NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	95		Excitement	8.8 [143]		MVP	Chris Wilcox (DET): +24.5%
Detroit Pistons	99		Comeback	9.8 [96]		LVP	Carmelo Anthony (NYK): -32.4%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Toney Douglas	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.18,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.10	0.04	-0.00	14	71%	0.25	2	-0.11	0	0%	0.00
Shawne Williams	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.13,0.13,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.14,0.14	0.10	0.04	0.00	11	71%	0.17	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.02
Roger Mason Jr.	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.06	0.01	0.00	4	87%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Landry Fields	0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.04	-0.00	0.00	8	56%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ronny Turiaf	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jared Jeffries	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	-0.02	0.01	5	40%	-0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Chauncey Billups	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.14,-0.17,-0.14,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.14,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.09,-0.09	-0.12	-0.03	-0.06	10	55%	0.16	8	-0.25	2	100%	0.01
Amar'e Stoudemire	-0.14	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14	-0.03	-0.06	0.04	16	54%	0.00	5	-0.14	5	80%	-0.03
Carmelo Anthony	-0.32	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.32	-0.12	-0.21	-0.01	12	23%	-0.28	1	-0.05	2	100%	0.01

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Wilcox	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.24	0.24	0.09	0.16	0.00	6	65%	0.24	0	0.00	8	37%	-0.10
Rodney Stuckey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.16,-0.16,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.12,0.12	0.12	-0.03	0.14	-0.00	10	60%	0.23	4	-0.11	0	0%	0.00
Charlie Villanueva	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.17,0.17,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.18,0.18,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.07	0.03	0.00	10	64%	0.12	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Austin Daye	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.03	-0.01	0.01	9	48%	0.01	0	0.00	5	100%	0.02
Ben Gordon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0,0,0	0.00	0.06	-0.05	0.00	7	67%	0.00	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Greg Monroe	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	-0.01	0.00	7	57%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ben Wallace	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	5	40%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tracy McGrady	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	7	43%	-0.01	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Tayshaun Prince	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0,0,0,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	17	46%	0.02	2	-0.07	1	0%	-0.02
Will Bynum	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.13,-0.13,-0.25	-0.25	-0.04	-0.21	0.00	6	31%	-0.25	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.6	1.8	26.1	17.5	26.5	2.6	36.1	133.3
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK -3.3%

DET +4.8%

DET +20.1%

DET +25.7%

DET +2.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	DET	NBA	NYK	DET	NBA
this game	16.0	15.8	15.5	105.6	108.8	105.7
season	14.3	16.7		108.6	106.4
opponent	15.2	15.5		110.1	108.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	15.3	14.7	16.9	17.4	16.0
DET	16.0	15.3	17.4	14.7	15.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ronny Turiaf	23	21	0.05	-0.55	0.60	0.11	-2	-2	0	17.4	15.5	1.85	13.1	16.6	-3.53
Roger Mason Jr.	31	32	0.03	-0.53	0.57	0.00	1	-5	6	16.0	16.0	0.03	13.8	16.9	-3.13
Jared Jeffries	43	44	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.00	-5	1	-6	15.5	16.5	-1.05	16.2	15.4	0.85
Landry Fields	39	39	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.09	-5	1	-6	16.5	15.6	0.84	16.6	15.2	1.31
Toney Douglas	63	64	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.38	2	-6	8	15.5	17.2	-1.73	15.2	17.3	-2.11
Shawne Williams	49	50	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	-0.36	-1	-3	2	16.2	15.8	0.42	15.4	16.4	-1.01
Carmelo Anthony	68	68	-0.46	-0.04	-0.41	-0.34	-4	0	-4	16.1	15.7	0.44	16.2	14.7	1.55
Chauncey Billups	56	57	-0.48	-0.02	-0.47	-0.40	-3	-1	-2	16.0	16.0	0.02	17.0	13.9	3.13
Amar'e Stoudemire	78	80	-0.54	0.04	-0.57	-0.45	-3	-1	-2	15.9	17.0	-1.14	16.3	11.9	4.44

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Wilcox	39	39	0.82	-0.32	1.13	0.38	15	-11	26	14.2	17.0	-2.81	17.2	15.1	2.02
Will Bynum	23	22	0.81	-0.31	1.13	0.46	12	-8	20	14.7	16.2	-1.50	17.4	15.6	1.79
Charlie Villanueva	48	47	0.63	-0.13	0.77	0.46	6	-2	8	14.3	17.5	-3.13	16.1	15.9	0.24
Rodney Stuckey	63	63	0.42	0.08	0.35	0.31	4	0	4	14.9	17.9	-3.00	15.9	16.2	-0.25
Tayshaun Prince	61	59	0.40	0.10	0.31	0.58	-6	10	-16	16.2	14.9	1.31	15.3	17.3	-2.00
Austin Daye	41	42	0.21	0.29	-0.09	0.03	6	-2	8	16.7	15.1	1.63	16.3	15.7	0.60
Tracy McGrady	41	41	0.16	0.34	-0.17	-0.01	6	-2	8	16.7	15.1	1.63	16.6	15.5	1.05
Ben Wallace	41	40	-0.17	0.67	-0.85	-0.06	-4	8	-12	17.7	14.3	3.36	15.8	16.2	-0.43
Greg Monroe	52	51	-0.32	0.82	-1.13	0.01	-11	15	-26	17.0	14.2	2.81	15.1	17.2	-2.02
Ben Gordon	46	46	-0.47	0.97	-1.44	-0.24	-8	12	-20	15.4	16.3	-0.90	15.6	16.4	-0.78

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.46,0.48,0.45,0.43,0.43,0.43,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.42,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.61,0.56,0.49,0.44,0.49,0.42,0.46,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.61,0.7,0.71,0.71,0.59,0.45,0.34,0.22,0.21,0.19,0.15,0.18,0.2,0.47,0.36,0.59,0.6,0.62,0.46,0.24,0.58,1
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 96, NOP 100	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.49,0.44,0.38,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.38,0.42,0.46,0.45,0.42,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.52,0.44,0.48,0.44,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.55,0.42,0.39,0.42,0.35,0.41,0.37,0.33,0.28,0.26,0.26,0.24,0.33,0.47,0.47,0.41,0.46,0.53,0.46,0.43,0.58,1	89.1%
MIA 102, NOP 104	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.52,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.49,0.57,0.57,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.46,0.44,0.36,0.46,0.44,0.49,0.5,0.54,0.54,0.58,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.38,0.38,0.27,0.26,0.18,0.15,0.26,0.33,0.25,0.19,0.3,0.34,0.46,0.38,0.36,0.33,0.41,1	89.0%
WAS 112, MIA 118	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.5,0.45,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.57,0.64,0.62,0.6,0.56,0.6,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.44,0.44,0.49,0.44,0.42,0.37,0.4,0.52,0.58,0.55,0.52,0.45,0.48,0.45,0.31,0.37,0.32,0.3,0.18,0.22,0.33,0.28,0.53,0.47,0.39,0.32,0.55,0.34,0.58,1	88.8%