NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	101		Excitement	6.3 [514]		MVP	Kenny Anderson (POR): +14.2%
Dallas Mavericks	94		Comeback	3.4 [424]		LVP	Brian Grant (POR): -17.3%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kenny Anderson	0.14	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.10	0.06	0.02	12	78%	0.21	3	-0.07	12	100%	0.05
Arvydas Sabonis	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.12,0.11,0.12	0.04	0.06	-0.02	11	67%	0.15	2	-0.04	8	87%	0.04
Rasheed Wallace	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08	0.04	0.06	0.02	8	67%	0.10	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Isaiah Rider	0.07	0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	-0.05	0.05	-0.06	22	50%	0.11	4	-0.04	4	75%	0.01
Jermaine O'Neal	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.02	3	33%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Stacey Augmon	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.07	0.01	-0.07	9	35%	0.04	1	-0.03	2	50%	0.04
Vincent Askew	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kelvin Cato	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.02	-0.00	6	36%	-0.05	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Brian Grant	-0.17	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.13	-0.05	-0.01	8	12%	-0.12	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Khalid Reeves	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.03	0.02	-0.04	6	67%	0.10	1	-0.01	3	67%	-0.01
Hubert Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.03,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.10	-0.00	0.01	15	62%	0.09	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Shawn Bradley	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.01	0.01	19	55%	0.04	0	0.00	9	56%	-0.06
Erick Strickland	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.01	0.00	2	75%	0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
A.C. Green	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.01	0.01	8	56%	0.04	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Dennis Scott	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	3	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Anstey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Ollie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	-0.00	1	0%	-0.03	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Michael Finley	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.07	-0.04	0.02	20	44%	-0.10	1	-0.02	8	62%	-0.03
Kurt Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.13	-0.05	-0.01	8	12%	-0.12	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	37.8	6.7	47.2	2.7	103.0	1.5	42.2	241.2
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR +16.9%

POR +21.5%

POR +16.5%

DAL -4.1%

DAL -0.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	DAL	NBA	POR	DAL	NBA
this game	15.3	15.5	15.6	107.4	101.1	102.5
season	15.9	15.8		101.9	98.3
opponent	15.5	15.4		104.6	100.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	15.9	16.8	15.7	13.0	15.3
DAL	12.9	15.1	19.3	15.3	15.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Isaiah Rider	76	79	0.70	-0.20	0.90	0.23	16	-9	25	14.3	19.4	-5.17	14.7	20.5	-5.84
Kenny Anderson	85	84	0.60	-0.10	0.71	0.31	10	-3	13	14.5	22.1	-7.57	15.2	18.7	-3.46
Rasheed Wallace	71	69	0.47	0.03	0.45	0.15	11	-4	15	15.3	15.2	0.06	15.3	16.2	-0.96
Arvydas Sabonis	56	56	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.18	7	0	7	14.5	16.4	-1.94	15.4	15.7	-0.27
Stacey Augmon	47	43	0.37	0.13	0.25	0.17	7	0	7	14.4	16.1	-1.64	15.5	15.6	-0.13
Brian Grant	60	61	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.19	-2	9	-11	16.5	13.0	3.55	16.3	14.0	2.34
Vincent Askew	11	10	0.04	0.46	-0.43	0.15	-4	11	-15	16.6	15.1	1.55	19.6	15.0	4.55
Kelvin Cato	25	26	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	-0.06	0	7	-7	15.6	15.1	0.46	16.0	15.4	0.59
Jermaine O'Neal	23	22	-0.20	0.70	-0.89	0.04	-8	15	-23	16.8	14.8	2.07	15.1	15.7	-0.53

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Erick Strickland	7	7	0.07	-0.57	0.63	0.01	2	-9	11	12.0	15.8	-3.83	13.4	15.4	-1.99
Chris Anstey	4	5	-0.07	-0.43	0.35	0.07	-5	-2	-3	12.5	15.7	-3.17	11.4	15.5	-4.08
A.C. Green	71	73	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.28	7	-14	21	15.9	14.5	1.36	15.2	15.3	-0.09
Khalid Reeves	57	59	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	-0.28	5	-12	17	15.8	15.1	0.70	15.8	14.4	1.33
Dennis Scott	37	38	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	-0.10	-5	-2	-3	17.5	14.2	3.33	16.3	14.5	1.81
Hubert Davis	73	75	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.29	-1	-6	5	15.3	16.2	-0.91	15.5	14.3	1.26
Shawn Bradley	87	86	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.33	-2	-5	3	15.2	20.0	-4.77	15.4	14.1	1.25
Michael Finley	76	75	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.20	-8	1	-9	14.7	19.1	-4.31	14.5	18.4	-3.95
Kevin Ollie	29	28	-0.43	-0.07	-0.37	-0.02	-14	7	-21	15.9	15.4	0.47	14.7	15.5	-0.84
Kurt Thomas	24	24	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.05	-14	7	-21	16.2	15.3	0.90	15.7	15.1	0.65

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.58,0.55,0.57,0.59,0.63,0.63,0.53,0.54,0.43,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.64,0.63,0.74,0.75,0.73,0.64,0.61,0.55,0.59,0.55,0.41,0.37,0.44,0.26,0.18,0.21,0.11,0.19,0.17,0.15,0.13,0.07,0.03,0.07,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
OKC 120, SAC 112	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.57,0.58,0.55,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.49,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.45,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.51,0.49,0.56,0.67,0.74,0.74,0.64,0.61,0.61,0.55,0.55,0.56,0.56,0.38,0.4,0.34,0.22,0.15,0.08,0.15,0.11,0.15,0.09,0.11,0.07,0.1,0.02,0	94.2%
MIN 77, UTA 66	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.51,0.53,0.59,0.61,0.61,0.57,0.55,0.56,0.52,0.53,0.56,0.53,0.47,0.44,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.5,0.62,0.69,0.67,0.67,0.61,0.65,0.55,0.45,0.41,0.32,0.36,0.3,0.19,0.3,0.14,0.12,0.14,0.08,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0	94.1%
MEM 79, ATL 76	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.61,0.63,0.64,0.68,0.73,0.65,0.62,0.64,0.54,0.49,0.44,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.53,0.52,0.54,0.6,0.58,0.64,0.67,0.63,0.6,0.66,0.61,0.64,0.53,0.45,0.55,0.52,0.44,0.36,0.22,0.15,0.18,0.11,0.15,0.14,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.04,0.05,0	94.0%