NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Minnesota Timberwolves	108		Excitement	9.1 [101]		MVP	Anthony Morrow (NJN): +77.5%
New Jersey Nets	105		Comeback	2.9 [428]		LVP	Deron Williams (NJN): -54.6%

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nikola Pekovic	0.31	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.22,0.31,0.31	0.17	0.14	0.00	14	79%	0.43	3	-0.12	6	83%	0.03
Luke Ridnour	0.13	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,0.05,0.13	-0.04	0.18	0.01	7	50%	0.20	3	-0.07	4	100%	0.06
Kevin Love	0.12	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.03	0.09	-0.00	16	48%	0.12	0	0.00	10	100%	0.08
Ricky Rubio	0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	-0.00	0.05	0.00	8	56%	0.10	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Martell Webster	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.01	0.00	2	125%	0.07	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Wayne Ellington	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	1	150%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derrick Williams	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.01	-0.00	2	67%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Michael Beasley	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.00	-0.02	7	59%	0.05	2	-0.02	3	67%	-0.01
Anthony Tolliver	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.00	1	25%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Wesley Johnson	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	10	48%	0.03	2	-0.06	1	100%	0.01
Jose Juan Barea	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.05	-0.07	0.01	-0.01	9	35%	0.02	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.05
Darko Milicic	-0.05	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	0.00	-0.01	5	20%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Anthony Morrow	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.19,0.22,0.22,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.28,0.25,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.42,0.6,0.6,0.78	0.78	0.37	0.42	0.01	20	87%	0.85	3	-0.08	8	100%	0.06
Kris Humphries	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.02,0.02,0.08	0.08	-0.00	0.08	-0.01	14	44%	0.08	0	0.00	8	75%	-0.05
Jordan Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.05	0.02	0.00	6	67%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shawne Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.00	-0.01	-0.03	6	42%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Johan Petro	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sundiata Gaines	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Farmar	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.04	0.00	11	58%	0.06	3	-0.10	2	100%	0.01
Keith Bogans	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.06	-0.03	-0.00	6	29%	-0.07	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Shelden Williams	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.08	-0.05	-0.01	2	33%	-0.00	3	-0.12	2	0%	-0.02
Deron Williams	0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.14,-0.16,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.2,-0.2,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.4,-0.55	-0.55	-0.21	-0.34	-0.00	18	32%	-0.15	6	-0.39	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.4	2.3	29.7	15.0	26.1	2.4	42.3	142.2
league avg	25.5	2.3	29.8	14.2	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NJN -5.9%

MIN +28.9%

NJN -4.8%

MIN +30.4%

MIN +1.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIN	NJN	NBA	MIN	NJN	NBA
this game	14.7	15.4	15.6	112.5	110.5	102.8
season	15.3	16.2		102.6	101.3
opponent	15.2	15.1		107.6	104.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIN	13.3	17.0	13.8	15.0	14.7
NJN	16.2	13.7	17.5	14.4	15.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Wesley Johnson	57	57	0.60	-0.10	0.69	0.42	6	-3	9	14.4	15.3	-0.91	15.8	14.9	0.92
Nikola Pekovic	68	67	0.54	-0.04	0.59	0.22	11	-8	19	14.5	15.3	-0.82	15.9	14.2	1.76
Ricky Rubio	75	74	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.39	4	-1	5	14.5	15.7	-1.19	15.8	14.2	1.52
Kevin Love	83	82	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.42	0	3	-3	14.5	16.3	-1.81	15.6	14.4	1.20
Jose Juan Barea	42	39	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.07	8	-5	13	14.3	15.1	-0.72	14.8	15.8	-1.02
Luke Ridnour	63	64	0.30	0.20	0.09	0.44	-5	8	-13	14.7	14.8	-0.03	15.6	15.1	0.43
Wayne Ellington	14	15	0.11	0.39	-0.27	0.02	3	0	3	15.5	14.6	0.89	13.7	15.7	-2.08
Derrick Williams	13	13	0.08	0.42	-0.34	-0.01	3	0	3	16.3	14.5	1.81	14.4	15.6	-1.20
Martell Webster	6	6	0.03	0.47	-0.43	0.00	1	2	-1	16.0	14.7	1.34	16.2	15.4	0.80
Darko Milicic	16	15	-0.05	0.55	-0.61	0.01	-2	5	-7	15.4	14.6	0.84	16.0	15.3	0.69
Michael Beasley	33	32	-0.16	0.66	-0.81	0.02	-6	9	-15	15.2	14.5	0.63	14.6	15.8	-1.20
Anthony Tolliver	10	11	-0.19	0.69	-0.87	0.05	-8	11	-19	17.9	14.4	3.53	12.9	15.7	-2.84

