NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Golden State Warriors	75		Excitement	3.1 [1190]		MVP	Brent Barry (SAS): +9.7%
San Antonio Spurs	92		Comeback	1.2 [1129]		LVP	Tim Duncan (SAS): -11.4%

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Monta Ellis	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.00	0.00	-0.03	13	50%	0.07	2	-0.04	6	100%	0.01
Ike Diogu	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.04	7	47%	0.02	2	-0.00	3	67%	0.00
Andris Biedrins	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.01	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Adonal Foyle	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	7	43%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Troy Murphy	-0.02	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	12	44%	-0.00	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.01
Zarko Cabarkapa	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.06	0.00	-0.04	4	10%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Derek Fisher	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	0.00	0.02	13	42%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jason Richardson	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.00	0.01	11	42%	-0.04	2	-0.03	2	0%	-0.03
Mike Dunleavy	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.10	-0.00	-0.03	8	25%	-0.03	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Mickael Pietrus	-0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.18	-0.00	-0.11	12	21%	-0.03	4	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brent Barry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.04	0.00	-0.06	6	77%	0.10	2	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Rasho Nesterovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.06	0.00	0.01	6	77%	0.08	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.01
Bruce Bowen	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.05	0.00	0.02	13	54%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tony Parker	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.00	-0.00	-0.03	10	56%	0.08	3	-0.05	5	80%	0.01
Manu Ginobili	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.02	0.00	-0.05	15	41%	0.04	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Nick Van Exel	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	3	83%	0.01	2	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sean Marks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Beno Udrih	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Fabricio Oberto	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nazr Mohammed	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	-0.00	0.01	14	48%	0.00	1	-0.01	3	100%	0.00
Michael Finley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.06	0.00	-0.02	4	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tim Duncan	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.23	0.00	-0.11	17	25%	-0.06	5	-0.05	2	50%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.8	2.7	28.1	16.7	21.2	2.6	28.0	121.1
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAS +24.2%

SAS +5.1%

SAS +13.3%

SAS +4.7%

SAS +2.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	GSW	SAS	NBA	GSW	SAS	NBA
this game	14.5	16.3	15.6	80.6	97.9	104.4
season	14.8	16.3		102.9	106.0
opponent	15.6	15.5		99.4	104.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
GSW	15.7	14.6	12.5	15.3	14.5
SAS	15.0	16.0	18.2	16.0	16.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ike Diogu	25	24	-0.05	-0.45	0.41	-0.13	3	-20	23	14.7	14.4	0.24	17.6	15.8	1.80
Zarko Cabarkapa	17	17	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	0.07	-5	-12	7	14.4	14.5	-0.19	14.6	16.6	-2.00
Adonal Foyle	37	38	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.08	-2	-15	13	13.7	15.0	-1.33	15.6	16.7	-1.14
Monta Ellis	45	46	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	-0.10	-2	-15	13	14.4	14.6	-0.12	16.5	16.1	0.42
Mickael Pietrus	62	64	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	-0.06	-4	-13	9	14.4	14.7	-0.31	16.2	16.5	-0.31
Mike Dunleavy	53	54	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	-0.04	-7	-10	3	14.9	14.0	0.89	16.5	16.0	0.41
Andris Biedrins	50	51	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	0.05	-12	-5	-7	14.9	14.1	0.81	17.3	15.0	2.29
Troy Murphy	57	58	-0.43	-0.07	-0.37	0.09	-18	1	-19	14.7	14.2	0.42	15.7	17.2	-1.43
Derek Fisher	64	64	-0.46	-0.04	-0.41	0.07	-18	1	-19	14.3	15.0	-0.77	16.4	16.1	0.23
Jason Richardson	55	54	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	0.13	-20	3	-23	14.6	14.4	0.19	16.0	16.7	-0.76

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tony Parker	59	59	0.48	0.02	0.46	-0.11	20	-3	23	15.9	17.0	-1.09	14.3	14.8	-0.50
Tim Duncan	67	66	0.36	0.14	0.22	-0.02	13	4	9	16.1	16.6	-0.48	14.7	14.1	0.50
Bruce Bowen	65	66	0.34	0.16	0.19	0.05	10	7	3	16.3	16.2	0.12	14.2	15.2	-1.01
Rasho Nesterovic	44	44	0.33	0.17	0.17	0.04	10	7	3	17.2	15.5	1.68	14.4	14.6	-0.27
Manu Ginobili	54	53	0.30	0.20	0.11	-0.05	12	5	7	15.6	17.3	-1.72	14.8	14.1	0.67
Nazr Mohammed	62	61	0.23	0.27	-0.03	0.09	5	12	-7	16.8	15.3	1.43	14.5	14.4	0.10
Michael Finley	38	37	0.22	0.28	-0.05	0.05	6	11	-5	16.9	15.9	0.98	14.3	14.7	-0.39
Brent Barry	36	35	0.20	0.30	-0.10	-0.09	10	7	3	15.9	16.5	-0.56	15.1	14.1	1.02
Nick Van Exel	30	29	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.14	-4	21	-25	17.6	15.7	1.98	15.1	14.2	0.92
Sean Marks	5	5	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.03	1	16	-15	13.0	16.5	-3.47	13.0	14.6	-1.59
Beno Udrih	5	5	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.03	1	16	-15	13.0	16.5	-3.47	13.0	14.6	-1.59
Fabricio Oberto	5	5	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.03	1	16	-15	13.0	16.5	-3.47	13.0	14.6	-1.59

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.47,0.5,0.54,0.61,0.61,0.63,0.65,0.63,0.71,0.77,0.74,0.68,0.75,0.69,0.78,0.8,0.75,0.84,0.86,0.88,0.9,0.94,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.93,0.92,0.92,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.96,0.98,0.95,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
POR 87, PHX 110	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.52,0.53,0.56,0.61,0.57,0.65,0.69,0.68,0.73,0.72,0.7,0.71,0.71,0.73,0.78,0.78,0.79,0.85,0.84,0.88,0.92,0.91,0.92,0.93,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.91,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.3%
NOH 93, OKC 101	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.5,0.53,0.6,0.61,0.57,0.6,0.64,0.73,0.75,0.76,0.74,0.77,0.75,0.8,0.8,0.81,0.87,0.89,0.91,0.92,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.96,0.94,0.95,0.92,0.96,0.98,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.95,0.94,0.95,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,0.99,0.99,1	97.3%
PHX 97, CHI 118	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.54,0.62,0.59,0.65,0.63,0.64,0.7,0.66,0.74,0.71,0.77,0.75,0.74,0.74,0.75,0.84,0.89,0.92,0.92,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.0%