NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Dallas Mavericks	92		Excitement	6.3 [441]		MVP	Rodrigue Beaubois (DAL): +29.8%
New Orleans Hornets	97		Comeback	1.2 [304]		LVP	Dirk Nowitzki (DAL): -28.0%

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rodrigue Beaubois	0.30	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.05,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.2,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.3	0.16	0.16	0.02	17	71%	0.32	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
Brandan Wright	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.10	0.01	0.00	4	100%	0.11	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Vince Carter	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03	0.05	-0.02	-0.00	10	58%	0.07	1	-0.04	4	100%	0.02
Shawn Marion	0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.00	-0.00	11	50%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brian Cardinal	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ian Mahinmi	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.02
Dominique Jones	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	4	50%	0.00	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.02
Brendan Haywood	-0.05	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	6	33%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Kidd	-0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	3	50%	-0.02	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Jason Terry	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.13	-0.02	-0.03	9	11%	-0.10	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Dirk Nowitzki	-0.28	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.08,-0.02,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.14,-0.16,-0.19,-0.16,-0.16,-0.28,-0.31,-0.28,-0.28	-0.07	-0.14	0.06	19	50%	-0.08	6	-0.20	0	0%	0.00

New Orleans Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Xavier Henry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.2,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.27,0.27,0.25,0.25	0.25	0.11	0.11	-0.02	12	73%	0.27	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.02
Solomon Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.02	0.08	-0.01	9	55%	0.13	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.00
Marco Belinelli	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.02	0.00	11	50%	0.04	0	0.00	6	83%	-0.01
Gustavo Ayon	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.01	-0.01	7	71%	0.08	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Chris Kaman	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0	0.00	0.04	-0.01	0.03	18	51%	0.02	1	-0.01	3	67%	-0.01
Lance Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jarrett Jack	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.08,-0.02	-0.02	-0.06	0.05	0.01	12	54%	0.12	5	-0.14	4	100%	0.01
Al-Farouq Aminu	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.08	-0.02	0.00	12	25%	-0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Greivis Vasquez	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.08	-0.03	-0.00	6	17%	-0.08	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.9	0.8	26.2	16.3	24.3	2.6	34.4	129.5
league avg	25.5	2.3	29.8	14.2	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NOH +20.4%

NOH +1.6%

NOH +19.9%

NOH +3.8%

NOH +4.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DAL	NOH	NBA	DAL	NOH	NBA
this game	14.9	16.8	15.6	101.1	106.6	102.8
season	15.5	16.3		101.6	99.2
opponent	15.7	15.5		103.4	100.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DAL	15.2	13.5	17.2	13.8	14.9
NOH	16.1	16.5	17.0	17.5	16.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jason Kidd	54	54	0.08	-0.58	0.65	-0.34	14	-19	33	14.2	15.8	-1.59	16.5	17.1	-0.60
Brendan Haywood	50	51	-0.01	-0.49	0.49	-0.27	9	-14	23	16.0	13.5	2.47	16.8	16.7	0.05
Brian Cardinal	0	1	-0.03	-0.47	0.45	-0.03	0	-5	5	0.0	14.9	-14.87	0.0	17.0	-16.97
Ian Mahinmi	10	11	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	0.02	-6	1	-7	17.1	14.6	2.51	17.3	16.7	0.56
Shawn Marion	55	55	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.15	-2	-3	1	16.6	12.2	4.33	16.9	16.6	0.37
Rodrigue Beaubois	58	58	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.24	-1	-4	3	15.9	13.1	2.79	16.6	17.0	-0.39
Dominique Jones	34	32	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	-0.05	-8	3	-11	13.3	15.8	-2.51	17.2	16.5	0.68
Brandan Wright	29	27	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.10	-7	2	-9	12.9	15.8	-2.89	17.7	16.4	1.31
Vince Carter	50	52	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	-0.32	0	-5	5	13.0	17.1	-4.06	17.8	15.4	2.49
Dirk Nowitzki	70	68	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.24	-5	0	-5	14.9	14.8	0.08	16.2	18.5	-2.33
Jason Terry	45	46	-0.61	0.11	-0.72	-0.05	-19	14	-33	15.0	14.8	0.22	16.1	17.5	-1.36

New Orleans Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Xavier Henry	47	48	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.30	6	-1	7	17.1	16.4	0.67	13.3	16.6	-3.29
Lance Thomas	14	13	0.45	0.05	0.41	0.07	13	-8	21	15.4	17.0	-1.68	17.3	14.5	2.85
Greivis Vasquez	36	36	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.10	10	-5	15	18.2	15.9	2.34	14.2	15.3	-1.02
Marco Belinelli	71	72	0.31	0.19	0.13	0.31	0	5	-5	16.3	18.4	-2.14	14.9	14.8	0.03
Jarrett Jack	75	74	0.30	0.20	0.09	0.30	0	5	-5	16.5	17.9	-1.33	15.2	13.6	1.57
Solomon Jones	43	42	0.29	0.20	0.09	0.12	6	-1	7	18.4	15.3	3.06	14.9	14.9	0.02
Chris Kaman	73	73	0.20	0.30	-0.11	0.26	-2	7	-9	16.5	17.8	-1.31	15.0	14.2	0.81
Gustavo Ayon	48	50	0.04	0.46	-0.41	0.25	-7	12	-19	16.7	16.9	-0.24	14.7	15.0	-0.33
Al-Farouq Aminu	48	47	0.04	0.46	-0.42	0.07	-1	6	-7	15.9	17.7	-1.78	15.7	14.0	1.68

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.56,0.61,0.67,0.63,0.67,0.64,0.65,0.64,0.62,0.71,0.71,0.71,0.7,0.73,0.66,0.54,0.49,0.54,0.67,0.69,0.72,0.64,0.61,0.64,0.62,0.65,0.62,0.56,0.6,0.64,0.7,0.74,0.86,0.93,0.88,0.9,0.94,0.83,0.75,0.84,0.96,0.96,1
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 98, BOS 102	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.56,0.53,0.59,0.57,0.61,0.62,0.64,0.64,0.72,0.7,0.69,0.75,0.71,0.73,0.66,0.68,0.59,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.58,0.58,0.69,0.73,0.67,0.64,0.68,0.55,0.56,0.48,0.52,0.64,0.85,0.89,0.93,0.92,0.93,0.97,0.94,0.9,0.86,0.72,0.85,0.95,1	93.6%
LAC 99, POR 103	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.5,0.46,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.57,0.64,0.7,0.63,0.58,0.62,0.6,0.65,0.63,0.68,0.68,0.59,0.58,0.54,0.54,0.75,0.74,0.79,0.75,0.7,0.71,0.58,0.68,0.56,0.56,0.6,0.56,0.7,0.66,0.79,0.89,0.88,0.96,0.96,0.93,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.95,1	93.4%
MIA 91, IND 97	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.57,0.56,0.58,0.62,0.61,0.58,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.6,0.6,0.64,0.62,0.65,0.69,0.68,0.66,0.64,0.58,0.58,0.56,0.58,0.58,0.66,0.61,0.55,0.52,0.62,0.45,0.56,0.52,0.56,0.72,0.74,0.82,0.92,0.95,0.93,0.94,0.88,0.78,0.85,0.79,0.9,1,1	93.4%