NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	86		Excitement	6.5 [511]		MVP	Chris Paul (NOH): +22.1%
New Orleans Hornets	93		Comeback	3.0 [544]		LVP	Al Horford (ATL): -20.2%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Joe Johnson	0.13	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.14,0.13	0.12	0.02	0.01	16	62%	0.13	0	0.00	5	80%	0.01
Maurice Evans	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.04	0.05	-0.00	3	100%	0.11	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Marvin Williams	0.09	0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.06	0.02	-0.01	11	62%	0.12	2	-0.03	7	100%	0.04
Jason Collins	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	1	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Mike Bibby	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.02	0.01	8	39%	0.00	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Zaza Pachulia	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	0.00	2	43%	0.01	2	-0.04	3	33%	-0.03
Josh Powell	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.00	3	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Josh Smith	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.01	-0.04	0.01	10	42%	-0.05	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Jamal Crawford	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.03,-0.08,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.08	-0.07	0.00	9	53%	0.08	5	-0.23	1	100%	0.01
Al Horford	-0.20	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.15,-0.15,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.08	-0.12	-0.00	10	40%	-0.05	3	-0.15	0	0%	0.00

New Orleans Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Paul	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.22	0.22	0.09	0.12	-0.01	17	59%	0.25	1	-0.03	3	67%	0.01
David West	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.06	0.10	-0.00	14	56%	0.16	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.02
Quincy Pondexter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.06	0.00	0.00	2	100%	0.06	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
DJ Mbenga	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Emeka Okafor	0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.05	-0.03	0.03	9	61%	0.05	1	-0.06	5	40%	-0.06
Trevor Ariza	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.02	-0.03	0.01	11	55%	0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
David Andersen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.06	0.02	-0.00	4	50%	0.05	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Thornton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	8	37%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jarrett Jack	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.06	-0.01	11	42%	-0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Marco Belinelli	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.11	-0.05	-0.02	6	0%	-0.09	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.1	2.4	29.5	15.7	25.1	2.5	31.5	130.7
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NOH +25.4%

ATL -14.3%

NOH +18.9%

NOH +25.3%

ATL -5.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	NOH	NBA	ATL	NOH	NBA
this game	15.9	17.2	15.5	100.0	105.7	105.7
season	16.5	16.2		104.0	104.6
opponent	15.9	15.5		104.4	105.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	15.9	14.5	18.0	15.2	15.9
NOH	15.4	17.4	15.5	20.8	17.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jason Collins	16	16	0.09	-0.59	0.69	-0.02	4	-11	15	14.6	16.2	-1.67	17.2	17.2	0.02
Marvin Williams	61	61	0.04	-0.54	0.58	-0.08	4	-11	15	15.8	16.2	-0.34	16.8	17.9	-1.09
Maurice Evans	24	25	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	0.06	-4	-3	-1	15.0	16.3	-1.22	15.4	17.9	-2.47
Josh Powell	15	15	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	0.02	-4	-3	-1	12.9	16.6	-3.70	13.3	18.0	-4.63
Zaza Pachulia	19	20	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	0.03	-7	0	-7	14.6	16.3	-1.65	14.7	17.9	-3.13
Josh Smith	48	50	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.20	-4	-3	-1	16.8	14.8	2.07	17.9	16.2	1.69
Jamal Crawford	61	64	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.30	-2	-5	3	14.8	18.6	-3.72	17.5	16.2	1.38
Mike Bibby	72	72	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.28	-3	-4	1	16.3	13.8	2.55	18.0	13.4	4.64
Joe Johnson	67	69	-0.51	0.01	-0.51	-0.36	-5	-2	-3	16.3	14.5	1.79	17.5	15.9	1.63
Al Horford	47	48	-0.73	0.23	-0.97	-0.32	-14	7	-21	17.7	13.7	3.98	17.7	16.5	1.14

New Orleans Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Paul	66	65	0.50	-0.00	0.51	0.30	7	0	7	17.1	17.4	-0.26	16.5	14.2	2.29
Emeka Okafor	56	56	0.44	0.06	0.37	0.32	4	3	1	18.5	14.8	3.66	16.7	14.4	2.33
David West	65	65	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.31	4	3	1	17.4	16.4	1.05	16.3	14.7	1.59
Trevor Ariza	73	71	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.35	2	5	-3	17.1	17.3	-0.20	15.7	16.9	-1.23
Jarrett Jack	40	39	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.26	4	3	1	18.5	16.0	2.53	14.8	16.8	-2.01
Quincy Pondexter	10	10	0.12	0.38	-0.26	-0.02	5	2	3	16.4	17.3	-0.87	17.0	15.8	1.22
David Andersen	7	8	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.01	3	4	-1	16.9	17.2	-0.34	17.7	15.7	2.02
DJ Mbenga	14	13	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.00	3	4	-1	16.4	17.3	-0.97	14.6	16.2	-1.54
Marcus Thornton	43	43	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.05	1	6	-5	16.3	18.0	-1.79	14.8	17.0	-2.26
Jason Smith	28	26	0.01	0.49	-0.48	-0.02	1	6	-5	15.4	18.0	-2.66	13.3	17.0	-3.74
Marco Belinelli	38	34	-0.06	0.56	-0.61	-0.09	1	6	-5	16.4	17.8	-1.37	17.6	14.8	2.86

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.46,0.44,0.4,0.39,0.37,0.4,0.45,0.45,0.4,0.46,0.43,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.56,0.42,0.36,0.33,0.31,0.33,0.25,0.34,0.31,0.39,0.42,0.42,0.48,0.59,0.62,0.56,0.56,0.6,0.62,0.74,0.62,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.6,0.71,0.86,0.95,0.99,0.93,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAC 90, DEN 104	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.46,0.47,0.41,0.39,0.34,0.33,0.35,0.38,0.31,0.3,0.34,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.44,0.4,0.37,0.34,0.29,0.2,0.23,0.3,0.22,0.26,0.26,0.25,0.36,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.52,0.56,0.6,0.64,0.62,0.65,0.57,0.58,0.68,0.53,0.6,0.73,0.89,0.99,1,1,1	92.1%
LAC 88, MIA 97	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.41,0.37,0.4,0.39,0.36,0.35,0.37,0.47,0.49,0.52,0.47,0.45,0.42,0.44,0.46,0.46,0.39,0.39,0.31,0.33,0.36,0.33,0.35,0.37,0.42,0.48,0.45,0.48,0.59,0.56,0.44,0.49,0.44,0.58,0.44,0.57,0.71,0.58,0.64,0.6,0.72,0.89,0.89,0.93,1,1	92.1%
POR 89, UTA 98	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.43,0.46,0.49,0.43,0.39,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.54,0.43,0.45,0.51,0.49,0.4,0.42,0.39,0.39,0.34,0.39,0.39,0.41,0.42,0.4,0.46,0.55,0.39,0.48,0.58,0.6,0.56,0.56,0.67,0.64,0.74,0.7,0.68,0.67,0.58,0.53,0.59,0.6,0.85,0.96,0.98,1,1	92.0%