NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Jersey Nets	91		Excitement	8.3 [220]		MVP	Richard Hamilton (DET): +19.4%
Detroit Pistons	92		Comeback	6.0 [352]		LVP	Jason Kidd (NJN): -18.7%

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Richard Jefferson	0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.14,0.17	0.03	0.13	-0.01	12	62%	0.24	3	-0.07	5	40%	-0.10
Mikki Moore	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.06	0.08	0.01	2	100%	0.15	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.06
Jason Collins	0.04	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.05,0.04,0.04	0.07	-0.01	0.02	8	64%	0.04	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.07
Josh Boone	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	3	55%	0.02	2	-0.05	5	40%	-0.04
Hassan Adams	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	4	25%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Vince Carter	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.1,0.1,0.19,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.19,0.13,0.21,0.21,0.21,-0.05	0.03	-0.07	-0.00	17	57%	0.06	3	-0.11	15	93%	0.16
Eddie House	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	-0.00	5	20%	-0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jason Kidd	-0.19	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.19	-0.07	-0.11	0.00	14	43%	-0.10	3	-0.09	2	100%	0.02

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Richard Hamilton	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.1,0.04,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.08	0.11	-0.01	16	55%	0.19	1	0.00	6	100%	0.05
Nazr Mohammed	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.07	0.10	0.00	9	68%	0.21	1	-0.04	4	75%	0.01
Tayshaun Prince	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.01	0.13	-0.02	12	53%	0.21	2	-0.05	8	87%	0.07
Chauncey Billups	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.24,0.11	0.11	-0.10	0.20	-0.01	10	25%	0.13	1	-0.01	4	100%	0.15
Jason Maxiell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.02	0.04	0.00	2	67%	0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Rasheed Wallace	0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.11,0.11,0.19,0.19,0.05	0.05	0.18	-0.10	0.03	12	81%	0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Ronald Dupree	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dale Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	0.00	2	50%	0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Ronald Murray	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.01	-0.00	3	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Will Blalock	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Carlos Delfino	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Antonio McDyess	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.07	-0.04	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	3	-0.10	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.1	2.0	30.8	16.5	29.5	2.4	40.5	145.7
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DET +6.6%

DET +45.9%

DET +1.4%

DET +5.6%

NJN -9.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NJN	DET	NBA	NJN	DET	NBA
this game	16.1	16.2	15.4	102.2	103.4	104.5
season	15.4	16.8		103.1	106.1
opponent	15.7	15.7		101.7	103.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NJN	16.1	14.7	16.1	17.8	16.1
DET	15.9	15.3	17.3	16.5	16.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Hassan Adams	11	11	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	0.07	-6	5	-11	14.5	16.4	-1.81	17.1	16.1	0.99
Josh Boone	56	56	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.10	-2	1	-3	15.6	17.1	-1.52	15.8	16.9	-1.04
Eddie House	24	24	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.29	4	-5	9	15.5	16.4	-0.87	15.9	16.4	-0.48
Jason Collins	66	66	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.22	0	-1	1	16.0	16.4	-0.35	17.1	13.8	3.23
Mikki Moore	56	55	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	-0.31	0	-1	1	16.8	15.0	1.80	15.9	16.8	-0.87
Richard Jefferson	75	76	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	-0.52	5	-6	11	16.4	14.6	1.77	16.2	16.3	-0.10
Vince Carter	81	79	-0.44	-0.06	-0.39	-0.44	0	-1	1	16.3	14.0	2.35	16.0	17.7	-1.66
Jason Kidd	76	78	-0.71	0.21	-0.92	-0.53	-6	5	-11	16.1	16.5	-0.47	16.2	16.3	-0.05

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Nazr Mohammed	41	43	0.76	-0.26	1.02	0.14	21	-20	41	16.3	16.2	0.13	17.3	15.0	2.26
Richard Hamilton	68	67	0.76	-0.26	1.01	0.40	12	-11	23	15.9	17.4	-1.51	16.6	14.8	1.81
Chauncey Billups	74	71	0.66	-0.16	0.82	0.48	6	-5	11	16.1	16.9	-0.77	15.9	16.9	-1.01
Rasheed Wallace	67	67	0.64	-0.14	0.79	0.44	7	-6	13	16.3	16.0	0.30	16.4	15.4	0.96
Tayshaun Prince	76	77	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.38	6	-5	11	16.3	15.6	0.71	16.3	15.2	1.02
Ronald Dupree	1	1	0.32	0.18	0.15	0.32	0	1	-1	1.0	16.4	-15.40	13.0	16.2	-3.17
Carlos Delfino	13	12	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	0.09	-5	6	-11	15.6	16.3	-0.71	15.2	16.3	-1.02
Antonio McDyess	18	19	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	0.08	-5	6	-11	14.6	16.6	-2.02	14.6	16.6	-1.98
Will Blalock	15	18	-0.16	0.66	-0.82	-0.01	-5	6	-11	16.9	16.1	0.77	16.9	15.9	1.01
Ronald Murray	21	21	-0.27	0.77	-1.04	0.05	-11	12	-23	17.4	15.9	1.51	14.9	16.5	-1.67
Jason Maxiell	23	22	-0.32	0.82	-1.14	0.03	-12	13	-25	16.7	16.1	0.58	14.8	16.6	-1.81
Dale Davis	28	27	-0.32	0.82	-1.14	-0.06	-9	10	-19	17.2	15.8	1.39	15.9	16.2	-0.35

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.64,0.61,0.64,0.63,0.68,0.63,0.62,0.66,0.72,0.7,0.74,0.71,0.69,0.67,0.63,0.59,0.59,0.54,0.57,0.67,0.73,0.63,0.66,0.67,0.76,0.64,0.55,0.52,0.38,0.44,0.33,0.44,0.46,0.43,0.38,0.38,0.23,0.18,0.29,0.46,0.45,0.46,0.55,0.42,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHI 78, LAC 83	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.6,0.58,0.56,0.53,0.53,0.57,0.65,0.63,0.68,0.68,0.7,0.68,0.67,0.67,0.62,0.61,0.64,0.61,0.64,0.74,0.78,0.82,0.79,0.79,0.78,0.76,0.67,0.61,0.62,0.62,0.56,0.45,0.48,0.54,0.38,0.38,0.43,0.37,0.32,0.29,0.22,0.32,0.46,0.77,0.58,1	90.3%
MIA 82, PHX 84	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.52,0.46,0.51,0.57,0.57,0.63,0.69,0.65,0.66,0.72,0.74,0.68,0.62,0.6,0.58,0.59,0.59,0.54,0.51,0.61,0.67,0.8,0.74,0.64,0.55,0.61,0.61,0.55,0.41,0.41,0.27,0.33,0.29,0.34,0.38,0.43,0.43,0.42,0.47,0.4,0.39,0.53,0.36,0.55,0.73,1	90.1%
SEA 91, LAC 96	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.52,0.58,0.56,0.59,0.59,0.6,0.65,0.66,0.64,0.65,0.66,0.64,0.66,0.67,0.65,0.68,0.66,0.71,0.69,0.77,0.8,0.73,0.63,0.6,0.55,0.52,0.55,0.68,0.59,0.55,0.44,0.44,0.41,0.46,0.43,0.47,0.37,0.32,0.26,0.35,0.54,0.61,0.55,0.67,0.77,1	90.1%