NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	91		Excitement	9.0 [107]		MVP	Kevin Love (MIN): +59.2%
Minnesota Timberwolves	92		Comeback	3.9 [256]		LVP	Wesley Johnson (MIN): -12.6%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Thaddeus Young	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.11	-0.03	0.12	-0.02	12	42%	0.14	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jodie Meeks	0.04	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.01	0.03	-0.01	10	45%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andre Iguodala	0.03	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.00	0.00	8	65%	0.10	2	-0.08	4	50%	-0.03
Nikola Vucevic	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	-0.00	8	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jrue Holiday	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,0,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.15,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	20	50%	0.15	1	-0.13	0	0%	0.00
Louis Williams	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.04,0.08,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.01	12	50%	0.10	2	-0.09	2	100%	0.01
Lavoy Allen	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.02	0.00	6	50%	0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Evan Turner	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	5	40%	-0.02	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Elton Brand	-0.09	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.03	-0.06	0.00	9	36%	-0.09	0	0.00	4	100%	0.04

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevin Love	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.06,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.2,-0.2,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.13,-0.13,0.59	0.59	-0.09	0.68	-0.01	23	37%	0.62	1	-0.03	8	75%	0.21
Nikola Pekovic	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.05	0.05	-0.02	7	71%	0.18	3	-0.07	10	90%	0.06
Jose Juan Barea	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,0,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.11,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.00	12	54%	0.04	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.02
Michael Beasley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	6	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luke Ridnour	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.02	-0.05	-0.00	10	50%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Martell Webster	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.03	-0.00	3	50%	0.00	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Derrick Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	3	33%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Ricky Rubio	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	0.06	-0.10	0.02	17	55%	-0.03	1	-0.03	6	100%	0.03
Wesley Johnson	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.10	-0.03	-0.01	4	0%	-0.08	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.0	2.4	26.3	15.8	28.2	0.6	30.0	124.2
league avg	25.5	2.3	29.8	14.2	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI -73.6%

MIN +92.0%

MIN +11.8%

MIN +13.2%

MIN +6.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	MIN	NBA	PHI	MIN	NBA
this game	15.5	16.1	15.6	98.9	102.2	102.8
season	15.6	15.3		101.0	102.6
opponent	15.1	16.1		104.7	97.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	16.1	14.7	15.7	15.7	15.5
MIN	16.6	16.0	15.0	17.0	16.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jodie Meeks	58	56	0.19	-0.69	0.89	-0.04	8	-9	17	15.0	16.4	-1.39	15.6	17.0	-1.41
Lavoy Allen	43	40	0.04	-0.54	0.57	0.01	1	-2	3	15.3	15.8	-0.52	15.2	16.8	-1.57
Nikola Vucevic	30	29	-0.03	-0.47	0.43	0.05	-3	2	-5	15.1	15.7	-0.64	15.9	16.2	-0.28
Evan Turner	31	29	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	0.03	-4	3	-7	15.2	15.7	-0.46	14.0	17.1	-3.13
Elton Brand	60	61	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	-0.49	6	-7	13	16.0	14.7	1.30	17.1	14.0	3.08
Andre Iguodala	61	61	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.50	3	-4	7	15.7	15.2	0.46	17.1	14.0	3.13
Jrue Holiday	72	72	-0.45	-0.05	-0.41	-0.39	-2	1	-3	16.0	13.8	2.21	16.8	13.3	3.56
Thaddeus Young	51	50	-0.69	0.19	-0.87	-0.51	-6	5	-11	15.5	15.6	-0.10	15.7	16.6	-0.90
Louis Williams	54	52	-0.74	0.24	-0.98	-0.51	-8	7	-15	15.4	15.7	-0.21	15.7	16.7	-0.97

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Martell Webster	41	43	0.62	-0.12	0.74	0.53	3	-2	5	15.8	16.4	-0.54	15.2	15.9	-0.69
Kevin Love	77	79	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.46	3	-2	5	16.2	15.9	0.23	15.4	16.1	-0.63
Ricky Rubio	70	72	0.50	-0.00	0.51	0.39	4	-3	7	16.1	16.3	-0.29	15.3	16.4	-1.11
Nikola Pekovic	68	69	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.42	-1	2	-3	16.2	16.0	0.16	16.1	13.9	2.22
Luke Ridnour	55	56	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.38	-2	3	-5	17.0	14.8	2.16	15.9	14.9	0.97
Jose Juan Barea	42	43	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.07	2	-1	3	15.2	16.9	-1.75	15.3	15.8	-0.48
Derrick Williams	35	35	0.05	0.45	-0.39	0.05	0	1	-1	16.0	16.2	-0.25	15.1	15.8	-0.77
Michael Beasley	22	22	-0.01	0.51	-0.51	0.02	-1	2	-3	15.6	16.3	-0.64	15.8	15.4	0.38
Wesley Johnson	40	41	-0.11	0.61	-0.72	-0.02	-3	4	-7	16.6	15.7	0.90	15.6	15.5	0.10

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.43,0.39,0.39,0.32,0.37,0.41,0.47,0.4,0.42,0.46,0.42,0.44,0.47,0.44,0.37,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.39,0.41,0.33,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.45,0.48,0.36,0.35,0.29,0.31,0.31,0.37,0.48,0.42,0.43,0.32,0.47,0.58,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.47,0.64,0.45,0.42,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAC 90, MIL 92	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.44,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.37,0.36,0.42,0.38,0.38,0.43,0.35,0.41,0.41,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.37,0.38,0.31,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.39,0.35,0.34,0.41,0.48,0.4,0.42,0.48,0.53,0.53,0.63,0.53,0.53,0.47,0.39,0.45,0.43,0.42,1	92.7%
UTA 72, MIA 74	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.42,0.4,0.36,0.4,0.41,0.45,0.45,0.4,0.35,0.36,0.34,0.32,0.36,0.36,0.33,0.31,0.37,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.33,0.3,0.33,0.35,0.34,0.34,0.36,0.39,0.35,0.35,0.45,0.41,0.48,0.6,0.46,0.38,0.25,0.43,0.53,0.53,0.6,0.47,0.68,0.61,0.65,0.58,1	91.5%
SAC 92, NOH 97	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.46,0.46,0.42,0.43,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.45,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.53,0.48,0.54,0.56,0.56,0.51,0.5,0.45,0.37,0.48,0.45,0.38,0.42,0.29,0.32,0.24,0.26,0.25,0.38,0.34,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.41,0.46,0.69,0.54,0.24,0.42,1	90.8%