NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Clippers	99		Excitement	6.0 [594]		MVP	Eric Gordon (LAC): +21.0%
Portland Trail Blazers	103		Comeback	1.2 [1084]		LVP	Baron Davis (LAC): -20.0%

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Eric Gordon	0.21	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,0,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.17,0.22,0.23,0.23,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.13	0.09	0.01	11	83%	0.30	4	-0.09	7	71%	0.00
Chris Kaman	0.12	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.12	0.11	0.03	0.01	19	62%	0.14	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Rasual Butler	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12	0.09	0.04	0.01	12	62%	0.12	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeAndre Jordan	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	60%	0.03	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.02
Al Thornton	0.00	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.03	-0.01	0.01	6	65%	0.06	2	-0.06	5	60%	-0.02
Ricky Davis	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Craig Smith	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sebastian Telfair	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Camby	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	0.00	7	44%	-0.01	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Baron Davis	-0.20	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.16,-0.2	-0.14	-0.04	0.01	15	30%	-0.16	2	-0.04	10	70%	-0.02

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Steve Blake	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.17	0.17	0.04	0.10	-0.03	8	59%	0.18	1	-0.01	1	0%	-0.03
Brandon Roy	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.13	0.13	0.05	0.08	-0.01	20	61%	0.22	4	-0.09	1	100%	0.01
Martell Webster	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.04	0.04	0.01	9	58%	0.11	1	-0.03	8	75%	0.00
Jerryd Bayless	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.03,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.05,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	-0.04	0.07	-0.04	14	42%	0.10	2	-0.04	5	60%	0.02
Juwan Howard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.05	-0.01	-0.01	7	71%	0.07	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
LaMarcus Aldridge	0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.04	-0.01	0.02	4	87%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Ayres	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	8	50%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Dante Cunningham	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	8	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Andre Miller	0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	0.00	0.00	7	33%	-0.04	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.6	2.0	32.7	15.0	26.1	2.5	37.6	142.6
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR +25.1%

POR +5.0%

POR +25.7%

LAC -6.2%

POR +0.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	POR	NBA	LAC	POR	NBA
this game	14.6	17.1	15.3	107.6	114.4	106.0
season	15.5	16.7		101.9	108.8
opponent	15.6	15.2		106.3	108.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	14.4	13.7	15.4	14.8	14.6
POR	16.9	16.3	17.4	18.1	17.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Craig Smith	5	6	0.01	-0.51	0.51	0.01	0	-4	4	16.2	14.5	1.74	21.3	16.8	4.51
DeAndre Jordan	10	10	-0.01	-0.49	0.49	-0.01	0	-4	4	14.5	14.6	-0.06	17.2	17.1	0.09
Marcus Camby	57	56	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.29	7	-11	18	14.5	14.7	-0.26	17.8	16.1	1.71
Ricky Davis	10	9	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	0.04	-6	2	-8	14.7	14.5	0.16	12.9	17.6	-4.70
Baron Davis	76	74	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.36	5	-9	14	13.5	19.6	-6.14	16.8	18.5	-1.68
Sebastian Telfair	16	16	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.03	-9	5	-14	19.6	13.5	6.14	18.5	16.8	1.68
Chris Kaman	78	77	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.39	2	-6	8	14.5	14.9	-0.44	17.2	16.5	0.68
Eric Gordon	84	82	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	-0.44	2	-6	8	14.1	19.1	-5.01	17.3	15.7	1.51
Al Thornton	61	59	-0.53	0.03	-0.55	-0.09	-15	11	-26	15.3	13.0	2.30	17.2	17.0	0.19
Rasual Butler	63	61	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	-0.36	-6	2	-8	14.4	14.9	-0.45	16.4	18.7	-2.36

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jerryd Bayless	53	55	0.60	-0.10	0.69	0.36	8	-4	12	16.7	17.7	-1.03	14.3	14.9	-0.66
Dante Cunningham	51	52	0.58	-0.08	0.66	0.44	5	-1	6	16.8	17.5	-0.73	14.5	14.6	-0.04
Steve Blake	49	51	0.44	0.06	0.39	0.36	3	1	2	16.9	17.3	-0.40	15.4	13.5	1.97
Martell Webster	57	60	0.38	0.12	0.25	0.05	11	-7	18	17.6	16.3	1.25	15.1	13.5	1.57
Juwan Howard	72	72	0.29	0.21	0.07	0.32	-1	5	-6	17.1	17.2	-0.06	14.2	15.7	-1.53
Brandon Roy	74	74	0.21	0.29	-0.07	0.33	-4	8	-12	16.9	18.2	-1.30	13.5	18.9	-5.39
Jeff Ayres	45	46	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.06	0	4	-4	17.3	16.9	0.38	15.1	14.0	1.15
LaMarcus Aldridge	12	12	0.05	0.45	-0.40	-0.01	2	2	0	17.8	17.0	0.82	15.2	14.5	0.70
Andre Miller	37	38	-0.11	0.61	-0.72	0.01	-4	8	-12	17.7	16.7	1.03	14.7	14.4	0.27

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.5,0.46,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.57,0.64,0.7,0.63,0.58,0.62,0.6,0.65,0.63,0.68,0.68,0.59,0.58,0.54,0.54,0.75,0.74,0.79,0.75,0.7,0.71,0.58,0.68,0.56,0.56,0.6,0.56,0.7,0.66,0.79,0.89,0.88,0.96,0.96,0.93,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.95,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHI 90, DAL 99	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.46,0.47,0.53,0.51,0.61,0.63,0.62,0.6,0.68,0.64,0.66,0.64,0.67,0.73,0.7,0.58,0.54,0.61,0.64,0.7,0.7,0.71,0.69,0.72,0.73,0.61,0.58,0.65,0.62,0.59,0.49,0.52,0.62,0.62,0.78,0.84,0.93,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1	94.2%
CHH 75, DET 97	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.58,0.59,0.57,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.6,0.63,0.62,0.64,0.69,0.65,0.61,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.61,0.54,0.67,0.78,0.76,0.74,0.72,0.67,0.64,0.74,0.71,0.69,0.7,0.62,0.68,0.7,0.78,0.88,0.95,0.94,0.96,0.95,0.96,1,1,1,1,1	93.6%
MIL 110, CLE 124	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.6,0.68,0.63,0.68,0.7,0.64,0.62,0.67,0.69,0.68,0.71,0.66,0.64,0.69,0.67,0.8,0.69,0.66,0.67,0.73,0.73,0.74,0.72,0.62,0.59,0.67,0.6,0.78,0.78,0.85,0.93,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.97,1,1,1,1,1	93.5%