inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Sacramento Kings 90 Excitement6.5 [523] MVPTy Lawson (DEN): +22.4%
Denver Nuggets 104 Comeback4.1 [789] LVPJason Thompson (SAC): -12.5%


Sacramento Kings
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Marcus Thornton0.170,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.170.130.070.031964%0.191-0.024100%0.06
Tyreke Evans0.140,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.140.100.050.011663%0.181-0.04367%-0.00
Darnell Jackson0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.000.001100%0.0200.0000%0.00
Pooh Jeter0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.000.010.00250%0.0100.0000%0.00
Beno Udrih-0.010,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.02-0.01-0.02763%0.104-0.115100%0.02
Francisco Garcia-0.080,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.10-0.00-0.02714%-0.061-0.0200%0.00
Donte Greene-0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.01-0.0140%-0.061-0.0200%0.00
Omri Casspi-0.090,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.05-0.04-0.00420%-0.0900.0020%-0.08
DeMarcus Cousins-0.090,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.09-0.03-0.031050%0.055-0.13250%-0.02
Samuel Dalembert-0.100,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.05-0.050.00425%-0.061-0.0400%0.00
Jason Thompson-0.120,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12-0.04-0.08-0.00580%0.065-0.1800%0.00

Denver Nuggets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Ty Lawson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.220.220.150.070.00987%0.251-0.035100%0.03
J.R. Smith0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.150.150.090.05-0.001177%0.192-0.0500%0.00
Chris Andersen0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.020.010.00362%0.0300.00250%-0.01
Danilo Gallinari0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.05,-0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.010.040.021253%0.103-0.07875%-0.04
Raymond Felton0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0-0.000.04-0.020.03752%-0.0000.00786%0.02
Wilson Chandler0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.050.02-0.00935%0.011-0.032100%0.03
Gary Forbes0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.02-0.010.0010%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Kenyon Martin0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.060.00-0.0210%-0.012-0.0300%0.00
Nene0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.050.000.02950%0.023-0.09633%-0.03
Al Harrington0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.11,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.09-0.09-0.01-0.011937%-0.042-0.0520%-0.05
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game27.52.028.015.626.42.526.6128.4
league avg26.22.430.316.427.22.433.9140.0
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
DEN +6.4%
DEN +13.0%
DEN +10.3%
DEN +21.0%
SAC -0.7%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsSACDENNBASACDENNBA
this game15.813.615.592.8105.1105.7
season14.914.3102.1110.7
opponent15.514.9106.1107.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
SAC14.916.717.014.715.8
DEN13.314.710.716.013.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Darnell Jackson18180.18-0.680.860.006-202616.215.70.4215.213.22.00
Donte Greene1919-0.01-0.490.490.05-2-121014.816.1-1.2214.013.50.51
Pooh Jeter1110-0.03-0.470.45-0.030-141416.515.70.7114.013.50.46
Francisco Garcia2930-0.09-0.410.31-0.04-2-121016.515.50.9912.114.2-2.13
Omri Casspi2223-0.18-0.320.13-0.15-1-131215.915.80.1115.912.92.97
DeMarcus Cousins6064-0.29-0.21-0.080.03-11-3-815.216.8-1.5113.613.50.15
Samuel Dalembert2626-0.38-0.12-0.25-0.11-9-5-416.515.60.9813.613.6-0.01
Beno Udrih8284-0.40-0.10-0.30-0.16-8-6-215.915.60.2713.414.4-0.96
Tyreke Evans5756-0.41-0.09-0.32-0.00-140-1416.015.50.5113.314.0-0.65
Jason Thompson7577-0.43-0.07-0.36-0.02-140-1415.616.5-0.8713.214.8-1.53
Marcus Thornton8688-0.46-0.04-0.42-0.02-151-1615.815.9-0.1013.613.50.15

Denver Nuggets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Ty Lawson63630.71-0.210.910.0323-93213.014.6-1.5216.814.02.76
Danilo Gallinari76730.54-0.040.580.131401412.716.6-3.8816.115.01.15
J.R. Smith63600.50-0.000.500.0615-11614.312.32.0115.216.8-1.51
Nene59600.350.150.200.2059-413.613.6-0.0716.315.01.33
Al Harrington44460.230.27-0.04-0.06104614.213.11.1515.116.5-1.36
Chris Andersen40370.150.35-0.20-0.1195413.613.60.0715.016.3-1.33
Wilson Chandler55560.150.35-0.210.09212-1012.914.4-1.4416.914.42.53
Raymond Felton70680.140.36-0.22-0.0159-414.112.31.8515.317.1-1.77
Gary Forbes119-0.100.60-0.690.02-418-2216.313.23.0212.816.1-3.36
Kenyon Martin1413-0.160.66-0.830.10-923-3213.413.6-0.2715.016.0-0.95


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.5,0.46,0.47,0.41,0.39,0.34,0.33,0.35,0.38,0.31,0.3,0.34,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.44,0.4,0.37,0.34,0.29,0.2,0.23,0.3,0.22,0.26,0.26,0.25,0.36,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.52,0.56,0.6,0.64,0.62,0.65,0.57,0.58,0.68,0.53,0.6,0.73,0.89,0.99,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
ATL 86, NOH 930.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.46,0.44,0.4,0.39,0.37,0.4,0.45,0.45,0.4,0.46,0.43,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.56,0.42,0.36,0.33,0.31,0.33,0.25,0.34,0.31,0.39,0.42,0.42,0.48,0.59,0.62,0.56,0.56,0.6,0.62,0.74,0.62,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.6,0.71,0.86,0.95,0.99,0.93,192.1%
MIN 114, NYK 1210.5,0.49,0.49,0.4,0.37,0.39,0.35,0.36,0.34,0.37,0.31,0.37,0.32,0.4,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.44,0.37,0.39,0.36,0.34,0.24,0.36,0.36,0.3,0.26,0.26,0.36,0.33,0.48,0.58,0.65,0.59,0.52,0.52,0.58,0.74,0.7,0.7,0.76,0.77,0.74,0.85,0.78,0.95,0.99,0.97,0.95,192.0%
BOS 88, MIA 1010.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.5,0.52,0.5,0.43,0.38,0.34,0.39,0.4,0.42,0.4,0.44,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.49,0.44,0.41,0.31,0.24,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.34,0.37,0.27,0.42,0.45,0.45,0.48,0.56,0.56,0.52,0.52,0.5,0.52,0.52,0.58,0.47,0.74,0.76,0.83,0.85,0.99,1,1,191.9%