inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Orlando Magic 103 Excitement5.3 [729] MVPKeyon Dooling (ORL): +13.9%
Charlotte Bobcats 87 Comeback5.1 [160] LVPGerald Wallace (CHA): -14.4%


Orlando Magic
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Keyon Dooling0.140,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.140.070.07-0.00772%0.202-0.06475%0.01
Jameer Nelson0.130,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.130.100.040.006108%0.192-0.0600%0.00
Hedo Turkoglu0.040,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.08-0.020.021373%0.184-0.14475%-0.01
Dwight Howard0.030,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.100.020.091663%0.134-0.102055%-0.13
Rashard Lewis0.010,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01-0.030.01-0.031146%0.042-0.03683%0.02
Brian Cook0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.000.000.00250%0.0100.0000%0.00
JJ Redick-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.03-0.010.0020%-0.0400.0000%0.00
Adonal Foyle-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.050.00-0.0020%-0.031-0.0200%0.00
Maurice Evans-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.04-0.010.0000%-0.0500.0040%-0.08
Keith Bogans-0.070,0,-0.02,0,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.05-0.010.001035%-0.061-0.0100%0.00

Charlotte Bobcats
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Raymond Felton0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.030.02-0.001264%0.113-0.06475%-0.01
Matt Carroll0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.020.020.01750%0.0300.0000%0.00
Othella Harrington0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.02-0.010.00262%0.0000.00425%-0.07
Jermareo Davidson00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Jared Dudley0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.000.00-0.000.00250%-0.0000.0000%0.00
Jason Richardson0,0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.01-0.000.011354%0.063-0.0820%-0.03
Derek Anderson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.030.00-0.030.00475%0.052-0.0800%0.00
Ryan Hollins0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.07-0.01-0.0330%-0.041-0.0000%0.00
Jeff McInnis0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.03-0.02-0.00333%-0.021-0.0400%0.00
Emeka Okafor0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.01-0.020.041450%-0.042-0.04450%-0.02
Gerald Wallace0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14-0.14-0.08-0.060.001936%-0.092-0.06667%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game25.43.433.418.828.63.038.0150.7
league avg27.92.430.016.226.62.433.3140.1
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
ORL +45.3%
ORL +4.5%
ORL +10.1%
CHA -6.3%
CHA -3.7%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsORLCHANBAORLCHANBA
this game14.717.015.4113.295.6105.7
season15.115.8109.9103.1
opponent15.115.6107.8104.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
ORL15.914.213.315.114.7
CHA15.418.518.615.517.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Orlando Magic
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Keyon Dooling45470.500.000.500.031601615.314.01.3316.617.4-0.73
Dwight Howard76730.320.180.15-0.03124814.217.0-2.8017.216.11.16
Rashard Lewis69710.320.180.13-0.071331014.116.4-2.3116.618.2-1.55
Hedo Turkoglu75730.300.200.10-0.02115614.117.5-3.4517.017.1-0.08
Jameer Nelson71680.270.230.03-0.06115614.116.8-2.7416.917.3-0.36
JJ Redick23250.220.28-0.060.08511-617.613.73.8916.617.1-0.48
Keith Bogans54520.210.29-0.070.13313-1014.215.4-1.2117.416.41.01
Maurice Evans20210.180.32-0.140.00610-416.714.12.6218.316.61.75
Adonal Foyle15180.180.32-0.150.06412-817.014.22.8016.117.2-1.16
Brian Cook77-0.000.50-0.500.03-117-1816.914.52.3817.916.90.94

Charlotte Bobcats
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Jermareo Davidson760.02-0.520.55-0.011-171817.916.90.9417.314.52.86
Jared Dudley14130.01-0.510.520.010-161616.617.1-0.4117.514.23.36
Ryan Hollins1818-0.03-0.470.440.06-3-131015.717.3-1.6512.315.2-2.90
Othella Harrington2625-0.07-0.430.36-0.101-171816.517.2-0.6315.614.31.35
Jeff McInnis4143-0.12-0.380.27-0.120-161617.316.70.5515.513.91.66
Jason Richardson6767-0.24-0.260.010.11-12-4-817.316.21.0613.517.8-4.25
Derek Anderson2120-0.35-0.15-0.19-0.11-8-8018.216.61.5616.614.12.49
Raymond Felton7675-0.39-0.11-0.29-0.01-13-3-1017.016.70.3113.918.1-4.20
Matt Carroll3738-0.41-0.09-0.32-0.00-14-2-1216.117.6-1.5815.913.82.12
Gerald Wallace8080-0.43-0.07-0.35-0.04-13-3-1017.016.60.4014.416.8-2.46
Emeka Okafor6870-0.50-0.00-0.500.06-193-2217.116.80.2814.614.9-0.32


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.5,0.51,0.53,0.45,0.45,0.53,0.47,0.46,0.52,0.44,0.42,0.47,0.51,0.42,0.44,0.46,0.44,0.54,0.54,0.64,0.75,0.81,0.77,0.77,0.7,0.64,0.52,0.45,0.41,0.41,0.37,0.29,0.19,0.1,0.15,0.14,0.05,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
UTA 109, LAC 970.5,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.53,0.46,0.42,0.41,0.43,0.45,0.49,0.53,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.44,0.54,0.61,0.7,0.73,0.76,0.79,0.73,0.58,0.42,0.45,0.48,0.41,0.3,0.26,0.25,0.3,0.18,0.21,0.17,0.07,0.02,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0,093.8%
PHX 124, DAL 970.5,0.49,0.52,0.6,0.55,0.54,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.55,0.57,0.51,0.54,0.43,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.53,0.56,0.61,0.66,0.58,0.64,0.73,0.78,0.76,0.72,0.73,0.58,0.58,0.45,0.38,0.41,0.44,0.37,0.25,0.22,0.11,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,093.0%
PHX 89, SEA 800.5,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.41,0.41,0.39,0.4,0.44,0.45,0.37,0.4,0.45,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.39,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.73,0.58,0.69,0.71,0.69,0.61,0.55,0.45,0.45,0.41,0.34,0.33,0.21,0.34,0.26,0.18,0.11,0.12,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.08,0,0.01,092.8%