NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	110		Excitement	5.5 [735]		MVP	Carmelo Anthony (NYK): +49.0%
Memphis Grizzlies	108		Comeback	1.0 [547]		LVP	Mike Conley (MEM): -3.5%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Carmelo Anthony	0.49	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.2,0.19,0.19,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.17,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.49	0.13	0.35	-0.01	24	60%	0.55	2	-0.06	4	100%	0.02
Landry Fields	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.12	0.03	0.00	8	100%	0.18	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Roger Mason Jr.	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.00	0.01	7	71%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Amar'e Stoudemire	0.04	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,0,-0.03,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04	-0.01	0.02	-0.03	22	59%	0.17	6	-0.14	0	0%	0.00
Shawne Williams	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.02	0.00	5	50%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jared Jeffries	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.05	0.00	-0.04	3	33%	0.01	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Ronny Turiaf	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Carter	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.05	0.00	-0.03	4	25%	-0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Toney Douglas	-0.03	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0,-0.03	0.05	-0.07	0.00	14	64%	0.09	3	-0.12	0	0%	0.00

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Zach Randolph	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.07,-0.1,0.19	0.19	0.02	0.20	0.03	13	61%	0.28	4	-0.09	7	86%	0.05
Tony Allen	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.13,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.16	0.01	0.03	8	88%	0.17	2	-0.04	9	89%	0.02
Shane Battier	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.01	2	75%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darrell Arthur	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.11,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.03	0.03	0.06	-0.03	0.00	12	64%	0.12	3	-0.09	9	100%	0.05
O.J. Mayo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	-0.00	0.00	4	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Hamed Haddadi	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marc Gasol	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.01	-0.01	7	60%	0.06	4	-0.07	6	100%	0.03
Sam Young	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.01	-0.01	0.01	5	60%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ish Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	3	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mike Conley	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.05,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.08	-0.07	0.04	13	67%	0.07	2	-0.10	4	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.3	2.3	28.6	15.4	26.6	1.8	34.9	132.9
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +83.8%

MEM -46.2%

NYK +6.5%

NYK +1.6%

NYK +4.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	MEM	NBA	NYK	MEM	NBA
this game	16.1	14.4	15.5	115.8	114.9	105.7
season	14.3	15.5		108.6	106.1
opponent	15.5	15.5		103.7	108.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	13.4	16.7	16.3	18.2	16.1
MEM	15.5	14.0	15.0	13.1	14.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Carmelo Anthony	79	78	0.64	-0.14	0.79	0.32	11	-9	20	15.5	19.1	-3.67	14.6	13.6	0.93
Shawne Williams	43	44	0.58	-0.08	0.66	0.43	5	-3	8	15.2	16.8	-1.62	13.7	15.0	-1.30
Amar'e Stoudemire	80	81	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.44	3	-1	4	16.5	14.0	2.46	14.4	14.2	0.19
Toney Douglas	69	69	0.50	-0.00	0.50	0.32	6	-4	10	16.1	16.1	-0.00	14.3	14.6	-0.28
Landry Fields	71	72	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.40	2	0	2	16.8	13.9	2.94	14.6	13.9	0.69
Jared Jeffries	42	39	0.04	0.46	-0.42	-0.02	2	0	2	16.3	15.9	0.38	15.2	13.8	1.34
Anthony Carter	26	25	-0.03	0.53	-0.55	0.09	-4	6	-10	16.1	16.1	0.00	14.6	14.3	0.28
Ronny Turiaf	22	22	-0.07	0.57	-0.65	0.04	-4	6	-10	14.9	16.4	-1.52	14.5	14.4	0.14
Roger Mason Jr.	43	40	-0.16	0.66	-0.81	0.17	-11	13	-24	16.5	15.7	0.84	13.7	14.9	-1.25

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
O.J. Mayo	40	40	0.15	-0.65	0.80	0.15	0	-2	2	14.6	14.2	0.40	16.1	16.1	0.00
Ish Smith	16	17	0.06	-0.56	0.63	-0.08	5	-7	12	14.4	14.4	-0.02	18.0	15.7	2.35
Hamed Haddadi	3	2	0.02	-0.52	0.55	-0.01	1	-3	4	7.7	14.6	-6.95	13.0	16.1	-3.14
Darrell Arthur	57	57	-0.02	-0.48	0.47	-0.49	16	-18	34	13.0	16.5	-3.54	17.0	14.7	2.27
Shane Battier	54	53	-0.08	-0.42	0.33	-0.55	16	-18	34	13.6	15.4	-1.84	16.5	15.5	1.03
Sam Young	39	40	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	-0.17	-7	5	-12	15.9	13.3	2.66	15.7	16.3	-0.65
Marc Gasol	47	50	-0.50	-0.00	-0.49	0.09	-20	18	-38	16.1	12.7	3.38	14.4	17.9	-3.53
Zach Randolph	74	74	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.39	-4	2	-6	14.6	13.8	0.75	16.4	15.0	1.32
Mike Conley	78	78	-0.56	0.06	-0.63	-0.36	-7	5	-12	14.4	14.4	0.02	15.7	18.0	-2.35
Tony Allen	62	64	-0.70	0.20	-0.89	-0.40	-10	8	-18	14.1	15.0	-0.92	16.2	15.8	0.35

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.42,0.39,0.44,0.41,0.37,0.37,0.4,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.4,0.38,0.4,0.38,0.4,0.47,0.39,0.41,0.39,0.3,0.33,0.27,0.19,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.13,0.15,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.09,0.2,0.23,0.1,0.09,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.06,0.08,0
Game		Similarity Score
WAS 101, ATL 90	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.5,0.46,0.41,0.36,0.37,0.35,0.42,0.4,0.43,0.42,0.4,0.4,0.35,0.34,0.36,0.39,0.31,0.36,0.27,0.3,0.2,0.24,0.12,0.1,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.12,0.08,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.03,0.01,0,0	95.1%
MIA 107, MIL 94	0.5,0.49,0.43,0.48,0.46,0.44,0.45,0.4,0.41,0.4,0.45,0.45,0.44,0.52,0.44,0.42,0.4,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.42,0.41,0.33,0.28,0.25,0.25,0.21,0.16,0.17,0.15,0.12,0.2,0.17,0.13,0.2,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.07,0.11,0.09,0.08,0.05,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	94.9%
MIL 101, WAS 95	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.46,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.45,0.41,0.45,0.42,0.43,0.47,0.4,0.42,0.33,0.37,0.34,0.34,0.31,0.33,0.28,0.33,0.27,0.24,0.14,0.11,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.12,0.11,0.07,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.16,0.04,0.11,0.12,0.08,0.12,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.04,0	94.8%