NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Wizards	81		Excitement	3.5 [891]		MVP	Carlos Delfino (MIL): +11.2%
Milwaukee Bucks	102		Comeback	1.0 [1007]		LVP	John Wall (WAS): -9.7%

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Shelvin Mack	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.06	0.00	0.03	3	117%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Rashard Lewis	0.03	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.01	10	54%	0.04	1	-0.01	6	83%	0.01
Trevor Booker	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.01	0.02	-0.02	3	37%	0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
JaVale McGee	0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	11	42%	0.01	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.01
Jordan Crawford	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	-0.00	0.02	20	55%	0.04	3	-0.04	4	75%	0.00
Kevin Seraphin	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Singleton	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	3	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ronny Turiaf	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	100%	0.02	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Nick Young	-0.07	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.12	0.00	-0.05	10	15%	-0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Andray Blatche	-0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.09	-0.00	-0.02	15	29%	-0.07	1	-0.01	1	100%	0.00
John Wall	-0.10	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.15	0.00	-0.05	9	27%	-0.04	4	-0.06	4	100%	0.01

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Carlos Delfino	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.10	0.02	0.00	11	68%	0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ersan Ilyasova	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.07,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.09	0.00	0.00	8	76%	0.11	2	-0.02	5	60%	-0.01
Mike Dunleavy	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.08	0.00	0.02	4	81%	0.08	2	-0.02	8	62%	-0.01
Brandon Jennings	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	-0.03	15	59%	0.08	4	-0.04	7	71%	0.00
Andrew Bogut	0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.04	0.01	-0.04	12	50%	0.05	3	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Jon Brockman	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shaun Livingston	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	3	57%	0.03	2	-0.03	1	0%	-0.01
Larry Sanders	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jon Leuer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.01	0.00	0.02	4	50%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Beno Udrih	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	0.00	0.00	7	57%	0.00	3	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Stephen Jackson	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.10	-0.00	-0.05	8	39%	0.02	4	-0.07	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.8	1.7	25.3	15.5	28.7	1.5	22.6	124.1
league avg	25.5	2.3	29.8	14.2	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIL +41.3%

MIL +1.4%

MIL +7.6%

WAS -4.4%

MIL +4.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	MIL	NBA	WAS	MIL	NBA
this game	15.3	15.2	15.6	85.3	108.5	102.8
season	15.0	14.6		99.5	103.8
opponent	15.6	15.7		103.4	104.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	13.9	15.2	15.6	16.8	15.3
MIL	12.7	14.8	16.4	17.5	15.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Trevor Booker	25	27	0.04	-0.54	0.58	-0.16	7	-28	35	16.5	14.8	1.69	17.2	14.4	2.78
Kevin Seraphin	2	3	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.06	-2	-19	17	13.0	15.3	-2.32	26.3	14.8	11.50
Shelvin Mack	16	17	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	0.10	-7	-14	7	15.6	15.2	0.42	16.8	14.9	1.91
Ronny Turiaf	16	16	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	0.03	-5	-16	11	13.2	15.7	-2.43	14.7	15.3	-0.54
Chris Singleton	45	45	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	0.11	-11	-10	-1	15.0	15.5	-0.48	16.8	13.8	2.98
Andray Blatche	58	56	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	0.03	-10	-11	1	16.1	14.1	2.00	14.3	16.6	-2.27
Nick Young	47	45	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.05	-8	-13	5	14.4	16.1	-1.68	14.7	15.7	-0.98
Jordan Crawford	71	70	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	0.22	-20	-1	-19	15.6	14.4	1.15	14.8	16.2	-1.41
JaVale McGee	59	57	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	0.00	-13	-8	-5	14.8	16.0	-1.12	14.3	16.6	-2.25
John Wall	71	71	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	0.06	-16	-5	-11	15.4	14.9	0.53	15.3	14.9	0.38
Rashard Lewis	65	63	-0.42	-0.08	-0.33	0.17	-20	-1	-19	15.3	15.2	0.06	14.7	16.3	-1.58

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Andrew Bogut	69	69	0.39	0.11	0.28	-0.02	14	7	7	14.8	16.2	-1.41	15.6	14.3	1.33
Beno Udrih	43	42	0.34	0.16	0.17	-0.31	22	-1	23	16.1	14.4	1.73	16.0	14.7	1.22
Carlos Delfino	56	55	0.33	0.17	0.16	-0.14	16	5	11	16.0	14.1	1.89	15.5	14.9	0.56
Stephen Jackson	45	47	0.31	0.19	0.11	-0.02	11	10	1	13.5	16.8	-3.24	14.7	15.8	-1.13
Ersan Ilyasova	58	59	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.09	7	14	-7	14.3	16.6	-2.24	15.2	15.4	-0.23
Brandon Jennings	69	71	0.27	0.23	0.03	0.12	5	16	-11	14.8	16.2	-1.36	15.2	15.5	-0.25
Jon Leuer	40	41	0.22	0.28	-0.06	-0.19	14	7	7	16.1	14.5	1.56	15.8	14.9	0.93
Mike Dunleavy	45	46	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.07	4	17	-13	14.5	15.8	-1.33	14.3	16.1	-1.80
Shaun Livingston	30	30	0.10	0.40	-0.29	-0.07	6	15	-9	16.7	14.5	2.25	15.4	15.2	0.14
Larry Sanders	12	12	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.01	2	19	-17	16.0	15.1	0.91	13.7	15.5	-1.84
Jon Brockman	3	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.12	4	17	-13	26.3	14.8	11.50	17.7	15.2	2.47

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.5,0.54,0.58,0.57,0.63,0.61,0.62,0.68,0.73,0.74,0.74,0.7,0.77,0.79,0.78,0.8,0.87,0.87,0.95,0.94,0.95,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.96,0.95,0.95,0.94,0.92,0.88,0.93,0.94,0.93,0.9,0.92,0.93,0.96,0.96,0.96,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
NOH 93, OKC 101	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.5,0.53,0.6,0.61,0.57,0.6,0.64,0.73,0.75,0.76,0.74,0.77,0.75,0.8,0.8,0.81,0.87,0.89,0.91,0.92,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.96,0.94,0.95,0.92,0.96,0.98,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.95,0.94,0.95,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,0.99,0.99,1	97.2%
PHX 80, NYK 102	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.53,0.56,0.56,0.59,0.61,0.65,0.6,0.65,0.7,0.75,0.78,0.72,0.71,0.69,0.76,0.76,0.86,0.92,0.93,0.95,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.93,0.91,0.95,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.98,1,1,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.8%
MEM 89, OKC 106	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.6,0.55,0.59,0.58,0.57,0.61,0.61,0.65,0.71,0.68,0.7,0.72,0.74,0.75,0.82,0.87,0.89,0.89,0.92,0.92,0.93,0.95,0.98,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.95,0.94,0.95,0.96,0.96,0.92,0.88,0.92,0.93,0.96,0.98,0.96,0.96,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.6%