NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	87		Excitement	4.1 [781]		MVP	Josh Smith (ATL): +17.0%
Atlanta Hawks	97		Comeback	1.1 [765]		LVP	Paul George (IND): -9.8%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
A.J. Price	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.03	0.02	-0.00	4	62%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dahntay Jones	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	0.00	3	71%	0.03	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
David West	0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.05	-0.01	0.01	13	56%	0.05	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.01
Roy Hibbert	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.02	0.01	-0.02	10	50%	0.03	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Danny Granger	-0.00	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.05	-0.01	0.04	17	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	8	100%	0.03
Tyler Hansbrough	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.01	11	58%	0.04	2	-0.05	4	75%	-0.00
Lance Stephenson	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Lou Amundson	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	2	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Darren Collison	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	0.00	0.02	7	56%	0.01	3	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Paul George	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.13	-0.00	-0.04	8	24%	-0.04	3	-0.06	5	60%	-0.01

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Josh Smith	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.10	0.04	-0.02	17	70%	0.26	5	-0.09	6	67%	-0.01
Tracy McGrady	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.09	0.05	-0.03	6	81%	0.19	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
Kirk Hinrich	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.13	0.02	0.01	9	94%	0.16	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Zaza Pachulia	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.04	6	45%	0.02	1	-0.00	8	62%	-0.00
Joe Johnson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.09,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.06	0.01	-0.05	23	42%	0.03	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Vladimir Radmanovic	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Teague	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	4	42%	0.00	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.00
Willie Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	3	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ivan Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Marvin Williams	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.01	0.01	7	36%	-0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.3	2.5	30.8	14.7	27.5	2.7	31.2	133.7
league avg	25.5	2.3	29.8	14.2	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL +32.6%

ATL +11.8%

ATL +7.5%

IND -1.1%

IND -0.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	ATL	NBA	IND	ATL	NBA
this game	16.1	16.2	15.6	98.9	107.8	102.8
season	15.7	15.7		104.2	102.5
opponent	15.9	15.6		99.5	101.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	14.9	17.3	15.7	16.7	16.1
ATL	15.1	14.0	15.6	21.2	16.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
A.J. Price	21	23	0.10	-0.60	0.70	-0.14	8	-18	26	16.0	16.2	-0.18	16.0	16.3	-0.30
Lou Amundson	19	20	0.07	-0.57	0.64	-0.14	7	-17	24	15.5	16.3	-0.78	15.2	16.5	-1.31
Lance Stephenson	24	24	0.04	-0.54	0.58	-0.14	6	-16	22	18.1	15.4	2.73	14.3	16.9	-2.63
Tyler Hansbrough	34	35	-0.07	-0.43	0.35	-0.19	4	-14	18	16.5	15.9	0.64	15.4	16.8	-1.39
Dahntay Jones	27	29	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.05	-8	-2	-6	16.8	15.8	0.98	16.6	16.0	0.59
Danny Granger	72	74	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.20	-6	-4	-2	16.0	16.9	-0.90	16.4	15.6	0.73
Paul George	53	53	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.03	-12	2	-14	15.1	17.7	-2.57	16.7	15.5	1.16
David West	58	59	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.03	-15	5	-20	15.8	16.7	-0.91	16.9	15.0	1.86
Roy Hibbert	65	66	-0.53	0.03	-0.55	-0.06	-16	6	-22	16.4	15.4	0.95	16.4	15.7	0.70
Darren Collison	67	67	-0.60	0.10	-0.70	-0.07	-18	8	-26	16.2	16.0	0.18	16.3	16.0	0.30

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Zaza Pachulia	70	69	0.56	-0.06	0.61	0.12	15	-5	20	16.5	15.2	1.31	16.3	15.5	0.78
Joe Johnson	83	81	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.20	12	-2	14	16.5	13.1	3.34	15.9	18.9	-2.96
Josh Smith	86	85	0.54	-0.04	0.57	0.19	12	-2	14	16.4	12.7	3.63	16.1	17.0	-0.89
Kirk Hinrich	44	42	0.32	0.18	0.14	-0.03	12	-2	14	15.1	17.3	-2.12	16.9	15.5	1.42
Tracy McGrady	38	38	0.29	0.21	0.07	0.14	5	5	0	18.0	14.9	3.12	16.5	15.9	0.64
Marvin Williams	45	44	0.26	0.24	0.03	-0.03	10	0	10	15.0	17.4	-2.40	15.9	16.4	-0.55
Jeff Teague	46	46	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.24	-2	12	-14	17.3	15.1	2.12	15.5	16.9	-1.42
Vladimir Radmanovic	4	3	-0.04	0.54	-0.57	0.02	-2	12	-14	12.7	16.4	-3.63	17.0	16.1	0.89
Ivan Johnson	20	19	-0.06	0.56	-0.61	0.09	-5	15	-20	15.2	16.5	-1.31	15.5	16.3	-0.78
Willie Green	14	13	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	0.10	-7	17	-24	13.6	16.7	-3.05	17.5	15.9	1.55

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.58,0.5,0.51,0.63,0.66,0.72,0.79,0.76,0.76,0.72,0.7,0.72,0.71,0.69,0.67,0.76,0.79,0.85,0.86,0.92,0.93,0.93,0.89,0.88,0.82,0.85,0.79,0.82,0.78,0.84,0.88,0.81,0.82,0.81,0.82,0.9,0.87,0.88,0.94,0.97,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 111, SAC 125	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.48,0.53,0.54,0.55,0.6,0.63,0.69,0.73,0.67,0.7,0.68,0.74,0.76,0.73,0.71,0.69,0.72,0.81,0.83,0.83,0.83,0.87,0.88,0.9,0.93,0.91,0.87,0.92,0.89,0.85,0.86,0.86,0.86,0.9,0.85,0.78,0.82,0.8,0.93,0.97,0.99,0.98,1,1,1,1,1	95.1%
ATL 85, CHA 96	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.57,0.61,0.65,0.67,0.71,0.76,0.78,0.78,0.72,0.72,0.72,0.77,0.77,0.82,0.8,0.81,0.83,0.84,0.91,0.89,0.93,0.92,0.88,0.85,0.87,0.81,0.79,0.83,0.81,0.76,0.81,0.79,0.81,0.87,0.85,0.89,0.77,0.79,0.91,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1	95.0%
NYK 90, UTA 98	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.58,0.66,0.72,0.73,0.79,0.83,0.81,0.78,0.75,0.74,0.72,0.73,0.73,0.71,0.72,0.71,0.77,0.81,0.86,0.84,0.93,0.92,0.87,0.87,0.83,0.76,0.82,0.88,0.91,0.85,0.86,0.87,0.74,0.78,0.88,0.87,0.88,0.89,0.95,0.97,0.99,0.98,0.99,1,1	95.0%