NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Orlando Magic	78		Excitement	6.3 [431]		MVP	Willie Green (ATL): +19.7%
Atlanta Hawks	83		Comeback	1.3 [386]		LVP	Hedo Turkoglu (ORL): -27.0%

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
JJ Redick	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.06	0.05	-0.00	10	59%	0.11	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Quentin Richardson	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	150%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Dwight Howard	0.02	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.05,0.02,0.02	0.00	0.01	-0.00	7	63%	0.08	3	-0.06	5	40%	-0.06
Ish Smith	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	-0.01	-0.02	7	44%	0.01	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Von Wafer	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Earl Clark	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ryan Anderson	-0.07	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	13	38%	-0.04	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jason Richardson	-0.08	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.05	-0.02	0.01	10	35%	-0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Chris Duhon	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.08	-0.02	-0.00	9	33%	-0.03	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Glen Davis	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.02	-0.09	0.00	7	43%	-0.09	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Hedo Turkoglu	-0.27	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.14,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.24,-0.27	-0.15	-0.09	0.02	16	32%	-0.16	4	-0.11	2	100%	0.00

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Willie Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.11,0.16,0.2,0.2	0.20	0.01	0.16	-0.02	10	70%	0.29	4	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Jannero Pargo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.18,0.17,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.11	-0.01	-0.02	9	83%	0.15	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Ivan Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.03	0.00	1	100%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marvin Williams	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	3	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Tracy McGrady	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Teague	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	12	43%	-0.03	1	-0.02	6	50%	-0.02
Kirk Hinrich	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.08	-0.01	-0.02	9	33%	-0.03	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Vladimir Radmanovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,0.01,0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.04	-0.01	0.02	5	42%	0.03	2	-0.10	2	100%	0.00
Josh Smith	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.08	-0.03	-0.04	22	42%	-0.02	4	-0.06	8	62%	0.00
Zaza Pachulia	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.10	-0.05	0.01	6	29%	-0.07	3	-0.09	2	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.0	1.7	27.0	15.8	24.2	2.5	43.4	140.6
league avg	25.5	2.3	29.8	14.2	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL +45.0%

ATL +3.3%

ATL +9.9%

ORL -9.2%

ATL +1.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ORL	ATL	NBA	ORL	ATL	NBA
this game	16.5	15.0	15.6	85.7	90.2	102.8
season	16.2	15.7		102.8	102.5
opponent	15.9	15.8		99.5	103.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ORL	16.6	18.1	15.7	15.7	16.5
ATL	14.7	16.1	15.6	13.7	15.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Earl Clark	5	6	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.02	-2	-3	1	20.6	16.3	4.34	17.0	14.8	2.15
Von Wafer	11	13	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	-0.08	-1	-4	3	13.2	16.9	-3.77	10.4	15.7	-5.36
Jason Richardson	42	45	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	-0.14	-1	-4	3	17.3	15.8	1.56	15.6	14.4	1.28
Quentin Richardson	16	16	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	0.05	-8	3	-11	15.8	16.6	-0.83	15.1	15.0	0.09
Ish Smith	35	34	-0.21	-0.29	0.09	0.03	-8	3	-11	16.7	16.4	0.26	16.9	13.9	2.96
Hedo Turkoglu	67	67	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.34	4	-9	13	16.7	15.8	0.90	15.0	15.0	0.04
Glen Davis	40	38	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.14	-4	-1	-3	16.3	16.6	-0.26	16.9	13.6	3.29
Ryan Anderson	61	64	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	-0.30	1	-6	7	16.1	17.2	-1.05	14.4	16.4	-2.07
Chris Duhon	53	54	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.31	1	-6	7	17.0	15.8	1.17	14.9	15.1	-0.24
JJ Redick	49	47	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	-0.22	-4	-1	-3	15.8	17.3	-1.56	14.4	15.6	-1.28
Dwight Howard	76	76	-0.39	-0.12	-0.27	-0.30	-3	-2	-1	16.6	16.1	0.51	14.4	17.8	-3.42

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Vladimir Radmanovic	51	52	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.21	6	-1	7	14.1	16.1	-2.00	16.0	17.2	-1.24
Zaza Pachulia	74	74	0.39	0.11	0.27	0.24	5	0	5	14.8	15.9	-1.12	16.9	14.9	1.91
Jeff Teague	58	56	0.36	0.14	0.21	0.41	-2	7	-9	14.7	15.6	-0.90	16.0	17.3	-1.24
Willie Green	46	47	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.22	4	1	3	14.4	15.5	-1.11	16.0	17.1	-1.11
Josh Smith	82	81	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.39	-2	7	-9	15.1	14.1	1.00	16.5	16.7	-0.23
Kirk Hinrich	48	46	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.13	1	4	-3	14.9	15.1	-0.15	16.6	16.4	0.23
Tracy McGrady	15	16	0.15	0.35	-0.20	-0.02	6	-1	7	15.8	14.8	0.97	17.4	16.3	1.07
Jannero Pargo	34	35	0.14	0.36	-0.21	-0.06	7	-2	9	15.6	14.7	0.90	17.3	16.0	1.24
Ivan Johnson	11	9	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.10	1	4	-3	17.2	14.7	2.49	14.4	16.7	-2.28
Marvin Williams	41	39	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.14	-1	6	-7	16.1	14.1	2.00	17.2	16.0	1.24

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.43,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.6,0.66,0.61,0.6,0.63,0.64,0.68,0.7,0.69,0.68,0.69,0.73,0.8,0.77,0.82,0.87,0.88,0.9,0.91,0.88,0.86,0.82,0.85,0.9,0.89,0.74,0.83,0.83,0.74,0.68,0.62,0.62,0.75,0.83,0.73,0.64,0.71,0.72,0.53,0.78,0.94,0.96,1
Game		Similarity Score
DET 95, TOR 102	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.44,0.49,0.51,0.59,0.61,0.65,0.66,0.68,0.65,0.72,0.74,0.73,0.75,0.76,0.76,0.83,0.85,0.87,0.85,0.92,0.94,0.92,0.93,0.89,0.85,0.86,0.77,0.71,0.66,0.77,0.71,0.56,0.7,0.7,0.75,0.72,0.77,0.64,0.65,0.58,0.81,0.89,0.9,0.98,1	92.6%
ATL 77, MIA 89	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.54,0.56,0.62,0.67,0.67,0.69,0.68,0.73,0.72,0.7,0.74,0.69,0.75,0.78,0.8,0.84,0.83,0.87,0.88,0.84,0.86,0.79,0.79,0.78,0.76,0.79,0.79,0.71,0.69,0.8,0.74,0.71,0.58,0.62,0.71,0.75,0.81,0.86,0.88,0.78,0.68,0.96,0.99,1,1	92.6%
BOS 101, ATL 102	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.6,0.59,0.6,0.63,0.66,0.68,0.63,0.62,0.66,0.72,0.7,0.7,0.68,0.75,0.8,0.78,0.84,0.8,0.86,0.88,0.88,0.91,0.9,0.9,0.82,0.78,0.79,0.79,0.72,0.84,0.79,0.8,0.79,0.78,0.81,0.75,0.76,0.77,0.49,0.53,0.54,0.61,0.72,0.84,0.92,1	92.5%