NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Minnesota Timberwolves	114		Excitement	6.4 [531]		MVP	Amar'e Stoudemire (NYK): +16.7%
New York Knicks	121		Comeback	3.2 [663]		LVP	Landry Fields (NYK): -9.6%

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevin Love	0.16	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.21,0.21,0.22,0.2,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.16	0.23	-0.01	0.06	18	72%	0.16	0	0.00	10	100%	0.06
Luke Ridnour	0.06	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.03	0.02	-0.01	9	84%	0.20	5	-0.14	1	100%	0.01
Darko Milicic	0.05	0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.06	0.00	0.00	4	100%	0.08	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Wesley Johnson	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.01	-0.00	6	42%	0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Sebastian Telfair	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	0.00	0.02	6	55%	0.04	2	-0.07	8	50%	-0.06
Michael Beasley	-0.03	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03	0.07	-0.05	0.05	18	62%	0.08	3	-0.12	4	100%	0.03
Wayne Ellington	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.02	-0.06	-0.01	7	43%	-0.02	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Nikola Pekovic	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.03	0.00	3	12%	-0.07	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Corey Brewer	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.05	-0.04	-0.00	7	50%	0.01	3	-0.10	0	0%	0.00

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Amar'e Stoudemire	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.04,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.15	0.03	0.02	23	67%	0.25	3	-0.09	5	80%	0.02
Shawne Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.08	0.08	-0.00	9	72%	0.19	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Wilson Chandler	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.14	0.04	0.03	12	70%	0.14	0	0.00	6	83%	-0.00
Toney Douglas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.07	0.04	0.00	7	69%	0.11	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Ronny Turiaf	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	-0.00	0.01	2	67%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Raymond Felton	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.07,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	-0.01	-0.01	13	64%	0.15	5	-0.15	2	50%	-0.00
Danilo Gallinari	0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01	0.01	0.08	-0.03	0.05	11	65%	0.02	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.01
Timofey Mozgov	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Landry Fields	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.07	-0.02	0.00	7	14%	-0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.8	1.8	27.2	15.7	29.0	2.8	41.2	142.5
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +32.3%

MIN -5.5%

NYK +0.6%

NYK +21.3%

NYK +1.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIN	NYK	NBA	MIN	NYK	NBA
this game	14.8	14.7	15.5	116.3	124.7	105.7
season	14.3	14.3		102.7	108.6
opponent	15.5	15.1		108.4	109.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIN	13.7	14.8	16.0	14.7	14.8
NYK	15.7	12.9	14.0	16.6	14.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Darko Milicic	16	16	0.15	-0.65	0.80	-0.09	8	-15	23	14.0	15.0	-0.95	15.5	14.6	0.91
Luke Ridnour	59	57	0.02	-0.52	0.55	-0.21	8	-15	23	15.2	14.2	1.02	14.4	15.3	-0.95
Kevin Love	85	85	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.37	7	-14	21	14.8	14.6	0.21	14.8	14.2	0.66
Wesley Johnson	70	69	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	-0.22	0	-7	7	14.9	14.4	0.51	14.1	16.3	-2.17
Nikola Pekovic	17	17	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	0.08	-13	6	-19	14.9	14.8	0.18	15.4	14.6	0.81
Corey Brewer	68	69	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.04	-13	6	-19	14.7	14.9	-0.15	14.0	16.5	-2.52
Wayne Ellington	44	44	-0.49	-0.01	-0.49	-0.20	-10	3	-13	14.7	14.9	-0.21	15.9	13.8	2.05
Michael Beasley	91	88	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	-0.32	-7	0	-7	14.9	12.9	2.09	14.9	13.2	1.68
Sebastian Telfair	40	40	-0.55	0.05	-0.60	-0.11	-15	8	-23	14.0	15.3	-1.34	15.3	14.4	0.95

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Raymond Felton	79	79	0.67	-0.17	0.85	0.18	17	-10	27	14.3	16.8	-2.57	14.3	16.8	-2.47
Wilson Chandler	76	78	0.58	-0.08	0.67	0.23	12	-5	17	14.3	16.4	-2.09	14.3	16.6	-2.27
Shawne Williams	51	51	0.35	0.15	0.19	0.26	3	4	-1	15.7	13.7	1.99	14.9	14.7	0.26
Amar'e Stoudemire	81	80	0.31	0.19	0.11	0.25	2	5	-3	14.8	14.7	0.07	14.8	14.8	0.02
Landry Fields	60	60	0.24	0.26	-0.03	0.21	1	6	-5	13.8	16.3	-2.51	15.4	13.8	1.60
Ronny Turiaf	22	24	0.22	0.28	-0.05	-0.04	9	-2	11	17.5	13.9	3.51	14.2	15.0	-0.78
Toney Douglas	38	39	0.14	0.36	-0.23	0.05	3	4	-1	16.2	13.8	2.46	15.6	14.3	1.36
Danilo Gallinari	69	70	0.04	0.46	-0.41	0.31	-9	16	-25	14.1	16.2	-2.07	14.8	14.9	-0.14
Timofey Mozgov	9	9	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	0.04	-3	10	-13	15.3	14.7	0.65	16.4	14.6	1.82

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.4,0.37,0.39,0.35,0.36,0.34,0.37,0.31,0.37,0.32,0.4,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.44,0.37,0.39,0.36,0.34,0.24,0.36,0.36,0.3,0.26,0.26,0.36,0.33,0.48,0.58,0.65,0.59,0.52,0.52,0.58,0.74,0.7,0.7,0.76,0.77,0.74,0.85,0.78,0.95,0.99,0.97,0.95,1
Game		Similarity Score
IND 98, CHI 104	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.4,0.41,0.39,0.4,0.37,0.4,0.46,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.46,0.44,0.39,0.31,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.3,0.4,0.37,0.4,0.42,0.55,0.55,0.45,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.6,0.66,0.74,0.75,0.87,0.85,0.86,0.76,0.83,0.89,0.92,0.85,0.98,1	93.0%
MIA 76, PHI 87	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.4,0.34,0.34,0.35,0.34,0.37,0.38,0.42,0.36,0.35,0.42,0.36,0.38,0.44,0.42,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.36,0.44,0.33,0.35,0.28,0.25,0.3,0.36,0.42,0.53,0.59,0.56,0.52,0.6,0.62,0.57,0.67,0.86,0.88,0.83,0.94,0.95,0.99,1,1,1,1	92.5%
DET 110, NJN 118	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.45,0.42,0.39,0.35,0.34,0.29,0.3,0.29,0.34,0.35,0.4,0.4,0.38,0.38,0.37,0.39,0.42,0.44,0.42,0.36,0.36,0.33,0.31,0.4,0.45,0.52,0.54,0.48,0.59,0.55,0.52,0.63,0.6,0.62,0.74,0.79,0.86,0.73,0.89,0.88,0.83,0.97,0.98,1,0.99,1	92.5%