NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Jersey Nets	92		Excitement	8.4 [190]		MVP	Rasual Butler (CHI): +42.1%
Chicago Bulls	97		Comeback	5.6 [558]		LVP	Carlos Boozer (CHI): -16.4%

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Johan Petro	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.05	0.08	0.01	7	65%	0.14	1	-0.02	6	83%	-0.01
Brook Lopez	0.09	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.17,0.09	-0.01	0.08	-0.02	17	49%	0.16	2	-0.07	1	100%	0.01
Travis Outlaw	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.1,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.01	0.04	-0.00	11	41%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dan Gadzuric	0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.02	-0.00	4	56%	0.05	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
Stephen Graham	0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.04	0.01	0.02	9	61%	0.06	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Brandan Wright	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.01	0.00	3	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Ben Uzoh	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.02	-0.00	3	33%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Sasha Vujacic	-0.03	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	11	45%	0.00	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Farmar	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,-0.02,-0.09,-0.19,-0.07,-0.11	0.01	-0.12	0.00	15	58%	0.09	4	-0.20	6	83%	0.05

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rasual Butler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.42	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.00	5	100%	0.47	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Korver	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.17,0.17,0.26,0.26,0.27	0.27	0.11	0.17	0.01	13	66%	0.27	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
Derrick Rose	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	13	44%	0.01	0	0.00	8	62%	-0.04
Omer Asik	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Taj Gibson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0	-0.00	0.03	-0.03	0.00	4	64%	0.06	1	-0.06	6	83%	-0.02
Keith Bogans	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	3	50%	0.03	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Joakim Noah	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	11	42%	-0.01	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Kurt Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.02	-0.04	0.00	2	50%	-0.01	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Luol Deng	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.05	-0.01	0.01	11	46%	0.01	3	-0.09	2	100%	0.01
CJ Watson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,-0.12	-0.12	0.01	-0.13	0.00	5	57%	-0.09	1	-0.03	4	75%	-0.02
Carlos Boozer	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.11	-0.04	0.02	11	33%	-0.09	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.2	2.4	27.4	15.6	26.2	1.7	43.3	142.8
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI +16.2%

NJN -4.7%

CHI +28.2%

CHI +1.0%

CHI +9.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NJN	CHI	NBA	NJN	CHI	NBA
this game	17.3	15.1	15.5	103.4	109.0	105.7
season	16.4	15.7		101.6	106.5
opponent	15.9	15.3		99.2	108.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NJN	17.5	17.8	16.1	17.7	17.3
CHI	15.2	15.8	15.2	14.2	15.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dan Gadzuric	34	33	0.33	-0.83	1.16	0.07	9	-14	23	16.9	17.5	-0.67	16.0	14.6	1.45
Brandan Wright	25	24	0.28	-0.78	1.06	-0.01	10	-15	25	16.4	17.6	-1.15	17.6	14.2	3.41
Johan Petro	38	37	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.15	-2	-3	1	17.8	16.8	1.00	15.0	15.2	-0.15
Stephen Graham	61	62	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	-0.13	-4	-1	-3	16.9	18.1	-1.17	14.3	16.9	-2.64
Jordan Farmar	72	72	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.46	7	-12	19	16.8	19.1	-2.28	15.2	14.4	0.84
Ben Uzoh	18	18	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	0.09	-14	9	-23	18.3	17.0	1.26	13.7	15.5	-1.78
Sasha Vujacic	77	78	-0.53	0.03	-0.55	-0.38	-5	0	-5	17.4	16.7	0.60	15.4	12.9	2.49
Brook Lopez	71	72	-0.74	0.24	-0.99	-0.30	-15	10	-25	17.6	16.1	1.45	14.5	17.8	-3.31
Travis Outlaw	49	49	-0.81	0.31	-1.11	-0.48	-11	6	-17	17.7	16.7	0.99	15.1	15.1	-0.06

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Taj Gibson	39	38	0.89	-0.39	1.28	0.45	15	-10	25	15.6	14.7	0.84	18.7	16.2	2.47
CJ Watson	34	33	0.86	-0.36	1.22	0.51	12	-7	19	13.6	16.0	-2.33	18.6	16.5	2.12
Rasual Butler	22	23	0.75	-0.25	1.01	0.40	12	-7	19	16.2	14.7	1.51	19.9	16.4	3.51
Kyle Korver	51	53	0.75	-0.25	1.00	0.37	13	-8	21	15.8	14.2	1.58	17.9	16.4	1.48
Kurt Thomas	36	36	0.71	-0.21	0.92	0.36	12	-7	19	14.5	15.5	-1.04	18.0	16.8	1.18
Omer Asik	10	9	0.08	0.42	-0.35	-0.01	3	2	1	17.3	14.8	2.49	20.4	16.9	3.53
Derrick Rose	59	58	-0.24	0.74	-0.99	-0.10	-5	10	-15	15.0	15.3	-0.37	16.2	19.4	-3.20
Keith Bogans	42	41	-0.28	0.78	-1.05	-0.07	-7	12	-19	14.6	15.5	-0.89	17.0	17.5	-0.59
Joakim Noah	43	44	-0.29	0.79	-1.07	0.01	-10	15	-25	15.1	15.1	0.01	16.0	18.5	-2.42
Luol Deng	61	60	-0.30	0.80	-1.11	-0.07	-8	13	-21	14.9	15.5	-0.60	16.1	19.6	-3.44
Carlos Boozer	48	50	-0.43	0.93	-1.35	-0.08	-12	17	-29	15.3	14.9	0.44	16.4	18.4	-2.03

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.5,0.5,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.6,0.55,0.58,0.65,0.68,0.74,0.73,0.77,0.76,0.7,0.64,0.66,0.67,0.67,0.59,0.7,0.63,0.6,0.55,0.58,0.55,0.48,0.32,0.19,0.2,0.3,0.44,0.5,0.43,0.47,0.38,0.23,0.31,0.15,0.27,0.52,0.55,0.76,0.42,1
Game		Similarity Score
NJN 91, DET 92	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.64,0.61,0.64,0.63,0.68,0.63,0.62,0.66,0.72,0.7,0.74,0.71,0.69,0.67,0.63,0.59,0.59,0.54,0.57,0.67,0.73,0.63,0.66,0.67,0.76,0.64,0.55,0.52,0.38,0.44,0.33,0.44,0.46,0.43,0.38,0.38,0.23,0.18,0.29,0.46,0.45,0.46,0.55,0.42,1	90.0%
NJN 69, CHI 71	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.47,0.5,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.64,0.64,0.73,0.8,0.78,0.75,0.74,0.66,0.64,0.59,0.51,0.58,0.52,0.48,0.45,0.39,0.32,0.29,0.25,0.34,0.33,0.4,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.38,0.47,0.41,0.25,0.4,0.45,0.55,0.43,0.41,1	89.9%
NYK 107, GSW 111	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.55,0.51,0.57,0.49,0.55,0.6,0.53,0.53,0.6,0.56,0.62,0.63,0.61,0.61,0.58,0.58,0.61,0.58,0.58,0.52,0.57,0.48,0.48,0.32,0.35,0.28,0.27,0.13,0.28,0.3,0.22,0.29,0.33,0.27,0.11,0.14,0.27,0.53,0.78,0.83,0.42,1	89.5%