NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Oklahoma City Thunder	120		Excitement	6.9 [439]		MVP	DeMarcus Cousins (SAC): +11.9%
Sacramento Kings	112		Comeback	3.6 [579]		LVP	Marcus Thornton (SAC): -9.8%

Oklahoma City Thunder
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nazr Mohammed	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.10	0.01	0.00	5	100%	0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Serge Ibaka	0.10	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.04	0.05	-0.01	9	61%	0.17	2	-0.07	5	80%	0.01
James Harden	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.02,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.02	0.07	-0.01	7	63%	0.15	2	-0.06	5	100%	0.04
Kevin Durant	0.07	0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.12,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07	0.02	0.08	0.03	16	65%	0.22	7	-0.15	17	88%	0.02
Kendrick Perkins	0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.03	0.03	-0.01	4	55%	0.07	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.00
Thabo Sefolosha	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.01	0.00	4	75%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Russell Westbrook	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.01	22	59%	0.17	5	-0.13	7	86%	0.02
Eric Maynor	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.01	-0.00	4	75%	0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Nick Collison	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.01	-0.00	3	67%	0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Daequan Cook	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
DeMarcus Cousins	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.09	0.04	0.01	13	64%	0.23	4	-0.11	21	86%	0.04
Beno Udrih	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.07	0.02	0.04	15	60%	0.10	2	-0.05	5	100%	0.03
Francisco Garcia	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.06	-0.02	0.00	9	61%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Samuel Dalembert	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.02	0.03	-0.00	6	39%	0.02	0	0.00	6	83%	0.02
Jason Thompson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.07,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.06	-0.04	0.01	11	62%	0.05	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.02
Pooh Jeter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	2	33%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Donte Greene	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	6	33%	-0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Thornton	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.04,0.11,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.09,-0.1	-0.10	-0.08	-0.06	-0.04	23	42%	-0.02	3	-0.08	4	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.1	2.5	28.3	14.6	31.4	2.4	38.4	140.7
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

OKC +74.0%

SAC -8.8%

SAC -13.6%

SAC -8.5%

OKC +6.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	OKC	SAC	NBA	OKC	SAC	NBA
this game	14.6	14.4	15.5	120.0	113.1	105.7
season	15.0	14.9		108.8	102.1
opponent	14.9	15.6		107.7	105.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
OKC	14.2	17.3	13.8	13.2	14.6
SAC	14.6	13.2	15.0	14.5	14.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Oklahoma City Thunder
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
James Harden	50	51	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.34	5	3	2	13.7	15.4	-1.68	14.7	14.1	0.62
Kevin Durant	84	83	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.13	11	-3	14	13.9	17.8	-3.87	14.6	13.4	1.20
Nick Collison	37	38	0.43	0.07	0.35	0.16	9	-1	10	14.6	14.5	0.14	15.8	13.5	2.28
Russell Westbrook	76	76	0.33	0.17	0.17	0.13	7	1	6	14.2	15.8	-1.62	14.7	13.3	1.46
Serge Ibaka	67	66	0.29	0.21	0.09	0.15	5	3	2	14.1	15.5	-1.47	13.9	15.4	-1.52
Nazr Mohammed	35	35	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.13	2	6	-4	15.7	14.0	1.69	14.9	14.1	0.82
Eric Maynor	24	23	0.17	0.33	-0.17	0.14	1	7	-6	15.8	14.2	1.62	13.3	14.7	-1.46
Kendrick Perkins	61	59	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.09	0	8	-8	14.4	14.8	-0.39	13.7	15.3	-1.62
Daequan Cook	16	16	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.14	-3	11	-14	17.8	13.9	3.87	13.4	14.6	-1.20
Thabo Sefolosha	50	48	0.01	0.49	-0.48	-0.08	3	5	-2	15.4	13.7	1.68	14.1	14.7	-0.62

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jason Thompson	56	56	0.03	-0.53	0.57	-0.17	7	-15	22	15.1	13.5	1.54	15.4	13.5	1.81
Pooh Jeter	21	21	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.08	-3	-5	2	12.0	15.0	-3.03	17.1	13.9	3.27
Francisco Garcia	62	63	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	-0.26	2	-10	12	14.8	13.7	1.13	14.0	15.5	-1.43
Marcus Thornton	91	92	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	-0.22	-4	-4	0	14.4	14.1	0.28	14.1	20.2	-6.18
Donte Greene	45	45	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	-0.04	-10	2	-12	13.1	15.5	-2.41	14.4	14.7	-0.29
DeMarcus Cousins	73	76	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.15	-8	0	-8	13.7	16.4	-2.77	14.7	14.2	0.41
Beno Udrih	86	87	-0.49	-0.01	-0.49	-0.23	-9	1	-10	14.9	10.7	4.25	14.5	15.2	-0.77
Samuel Dalembert	61	60	-0.62	0.12	-0.74	-0.18	-15	7	-22	15.2	13.1	2.08	14.4	14.8	-0.48

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.57,0.58,0.55,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.49,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.45,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.51,0.49,0.56,0.67,0.74,0.74,0.64,0.61,0.61,0.55,0.55,0.56,0.56,0.38,0.4,0.34,0.22,0.15,0.08,0.15,0.11,0.15,0.09,0.11,0.07,0.1,0.02,0
Game		Similarity Score
POR 101, DAL 94	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.58,0.55,0.57,0.59,0.63,0.63,0.53,0.54,0.43,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.64,0.63,0.74,0.75,0.73,0.64,0.61,0.55,0.59,0.55,0.41,0.37,0.44,0.26,0.18,0.21,0.11,0.19,0.17,0.15,0.13,0.07,0.03,0.07,0,0	94.2%
IND 129, ATL 121	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.63,0.66,0.63,0.57,0.64,0.53,0.49,0.42,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.47,0.44,0.42,0.51,0.57,0.51,0.54,0.61,0.64,0.59,0.54,0.6,0.55,0.61,0.58,0.61,0.55,0.62,0.56,0.63,0.41,0.52,0.22,0.3,0.21,0.14,0.12,0.13,0.15,0.1,0.04,0.03,0.05,0,0	92.7%
ORL 103, CHA 87	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.5,0.51,0.53,0.45,0.45,0.53,0.47,0.46,0.52,0.44,0.42,0.47,0.51,0.42,0.44,0.46,0.44,0.54,0.54,0.64,0.75,0.81,0.77,0.77,0.7,0.64,0.52,0.45,0.41,0.41,0.37,0.29,0.19,0.1,0.15,0.14,0.05,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0	92.5%