NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Orleans Hornets	93		Excitement	3.3 [909]		MVP	Kevin Durant (OKC): +14.6%
Oklahoma City Thunder	101		Comeback	1.1 [1035]		LVP	Chris Kaman (NOH): -15.7%

New Orleans Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Al-Farouq Aminu	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.05	0.00	0.04	10	67%	0.05	2	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Xavier Henry	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	6	37%	-0.01	0	0.00	4	100%	0.00
Jarrett Jack	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.03	15	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	6	67%	-0.00
Greivis Vasquez	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.04	-0.00	0.06	9	71%	0.03	3	-0.04	3	100%	0.01
Trevor Ariza	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0.01	7	39%	-0.02	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Gustavo Ayon	-0.03	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	-0.00	-0.02	5	40%	-0.00	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Marco Belinelli	-0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	0.03	8	62%	0.03	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Solomon Jones	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.07	-0.01	-0.03	7	14%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lance Thomas	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	0.00	0.00	7	33%	-0.05	2	-0.01	1	100%	-0.00
Chris Kaman	-0.16	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.1,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.15,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.15,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.00	-0.01	17	32%	-0.10	3	-0.06	4	100%	0.02

Oklahoma City Thunder
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevin Durant	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.18	0.00	0.04	19	66%	0.16	1	-0.02	9	89%	0.01
Russell Westbrook	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06	0.06	0.08	0.00	0.02	20	62%	0.12	5	-0.06	10	90%	0.00
Royal Ivey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.00	-0.03	6	50%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.00	-0.01	5	50%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Cole Aldrich	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.01	3	67%	0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Serge Ibaka	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	0.01	9	47%	0.01	2	-0.04	1	100%	0.00
Nazr Mohammed	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	2	50%	0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Kendrick Perkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.10	0.00	-0.06	3	62%	0.00	6	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Daequan Cook	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.12	-0.00	-0.07	13	27%	-0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.8	2.4	28.3	15.5	25.3	1.8	31.2	129.3
league avg	25.5	2.3	29.8	14.2	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

OKC +47.2%

OKC +3.1%

NOH -2.5%

OKC +2.0%

OKC +0.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NOH	OKC	NBA	NOH	OKC	NBA
this game	15.0	13.8	15.6	93.0	101.0	102.8
season	16.3	14.7		99.2	107.9
opponent	15.8	15.7		101.9	103.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NOH	14.8	13.2	17.7	14.8	15.0
OKC	13.4	13.0	15.0	14.0	13.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Orleans Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Solomon Jones	42	45	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.18	1	-9	10	14.8	15.1	-0.33	14.2	13.5	0.73
Al-Farouq Aminu	50	48	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	-0.39	7	-15	22	14.3	15.7	-1.48	14.2	13.4	0.83
Lance Thomas	42	43	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	-0.21	1	-9	10	14.2	15.6	-1.44	13.5	14.0	-0.51
Xavier Henry	34	34	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.13	-2	-6	4	15.1	15.0	0.13	14.5	13.5	1.02
Marco Belinelli	48	44	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.17	-1	-7	6	15.6	14.4	1.24	14.2	13.5	0.76
Gustavo Ayon	43	43	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	0.05	-11	3	-14	15.7	14.5	1.14	13.6	13.9	-0.34
Greivis Vasquez	60	61	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	-0.11	-6	-2	-4	15.1	14.8	0.25	13.5	14.3	-0.87
Jarrett Jack	63	65	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	-0.27	-1	-7	6	14.2	16.3	-2.10	13.7	14.1	-0.40
Trevor Ariza	59	60	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	0.07	-14	6	-20	15.3	14.6	0.70	13.8	13.8	-0.04
Chris Kaman	59	57	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	0.02	-14	6	-20	15.7	13.9	1.82	13.3	14.5	-1.17

Oklahoma City Thunder
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kevin Durant	82	82	0.37	0.13	0.25	0.26	4	4	0	14.0	13.1	0.91	15.0	14.8	0.27
Daequan Cook	72	72	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.19	6	2	4	13.7	14.1	-0.38	15.4	14.0	1.34
Russell Westbrook	72	71	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.11	8	0	8	13.7	14.1	-0.43	15.1	14.9	0.19
Kendrick Perkins	67	66	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.15	6	2	4	13.8	13.9	-0.12	14.9	15.3	-0.40
Serge Ibaka	64	64	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.15	5	3	2	13.8	13.8	0.03	15.2	14.7	0.48
Royal Ivey	46	46	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.08	6	2	4	13.7	13.9	-0.23	14.3	15.6	-1.25
Cole Aldrich	38	39	0.22	0.28	-0.07	0.16	2	6	-4	13.9	13.7	0.15	15.6	14.6	0.92
Nazr Mohammed	31	31	0.16	0.34	-0.17	0.07	3	5	-2	13.7	13.8	-0.08	14.2	15.3	-1.12
Reggie Jackson	28	29	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.15	0	8	-8	14.1	13.7	0.43	14.9	15.1	-0.19

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.5,0.53,0.6,0.61,0.57,0.6,0.64,0.73,0.75,0.76,0.74,0.77,0.75,0.8,0.8,0.81,0.87,0.89,0.91,0.92,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.96,0.94,0.95,0.92,0.96,0.98,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.95,0.94,0.95,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,0.99,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
GSW 75, SAS 92	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.47,0.5,0.54,0.61,0.61,0.63,0.65,0.63,0.71,0.77,0.74,0.68,0.75,0.69,0.78,0.8,0.75,0.84,0.86,0.88,0.9,0.94,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.93,0.92,0.92,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.96,0.98,0.95,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.3%
WAS 81, MIL 102	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.5,0.54,0.58,0.57,0.63,0.61,0.62,0.68,0.73,0.74,0.74,0.7,0.77,0.79,0.78,0.8,0.87,0.87,0.95,0.94,0.95,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.96,0.95,0.95,0.94,0.92,0.88,0.93,0.94,0.93,0.9,0.92,0.93,0.96,0.96,0.96,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	97.2%
DEN 105, CLE 117	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.59,0.59,0.62,0.64,0.71,0.72,0.78,0.81,0.82,0.8,0.82,0.82,0.83,0.83,0.87,0.92,0.94,0.94,0.92,0.9,0.95,0.96,0.96,0.92,0.88,0.94,0.95,0.96,0.96,0.96,0.95,0.98,0.95,0.97,1,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,1,1,1	97.0%