NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	90		Excitement	4.3 [936]		MVP	Larry Johnson (NYK): +12.2%
Utah Jazz	98		Comeback	1.0 [1139]		LVP	Allan Houston (NYK): -8.5%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Larry Johnson	0.12	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12	0.08	0.04	-0.00	9	70%	0.12	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Charlie Ward	0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	-0.00	7	64%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kurt Thomas	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	-0.00	4	75%	0.04	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Camby	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	-0.02	12	56%	0.02	1	-0.02	8	50%	-0.02
Chris Dudley	-0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andrew Lang	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
John Wallace	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.08	-0.01	-0.02	7	33%	-0.01	2	-0.05	1	100%	0.00
Chris Childs	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.09	-0.00	-0.02	5	8%	-0.07	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Latrell Sprewell	-0.07	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	0.01	25	46%	-0.01	3	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Allan Houston	-0.09	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.06	-0.02	0.00	11	50%	-0.03	3	-0.06	4	75%	-0.00

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Karl Malone	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.1,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.02	0.02	-0.06	17	67%	0.16	5	-0.06	15	87%	0.03
Scott Padgett	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.04	0.05	-0.02	8	47%	0.08	2	-0.04	1	100%	0.00
Greg Ostertag	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.03	3	50%	0.02	0	0.00	4	25%	-0.02
Olden Polynice	0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	7	57%	0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
John Stockton	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	10	63%	0.08	4	-0.07	7	100%	0.03
Jeff Hornacek	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.00	-0.01	10	50%	0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Quincy Lewis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	0	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Bryon Russell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.08	0.02	-0.03	12	38%	0.01	2	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Howard Eisley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	5	50%	0.01	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Pete Chilcutt	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	31.0	1.8	32.0	16.8	26.1	1.7	32.2	141.5
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +21.8%

UTA +22.3%

UTA +14.2%

NYK -8.0%

NYK -0.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	UTA	NBA	NYK	UTA	NBA
this game	14.9	16.2	15.2	97.8	105.4	101.7
season	16.1	16.3		100.0	104.5
opponent	15.2	15.8		100.6	98.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	15.0	12.8	16.8	15.2	14.9
UTA	13.8	16.0	16.0	19.8	16.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Andrew Lang	13	13	0.05	-0.55	0.60	-0.13	6	-14	20	16.2	14.7	1.56	17.3	16.1	1.25
John Wallace	36	37	-0.05	-0.45	0.39	-0.20	5	-13	18	14.4	15.2	-0.87	18.1	15.0	3.15
Chris Dudley	9	10	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	0.13	-10	2	-12	16.0	14.8	1.23	14.1	16.5	-2.39
Charlie Ward	47	49	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.19	-1	-7	6	15.8	14.0	1.79	16.6	15.9	0.66
Allan Houston	49	49	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	-0.12	-5	-3	-2	15.6	14.1	1.41	15.7	16.8	-1.15
Chris Childs	45	44	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.07	-7	-1	-6	14.0	15.8	-1.79	15.9	16.6	-0.66
Marcus Camby	64	64	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	-0.21	-5	-3	-2	14.3	16.2	-1.95	15.9	17.1	-1.21
Kurt Thomas	43	43	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.25	-4	-4	0	13.9	15.8	-1.89	18.7	14.1	4.53
Larry Johnson	69	70	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.04	-12	4	-16	15.3	13.5	1.83	14.4	21.7	-7.31
Latrell Sprewell	85	86	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.25	-7	-1	-6	15.0	13.6	1.43	16.3	14.9	1.49

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Karl Malone	80	80	0.66	-0.16	0.83	0.19	16	-8	24	15.6	20.3	-4.73	15.0	14.3	0.64
Scott Padgett	58	56	0.59	-0.09	0.68	0.03	19	-11	30	15.6	17.3	-1.77	15.4	14.1	1.37
John Stockton	61	61	0.46	0.04	0.43	0.05	14	-6	20	15.2	18.2	-3.07	15.0	14.8	0.18
Greg Ostertag	40	39	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.26	3	5	-2	18.3	14.7	3.62	14.3	15.4	-1.10
Bryon Russell	66	65	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.29	1	7	-6	16.8	14.9	1.95	14.2	16.7	-2.51
Olden Polynice	53	53	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.00	5	3	2	14.7	18.3	-3.62	15.4	14.3	1.10
Jeff Hornacek	53	52	0.15	0.35	-0.21	0.15	0	8	-8	15.2	17.7	-2.52	16.1	13.3	2.86
Howard Eisley	32	31	0.04	0.46	-0.43	0.21	-6	14	-20	18.2	15.2	3.07	14.8	15.0	-0.18
Quincy Lewis	9	11	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	0.06	-4	12	-16	22.8	15.5	7.24	10.6	15.5	-4.83
Pete Chilcutt	13	12	-0.16	0.66	-0.83	0.07	-8	16	-24	20.3	15.6	4.73	14.3	15.0	-0.64

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.58,0.66,0.72,0.73,0.79,0.83,0.81,0.78,0.75,0.74,0.72,0.73,0.73,0.71,0.72,0.71,0.77,0.81,0.86,0.84,0.93,0.92,0.87,0.87,0.83,0.76,0.82,0.88,0.91,0.85,0.86,0.87,0.74,0.78,0.88,0.87,0.88,0.89,0.95,0.97,0.99,0.98,0.99,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
IND 87, ATL 97	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.58,0.5,0.51,0.63,0.66,0.72,0.79,0.76,0.76,0.72,0.7,0.72,0.71,0.69,0.67,0.76,0.79,0.85,0.86,0.92,0.93,0.93,0.89,0.88,0.82,0.85,0.79,0.82,0.78,0.84,0.88,0.81,0.82,0.81,0.82,0.9,0.87,0.88,0.94,0.97,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1	95.0%
PHX 111, CHH 119	0.5,0.51,0.56,0.6,0.65,0.67,0.74,0.73,0.73,0.75,0.81,0.83,0.83,0.77,0.76,0.8,0.8,0.81,0.8,0.8,0.77,0.8,0.82,0.83,0.82,0.9,0.89,0.91,0.85,0.91,0.92,0.84,0.9,0.95,0.9,0.86,0.82,0.81,0.87,0.91,0.92,0.91,0.86,0.85,0.96,0.98,0.99,1,1,1	94.8%
ATL 85, CHA 96	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.57,0.61,0.65,0.67,0.71,0.76,0.78,0.78,0.72,0.72,0.72,0.77,0.77,0.82,0.8,0.81,0.83,0.84,0.91,0.89,0.93,0.92,0.88,0.85,0.87,0.81,0.79,0.83,0.81,0.76,0.81,0.79,0.81,0.87,0.85,0.89,0.77,0.79,0.91,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1	94.7%