inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Miami Heat 107 Excitement2.9 [959] MVPLeBron James (MIA): +17.7%
Portland Trail Blazers 93 Comeback1.8 [653] LVPJamal Crawford (POR): -14.1%


Miami Heat
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
LeBron James0.180,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.180.240.010.072268%0.1800.001283%0.01
Dwyane Wade0.090,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.060.00-0.032358%0.154-0.061182%0.02
Udonis Haslem0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.010.00-0.031244%0.0400.001100%0.00
Mario Chalmers0.040,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.080.000.04863%0.0400.00367%0.00
Joel Anthony0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.01-0.00-0.01560%0.021-0.0100%0.00
Mike Miller0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.000.00-0.00275%0.031-0.0200%0.00
Shane Battier0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.000.00350%0.0100.0000%0.00
Dexter Pittman-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.040.00-0.03312%-0.0100.00250%-0.00
Norris Cole-0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.13-0.00-0.0640%-0.053-0.0200%0.00

Portland Trail Blazers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Wesley Matthews0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.070.000.00688%0.113-0.035100%0.01
LaMarcus Aldridge0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.03-0.01-0.011856%0.042-0.0100%0.00
Nicolas Batum0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.040.000.021161%0.052-0.03667%0.00
Raymond Felton0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.030.01-0.03437%0.021-0.0100%0.00
Craig Smith00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Elliot Williams0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.030.00-0.01425%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Joel Przybilla0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.02-0.000.03267%-0.0100.002100%0.00
Gerald Wallace0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.020.000.03955%-0.043-0.02475%-0.01
Marcus Camby0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.06-0.00-0.01617%-0.0500.0000%0.00
Jamal Crawford0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.09,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14-0.14-0.05-0.010.081653%-0.055-0.092100%-0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game24.22.629.218.634.23.436.5148.9
league avg25.52.329.814.226.92.333.6136.2
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
MIA +28.1%
MIA +7.4%
MIA +7.5%
MIA +7.5%
POR -0.5%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsMIAPORNBAMIAPORNBA
this game16.615.015.6116.3103.3102.8
season15.515.7105.6104.1
opponent15.415.8104.798.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
MIA14.816.216.019.816.6
POR16.516.512.714.515.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Miami Heat
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Joel Anthony56580.460.040.43-0.1521-72815.817.9-2.0815.713.71.99
Mario Chalmers65630.440.060.37-0.1219-52417.115.51.5814.516.2-1.70
Udonis Haslem51490.380.120.260.09104617.115.91.2115.214.90.29
Dwyane Wade65660.350.150.19-0.041311216.716.30.4814.815.6-0.81
LeBron James79760.330.170.160.1086216.914.62.3114.716.6-1.91
Shane Battier49480.290.210.09-0.1515-11616.816.30.4714.315.9-1.59
Mike Miller45430.280.220.060.22212-1016.217.0-0.8216.014.21.76
Norris Cole27270.060.44-0.370.21-519-2415.517.1-1.5816.214.51.70
Dexter Pittman2320-0.100.60-0.690.29-1327-4016.216.7-0.5114.315.2-0.94

Portland Trail Blazers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Craig Smith890.08-0.580.67-0.065-192413.215.2-1.9619.716.33.40
Joel Przybilla37390.01-0.510.52-0.2810-243413.716.0-2.2616.616.60.03
Elliot Williams119-0.00-0.500.500.03-1-131214.415.1-0.7617.116.50.57
Raymond Felton2931-0.08-0.420.34-0.235-192415.414.90.5616.316.8-0.51
Wesley Matthews6363-0.37-0.13-0.23-0.19-6-8215.015.1-0.1117.115.61.48
Nicolas Batum5859-0.37-0.13-0.250.01-13-1-1215.414.40.9716.816.30.46
Jamal Crawford6162-0.39-0.11-0.290.10-173-2015.114.90.2516.516.8-0.30
Gerald Wallace6871-0.43-0.07-0.360.04-162-1814.217.7-3.5116.915.41.52
LaMarcus Aldridge7678-0.47-0.03-0.44-0.06-140-1415.412.82.6616.218.8-2.58
Marcus Camby3939-0.47-0.03-0.440.20-239-3216.713.82.8815.317.5-2.19


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.59,0.6,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.4,0.36,0.34,0.32,0.34,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.35,0.27,0.26,0.2,0.23,0.18,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
DAL 122, PHX 990.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.55,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.4,0.35,0.3,0.29,0.36,0.38,0.44,0.34,0.34,0.22,0.23,0.25,0.16,0.07,0.06,0.09,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,096.5%
MIA 91, SAC 770.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.52,0.5,0.49,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.45,0.4,0.35,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.38,0.42,0.3,0.3,0.22,0.18,0.23,0.27,0.16,0.09,0.07,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,096.1%
BOS 115, ATL 910.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.53,0.58,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.4,0.42,0.35,0.4,0.42,0.4,0.42,0.33,0.28,0.27,0.24,0.24,0.19,0.2,0.18,0.14,0.1,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,096.1%