NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Denver Nuggets	88		Excitement	5.5 [704]		MVP	Allan Houston (NYK): +13.9%
New York Knicks	97		Comeback	2.9 [711]		LVP	Junior Harrington (DEN): -12.5%

Denver Nuggets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Vincent Yarbrough	0.00	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.04	-0.01	0.02	12	64%	0.06	2	-0.06	4	100%	0.02
Rodney White	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Juwan Howard	-0.02	0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.02	-0.02	0.01	17	67%	0.09	5	-0.11	8	100%	0.05
Nikoloz Tskitishvili	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nene	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.00	-0.02	0.01	10	59%	0.03	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.00
Ryan Bowen	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
John Crotty	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.02
Donnell Harvey	-0.05	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	0.01	-0.02	0.04	13	56%	-0.02	1	-0.03	8	75%	-0.01
Chris Andersen	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.04	-0.03	0.00	8	41%	-0.04	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
Mark Blount	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.07	-0.02	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Junior Harrington	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13	-0.12	-0.02	-0.02	8	17%	-0.10	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Allan Houston	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.11	0.04	0.01	18	76%	0.25	5	-0.11	13	100%	0.07
Howard Eisley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.02	-0.00	6	67%	0.08	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Michael Doleac	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	0.00	0.01	4	75%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Latrell Sprewell	0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.02,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.01	0.00	14	57%	0.08	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Charlie Ward	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.01	-0.01	5	58%	0.06	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.00
Travis Knight	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Clar. Weatherspoon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	-0.01	0.01	11	62%	0.06	2	-0.06	4	50%	-0.03
Othella Harrington	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	0.00	0.00	8	37%	-0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Shandon Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Kurt Thomas	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	-0.02	-0.01	3	0%	-0.04	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	32.3	1.8	30.1	16.5	26.3	1.7	32.2	140.9
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +51.4%

NYK +3.5%

DEN -5.1%

DEN -1.0%

NYK +1.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DEN	NYK	NBA	DEN	NYK	NBA
this game	17.8	16.3	15.5	104.8	114.1	101.6
season	15.7	15.6		90.4	102.6
opponent	15.5	15.3		104.0	99.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DEN	17.0	21.4	17.1	16.0	17.8
NYK	17.2	16.5	15.6	16.0	16.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Denver Nuggets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
John Crotty	22	19	0.06	-0.56	0.62	-0.09	5	-14	19	19.9	17.0	2.88	16.9	16.1	0.84
Nikoloz Tskitishvili	15	14	0.01	-0.51	0.52	-0.05	2	-11	13	19.9	17.3	2.53	17.9	16.0	1.87
Vincent Yarbrough	63	65	-0.08	-0.42	0.33	-0.14	2	-11	13	17.5	18.7	-1.17	16.4	15.9	0.52
Rodney White	7	7	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	0.03	-5	-4	-1	20.0	17.6	2.42	13.1	16.6	-3.43
Nene	43	45	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.01	-6	-3	-3	17.0	18.7	-1.71	16.2	16.4	-0.29
Mark Blount	14	13	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.06	-6	-3	-3	16.0	18.1	-2.14	16.2	16.3	-0.07
Ryan Bowen	11	12	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	-0.10	-5	-4	-1	16.4	18.0	-1.64	17.9	16.0	1.89
Chris Andersen	41	40	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	-0.23	-2	-7	5	18.1	17.5	0.56	16.7	16.0	0.72
Juwan Howard	70	72	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	-0.18	-4	-5	1	18.5	14.3	4.20	16.2	16.9	-0.74
Junior Harrington	67	69	-0.55	0.05	-0.61	-0.20	-12	3	-15	17.8	17.7	0.10	16.0	17.6	-1.56
Donnell Harvey	67	69	-0.57	0.07	-0.64	-0.16	-14	5	-19	16.9	21.4	-4.47	16.0	17.5	-1.49

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Othella Harrington	59	59	0.62	-0.12	0.74	0.09	18	-9	27	16.3	16.2	0.09	18.0	17.3	0.66
Allan Houston	80	79	0.53	-0.03	0.55	0.26	9	0	9	16.3	16.6	-0.32	17.6	20.8	-3.21
Clar. Weatherspoon	58	56	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.25	7	2	5	16.2	16.5	-0.27	17.3	18.7	-1.39
Latrell Sprewell	66	67	0.45	0.05	0.39	0.18	9	0	9	16.1	17.1	-1.04	17.8	17.9	-0.12
Howard Eisley	43	43	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.02	13	-4	17	16.4	16.2	0.16	17.1	18.5	-1.42
Charlie Ward	42	41	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.22	-4	13	-17	16.2	16.4	-0.16	18.5	17.1	1.42
Michael Doleac	20	20	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.19	-4	13	-17	15.9	16.4	-0.45	16.6	18.2	-1.56
Shandon Anderson	24	22	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.03	0	9	-9	17.0	16.0	0.98	18.5	17.5	1.03
Travis Knight	5	4	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	-0.03	0	9	-9	14.2	16.4	-2.23	21.5	17.6	3.90
Kurt Thomas	28	29	-0.12	0.62	-0.73	-0.03	-3	12	-15	17.0	15.9	1.11	18.6	17.4	1.22

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.5,0.46,0.45,0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.6,0.54,0.51,0.47,0.42,0.46,0.39,0.32,0.41,0.39,0.36,0.33,0.44,0.42,0.34,0.34,0.36,0.36,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.48,0.59,0.7,0.71,0.78,0.87,0.91,0.89,0.85,0.87,0.91,0.9,0.98,0.99,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
WAS 103, IND 110	0.5,0.51,0.45,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.59,0.59,0.63,0.57,0.58,0.55,0.57,0.49,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.4,0.37,0.39,0.42,0.39,0.46,0.36,0.42,0.41,0.34,0.36,0.42,0.52,0.52,0.65,0.6,0.59,0.67,0.72,0.74,0.84,0.88,0.92,0.88,0.97,0.95,0.94,0.9,0.98,0.99,0.99,1	94.6%
DEN 92, MIN 109	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.41,0.45,0.44,0.46,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.55,0.56,0.52,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.44,0.42,0.41,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.25,0.3,0.34,0.33,0.42,0.42,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.56,0.56,0.72,0.81,0.87,0.88,0.79,0.85,0.92,0.91,0.91,0.98,1,1,1,1	94.5%
MIA 75, TOR 91	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.42,0.44,0.51,0.49,0.41,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.42,0.4,0.4,0.44,0.39,0.39,0.42,0.41,0.39,0.36,0.41,0.42,0.29,0.34,0.42,0.42,0.48,0.45,0.48,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.71,0.74,0.84,0.82,0.89,0.77,0.83,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	94.5%