-0.00-5-1-415.215.10.0716.115.30.81
Joe Smith4847-0.21-0.290.08-0.396-121815.215.10.1216.315.31.05
Luol Deng5049-0.26-0.24-0.02-0.23-1-5413.716.8-3.1416.614.91.68
Chris Duhon3939-0.26-0.24-0.02-0.17-3-3018.013.14.8314.916.5-1.61
Ben Wallace5554-0.38-0.12-0.260.06-159-2416.113.82.3114.517.7-3.12
Kirk Hinrich6768-0.620.12-0.73-0.29-115-1613.219.9-6.6516.115.01.06
Ben Gordon7472-0.670.17-0.84-0.20-1610-2614.417.9-3.4915.716.2-0.48

Milwaukee Bucks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Michael Redd82840.68-0.180.860.2415-92415.716.7-0.9814.718.7-3.97
Desmond Mason58570.65-0.150.81-0.0524-184215.217.0-1.8215.514.70.78
Yi Jianlian66670.63-0.130.760.1018-123015.317.3-2.0114.616.4-1.82
Michael Ruffin15130.390.110.280.0910-41417.315.51.8016.514.91.61
Charlie Bell55560.240.26-0.020.36-410-1415.716.0-0.2515.514.60.91
Dan Gadzuric44430.140.36-0.220.0533014.017.5-3.5015.315.00.33
Mo Williams41420.120.39-0.270.0333016.115.60.5815.215.10.16
Andrew Bogut3338-0.030.53-0.560.18-713-2017.614.82.7314.515.6-1.13
Royal Ivey67-0.080.58-0.670.03-410-1416.015.80.1917.315.02.31
Bobby Simmons3436-0.110.61-0.720.36-1622-3817.015.21.8214.615.5-0.96
Charlie Villanueva2627-0.130.63-0.760.22-1218-3017.315.32.0116.414.61.82


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.62,0.6,0.54,0.52,0.48,0.47,0.44,0.4,0.33,0.28,0.25,0.27,0.29,0.27,0.36,0.46,0.4,0.37,0.45,0.42,0.55,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.59,0.72,0.79,0.81,0.89,0.79,0.83,0.95,0.9,0.94,0.95,0.93,0.96,0.94,0.98,1
GameSimilarity Score
DEN 88, NYK 970.5,0.5,0.46,0.45,0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.6,0.54,0.51,0.47,0.42,0.46,0.39,0.32,0.41,0.39,0.36,0.33,0.44,0.42,0.34,0.34,0.36,0.36,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.48,0.59,0.7,0.71,0.78,0.87,0.91,0.89,0.85,0.87,0.91,0.9,0.98,0.99,1,1,194.1%
MIN 89, NOH 980.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.59,0.63,0.66,0.63,0.65,0.62,0.53,0.56,0.46,0.49,0.47,0.38,0.33,0.4,0.34,0.32,0.34,0.36,0.26,0.22,0.49,0.35,0.45,0.55,0.55,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.63,0.74,0.78,0.87,0.87,0.79,0.83,0.85,0.86,0.85,0.87,0.95,0.93,1,1,193.5%
DAL 87, HOU 1000.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.5,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.54,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.38,0.37,0.41,0.34,0.34,0.33,0.28,0.36,0.42,0.45,0.37,0.33,0.42,0.55,0.45,0.48,0.41,0.56,0.6,0.72,0.7,0.66,0.79,0.89,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.98,0.96,0.99,1,1,193.5%