inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Atlanta Hawks 85 Excitement4.1 [1050] MVPGerald Henderson (CHA): +7.4%
Charlotte Bobcats 96 Comeback1.1 [923] LVPBoris Diaw (CHA): -9.6%


Atlanta Hawks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Jamal Crawford0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.12,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.06-0.020.001061%0.071-0.04367%-0.00
Josh Powell0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.06-0.030.021059%0.041-0.02786%0.01
Zaza Pachulia0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.010.00-0.01333%0.0000.0000%0.00
Damien Wilkins-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,00.04-0.010.031058%0.021-0.024100%0.00
Josh Smith-0.010,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.010.000.000.01367%0.011-0.0200%0.00
Kirk Hinrich-0.010,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.02-0.00-0.011050%0.022-0.0300%0.00
Pape Sy-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.040.00-0.0210%-0.001-0.0200%0.00
Jeff Teague-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.010.010.021045%-0.011-0.02250%-0.01
Etan Thomas-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.01-0.020.00657%0.012-0.042100%0.01
Marvin Williams-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.07-0.00-0.01621%-0.0600.00250%-0.01
Al Horford-0.060,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.07-0.00-0.01425%-0.032-0.0300%0.00
Joe Johnson-0.090,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.10-0.00-0.01617%-0.052-0.0400%0.00

Charlotte Bobcats
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Gerald Henderson0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.08,0.09,0.11,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.070.010.001756%0.0700.002100%0.00
Kwame Brown0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.08-0.000.01569%0.0700.00650%-0.04
D.J. Augustin0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.050.00-0.011357%0.081-0.014100%0.02
Dante Cunningham0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.030.02-0.011164%0.102-0.0400%0.00
DJ White0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.07,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.030.00-0.011060%0.091-0.0400%0.00
Dominic McGuire0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.030.000.01557%0.0300.004100%0.00
Garrett Temple0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.03-0.050.03-0.05437%0.042-0.0200%0.00
Matt Carroll0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.010.000.01540%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Boris Diaw0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.10-0.07-0.020.011035%-0.072-0.0300%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game22.72.531.49.824.31.826.3118.7
league avg26.22.430.316.427.22.433.9140.0
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
CHA +38.2%
ATL -0.2%
CHA +0.4%
CHA +12.5%
ATL -0.9%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsATLCHANBAATLCHANBA
this game16.115.915.594.4106.7105.7
season16.516.2104.0102.3
opponent15.515.5106.5105.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
ATL18.015.315.915.316.1
CHA14.115.318.416.015.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Marvin Williams3432-0.09-0.410.33-0.090-111117.215.41.7816.815.41.42
Pape Sy1718-0.11-0.390.28-0.08-1-10915.616.2-0.6315.116.1-1.06
Damien Wilkins6364-0.11-0.390.28-0.358-192716.016.3-0.2316.514.42.13
Josh Powell6263-0.14-0.360.22-0.378-192716.116.00.1516.314.91.39
Zaza Pachulia4546-0.15-0.350.20-0.06-3-8517.015.21.8016.415.41.00
Kirk Hinrich3939-0.15-0.350.20-0.00-5-6116.216.00.1416.815.21.62
Jamal Crawford3535-0.16-0.340.18-0.160-111116.315.90.4015.816.0-0.16
Joe Johnson2121-0.23-0.270.040.09-110-1115.216.4-1.1914.016.5-2.42
Josh Smith1919-0.28-0.22-0.070.16-154-1917.115.81.2114.716.2-1.54
Etan Thomas4544-0.35-0.15-0.20-0.12-8-3-515.217.0-1.8015.416.4-1.00
Al Horford2827-0.36-0.14-0.220.20-198-2716.016.1-0.1514.916.3-1.39
Jeff Teague4242-0.37-0.13-0.23-0.10-9-2-715.316.8-1.5715.316.4-1.06

Charlotte Bobcats
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Gerald Henderson69710.460.040.430.0514-31715.716.7-1.0616.116.2-0.14
Boris Diaw81790.400.100.290.1683515.619.0-3.4416.215.30.94
Kwame Brown60620.330.170.170.04101916.315.11.2016.315.60.66
Garrett Temple27260.300.200.100.0492714.616.5-1.8716.515.90.56
Dante Cunningham54550.280.220.070.0292716.614.91.6415.716.7-1.05
DJ White39390.270.230.040.1547-316.015.80.1815.516.5-0.99
Dominic McGuire34330.240.26-0.020.1247-314.616.7-2.0116.715.80.94
D.J. Augustin63640.200.30-0.100.1429-716.514.61.8715.916.5-0.56
Matt Carroll23210.010.49-0.480.16-516-2117.015.51.4216.316.00.30


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.57,0.61,0.65,0.67,0.71,0.76,0.78,0.78,0.72,0.72,0.72,0.77,0.77,0.82,0.8,0.81,0.83,0.84,0.91,0.89,0.93,0.92,0.88,0.85,0.87,0.81,0.79,0.83,0.81,0.76,0.81,0.79,0.81,0.87,0.85,0.89,0.77,0.79,0.91,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
MIA 102, HOU 1120.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.55,0.61,0.63,0.68,0.67,0.67,0.72,0.74,0.75,0.74,0.72,0.74,0.77,0.81,0.76,0.8,0.86,0.85,0.84,0.81,0.84,0.88,0.91,0.82,0.87,0.85,0.88,0.77,0.85,0.84,0.88,0.89,0.79,0.95,0.87,0.85,0.91,0.88,0.92,0.99,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,195.1%
IND 87, ATL 970.5,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.58,0.5,0.51,0.63,0.66,0.72,0.79,0.76,0.76,0.72,0.7,0.72,0.71,0.69,0.67,0.76,0.79,0.85,0.86,0.92,0.93,0.93,0.89,0.88,0.82,0.85,0.79,0.82,0.78,0.84,0.88,0.81,0.82,0.81,0.82,0.9,0.87,0.88,0.94,0.97,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,195.0%
TOR 101, IND 1090.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.58,0.65,0.69,0.74,0.76,0.79,0.79,0.8,0.78,0.8,0.8,0.83,0.82,0.87,0.84,0.9,0.9,0.93,0.95,0.95,0.89,0.88,0.83,0.83,0.79,0.84,0.83,0.92,0.88,0.84,0.82,0.81,0.82,0.82,0.8,0.74,0.86,0.8,0.9,0.93,0.9,0.96,0.99,194.9%