NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Denver Nuggets	105		Excitement	3.3 [1092]		MVP	Trajan Langdon (CLE): +6.1%
Cleveland Cavaliers	117		Comeback	1.3 [802]		LVP	Robert Pack (DEN): -8.6%

Denver Nuggets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Calbert Cheaney	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Terry Davis	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	0.00	0.01	2	60%	-0.00	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Antonio McDyess	-0.00	0,0,0.02,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0	0.04	0.00	0.05	22	59%	0.03	2	-0.03	10	80%	-0.00
James Posey	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	4	58%	0.02	2	-0.04	4	75%	0.00
Voshon Lenard	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.03	6	65%	-0.00	1	-0.01	5	80%	0.00
George McCloud	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	7	59%	0.02	2	-0.04	3	67%	-0.01
Raef LaFrentz	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01
Kevin Willis	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.01	3	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nick Van Exel	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	0.02	23	50%	-0.01	2	-0.03	6	100%	0.02
Ryan Bowen	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.00	3	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Robert Pack	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.06	0.00	0.03	11	44%	-0.05	2	-0.04	3	67%	0.00

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Trajan Langdon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.06	0.00	-0.00	8	62%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lamond Murray	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.00	-0.03	14	50%	0.05	0	0.00	4	100%	0.01
Matt Harpring	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.00	-0.01	10	62%	0.07	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Clar. Weatherspoon	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.01	11	56%	0.01	1	-0.00	5	60%	-0.02
Andre Miller	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.03	0.00	0.02	10	75%	0.06	4	-0.05	12	100%	0.02
Chris Gatling	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.03	16	54%	0.04	3	-0.03	5	60%	-0.01
Anthony Johnson	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bimbo Coles	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.03	1	0%	0.00	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Chris Mihm	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	-0.00	-0.01	2	58%	-0.02	2	-0.03	8	87%	0.01
Wesley Person	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.00	0.01	13	43%	-0.04	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.5	1.8	28.8	14.8	27.0	1.8	35.3	134.9
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE +28.8%

DEN -0.3%

CLE +17.1%

CLE +4.3%

CLE +0.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DEN	CLE	NBA	DEN	CLE	NBA
this game	14.3	15.1	15.5	107.1	119.4	100.9
season	15.2	15.3		101.4	98.4
opponent	15.6	15.2		102.6	104.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DEN	16.1	13.8	14.7	12.3	14.3
CLE	13.2	15.6	13.0	19.0	15.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Denver Nuggets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Terry Davis	9	10	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.06	1	-13	14	14.2	14.3	-0.06	17.2	14.9	2.32
Calbert Cheaney	17	17	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	-0.07	1	-13	14	11.4	14.9	-3.46	17.9	14.5	3.42
Raef LaFrentz	42	43	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	-0.04	-4	-8	4	14.7	13.9	0.81	15.3	14.9	0.42
Robert Pack	41	41	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.14	-1	-11	10	12.4	15.6	-3.24	17.9	13.1	4.76
James Posey	52	52	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.05	-4	-8	4	15.1	13.3	1.79	14.5	15.8	-1.39
Ryan Bowen	17	18	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	0.02	-7	-5	-2	14.2	14.3	-0.05	15.9	14.9	0.95
Kevin Willis	19	19	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	0.13	-13	1	-14	16.7	13.7	3.05	11.5	16.0	-4.45
Voshon Lenard	75	74	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.20	-3	-9	6	14.7	13.0	1.61	14.5	16.9	-2.39
George McCloud	41	40	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	-0.02	-10	-2	-8	13.9	14.5	-0.64	14.5	15.5	-1.03
Antonio McDyess	88	87	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.14	-9	-3	-6	14.4	13.5	0.86	14.8	17.6	-2.84
Nick Van Exel	89	89	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.16	-11	-1	-10	14.2	14.7	-0.43	15.0	16.1	-1.10

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Andre Miller	85	86	0.45	0.05	0.39	0.06	13	-1	14	15.0	15.8	-0.85	14.2	15.0	-0.83
Clar. Weatherspoon	78	77	0.38	0.12	0.27	0.03	12	0	12	14.9	15.9	-1.05	14.6	13.1	1.50
Chris Gatling	55	54	0.33	0.17	0.17	0.07	9	3	6	15.3	14.8	0.53	14.4	14.1	0.38
Lamond Murray	53	53	0.29	0.21	0.07	0.11	6	6	0	16.8	13.1	3.74	13.2	15.6	-2.37
Wesley Person	63	62	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.15	4	8	-4	14.2	16.7	-2.49	14.8	13.3	1.53
Matt Harpring	53	52	0.24	0.26	-0.03	0.00	8	4	4	13.7	16.7	-3.00	14.7	13.8	0.81
Trajan Langdon	41	43	0.20	0.30	-0.11	0.23	-1	13	-14	16.7	14.0	2.70	13.5	14.9	-1.44
Bimbo Coles	30	28	0.20	0.30	-0.11	0.05	5	7	-2	16.7	14.4	2.34	13.9	14.4	-0.59
Chris Mihm	31	33	0.16	0.34	-0.18	-0.02	6	6	0	13.6	15.8	-2.24	15.4	13.7	1.69
Anthony Johnson	1	2	-0.01	0.51	-0.51	0.05	-2	14	-16	1.0	15.3	-14.26	8.0	14.4	-6.41

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.59,0.59,0.62,0.64,0.71,0.72,0.78,0.81,0.82,0.8,0.82,0.82,0.83,0.83,0.87,0.92,0.94,0.94,0.92,0.9,0.95,0.96,0.96,0.92,0.88,0.94,0.95,0.96,0.96,0.96,0.95,0.98,0.95,0.97,1,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 84, PHX 106	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.61,0.63,0.66,0.7,0.7,0.76,0.8,0.84,0.87,0.87,0.89,0.86,0.82,0.89,0.93,0.94,0.94,0.92,0.91,0.94,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.96,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.0%
NOH 93, OKC 101	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.5,0.53,0.6,0.61,0.57,0.6,0.64,0.73,0.75,0.76,0.74,0.77,0.75,0.8,0.8,0.81,0.87,0.89,0.91,0.92,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.96,0.94,0.95,0.92,0.96,0.98,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.95,0.94,0.95,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,0.99,0.99,1	97.0%
ORL 102, DEN 115	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.53,0.54,0.61,0.59,0.57,0.62,0.62,0.6,0.7,0.78,0.76,0.75,0.84,0.78,0.82,0.86,0.87,0.9,0.94,0.95,0.96,0.93,0.95,0.92,0.93,0.9,0.91,0.88,0.95,0.96,0.95,0.95,0.95,0.96,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.9%