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Shelden Williams	44	43	0.29	-0.79	1.07	0.11	6	-9	15	15.8	15.1	0.74	15.8	13.9	1.86
Sundiata Gaines	15	15	0.03	-0.53	0.56	0.03	0	-3	3	15.7	15.4	0.37	12.8	15.1	-2.30
Johan Petro	15	14	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	0.05	-5	2	-7	15.4	15.4	-0.03	14.6	14.8	-0.11
Jordan Farmar	62	63	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.10	-1	-2	1	15.1	16.0	-0.89	14.0	16.2	-2.24
Jordan Williams	29	31	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	-0.03	-6	3	-9	16.5	15.0	1.53	14.0	15.1	-1.09
Anthony Morrow	66	66	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.44	7	-10	17	15.3	15.6	-0.29	14.9	14.3	0.64
Keith Bogans	37	39	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	-0.21	-3	0	-3	14.9	15.7	-0.82	15.5	14.2	1.30
Kris Humphries	80	81	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.44	0	-3	3	15.4	15.4	0.03	14.8	14.5	0.32
Shawne Williams	52	53	-0.60	0.10	-0.70	-0.51	-3	0	-3	15.5	15.3	0.17	14.9	14.5	0.37
Deron Williams	75	75	-0.81	0.31	-1.12	-0.52	-10	7	-17	15.2	16.1	-0.86	14.8	14.7	0.09

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.55,0.57,0.52,0.55,0.59,0.57,0.57,0.57,0.53,0.51,0.42,0.4,0.42,0.34,0.27,0.25,0.35,0.37,0.39,0.44,0.56,0.58,0.64,0.5,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.55,0.48,0.32,0.2,0.16,0.15,0.26,0.29,0.3,0.34,0.43,0.62,0.58,0.36,0.34,0.4,0.64,0.55,0.67,0.08,0
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 101, MIA 95	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.56,0.62,0.61,0.53,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.37,0.4,0.31,0.3,0.31,0.44,0.44,0.41,0.44,0.44,0.46,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.39,0.32,0.38,0.38,0.28,0.26,0.32,0.46,0.34,0.25,0.28,0.32,0.36,0.35,0.6,0.55,0.46,0.57,0.09,0	89.8%
SAC 116, LAC 109	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.45,0.39,0.41,0.43,0.36,0.36,0.34,0.28,0.28,0.32,0.38,0.37,0.46,0.48,0.39,0.4,0.46,0.46,0.5,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.33,0.3,0.18,0.25,0.28,0.23,0.33,0.32,0.34,0.3,0.43,0.42,0.32,0.41,0.24,0.4,0.38,0.55,0.67,0.08,0	89.2%
ATL 114, ORL 110	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.43,0.48,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.53,0.47,0.51,0.43,0.44,0.42,0.45,0.47,0.39,0.37,0.36,0.44,0.39,0.51,0.56,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.4,0.35,0.32,0.28,0.23,0.33,0.29,0.19,0.22,0.25,0.42,0.37,0.47,0.46,0.54,0.47,0.37,0.43,0.26,0	88.9%