NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Milwaukee Bucks	101		Excitement	5.3 [731]		MVP	Lindsey Hunter (MIL): +12.8%
Washington Wizards	95		Comeback	1.0 [1022]		LVP	Chris Whitney (WAS): -22.2%

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Lindsey Hunter	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.04,0.04,0.12,0.11,0.08,0.12,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.14	0.00	0.01	11	91%	0.19	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Glenn Robinson	0.06	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06	0.04	0.00	-0.02	18	58%	0.09	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Ray Allen	0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04	0.00	0.02	-0.01	15	56%	0.09	2	-0.05	6	100%	0.03
Scott Williams	0.00	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	-0.00	0.02	4	75%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tim Thomas	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0	0.01	-0.01	-0.00	9	61%	0.06	2	-0.05	5	80%	0.01
Ervin Johnson	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Mark Pope	-0.06	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	-0.00	3	12%	-0.06	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Sam Cassell	-0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07	-0.09	0.00	-0.02	16	41%	-0.01	3	-0.06	2	100%	0.00
Jason Caffey	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.01	-0.00	5	33%	-0.04	2	-0.04	2	0%	-0.04

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Calvin Booth	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	0.00	0.00	4	78%	0.05	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Jahidi White	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.00	0.00	2	86%	0.04	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.01
Michael Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.01	0.00	2	67%	0.02	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Gerard King	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	0.00	6	57%	0.02	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Tyrone Nesby	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Juwan Howard	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.04	-0.03	0.04	20	56%	-0.01	1	-0.03	8	87%	0.01
Felipe Lopez	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	0.00	7	29%	-0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Richard Hamilton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.03,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.09	-0.02	-0.03	18	44%	-0.07	1	-0.02	14	100%	0.07
Chris Whitney	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.17,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.15,-0.18,-0.14,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.22	-0.22	-0.09	-0.10	0.04	18	44%	-0.13	4	-0.09	3	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.8	2.6	28.2	15.8	24.4	2.5	37.5	135.8
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIL +60.2%

WAS -17.1%

MIL +11.1%

WAS -4.4%

MIL +0.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIL	WAS	NBA	MIL	WAS	NBA
this game	15.9	15.3	15.5	107.4	104.4	100.9
season	14.9	15.2		105.9	98.6
opponent	15.2	15.8		105.5	102.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIL	16.1	13.9	20.7	14.0	15.9
WAS	14.5	15.5	17.2	14.2	15.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Glenn Robinson	72	69	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.29	4	2	2	15.8	16.2	-0.40	15.0	16.0	-1.05
Sam Cassell	71	67	0.41	0.09	0.31	0.23	6	0	6	15.9	15.8	0.06	15.0	16.1	-1.13
Ray Allen	66	64	0.40	0.10	0.29	0.28	4	2	2	15.3	17.2	-1.91	15.4	14.9	0.57
Scott Williams	46	44	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.06	11	-5	16	16.5	15.3	1.14	15.9	14.7	1.18
Mark Pope	31	29	0.29	0.21	0.08	-0.00	10	-4	14	18.8	14.4	4.38	16.9	14.5	2.41
Tim Thomas	61	60	0.22	0.28	-0.07	0.22	0	6	-6	15.8	16.0	-0.15	14.3	17.0	-2.70
Lindsey Hunter	45	46	0.19	0.31	-0.11	0.11	3	3	0	15.6	16.1	-0.52	15.8	14.6	1.20
Jason Caffey	31	30	0.13	0.37	-0.25	0.07	2	4	-2	15.0	16.3	-1.35	15.1	15.3	-0.28
Ervin Johnson	47	46	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.37	-10	16	-26	15.2	16.5	-1.32	14.9	15.6	-0.64

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tyrone Nesby	9	8	-0.03	-0.47	0.45	0.00	-1	-5	4	16.4	15.1	1.32	11.1	16.3	-5.19
Jahidi White	32	30	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.16	3	-9	12	14.2	15.8	-1.69	16.3	15.7	0.58
Gerard King	70	72	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	-0.35	5	-11	16	15.0	16.1	-1.16	16.6	13.6	2.98
Calvin Booth	30	33	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.03	-7	1	-8	14.9	15.4	-0.53	16.9	15.3	1.55
Michael Smith	43	45	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.15	-5	-1	-4	15.5	15.0	0.53	14.1	17.5	-3.34
Felipe Lopez	27	28	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	0.01	-11	5	-16	16.6	14.7	1.91	14.3	16.5	-2.21
Juwan Howard	85	89	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.34	-3	-3	0	15.4	13.5	1.88	15.9	16.2	-0.35
Chris Whitney	83	85	-0.45	-0.05	-0.41	-0.28	-6	0	-6	15.1	16.9	-1.78	15.9	15.7	0.23
Richard Hamilton	76	80	-0.46	-0.04	-0.43	-0.32	-5	-1	-4	15.4	14.7	0.62	16.7	11.3	5.39

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.46,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.45,0.41,0.45,0.42,0.43,0.47,0.4,0.42,0.33,0.37,0.34,0.34,0.31,0.33,0.28,0.33,0.27,0.24,0.14,0.11,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.12,0.11,0.07,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.16,0.04,0.11,0.12,0.08,0.12,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.04,0
Game		Similarity Score
WAS 101, ATL 90	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.5,0.46,0.41,0.36,0.37,0.35,0.42,0.4,0.43,0.42,0.4,0.4,0.35,0.34,0.36,0.39,0.31,0.36,0.27,0.3,0.2,0.24,0.12,0.1,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.12,0.08,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.03,0.01,0,0	95.5%
UTA 83, MIA 73	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.41,0.47,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.46,0.43,0.4,0.47,0.38,0.33,0.33,0.39,0.39,0.31,0.28,0.21,0.27,0.25,0.19,0.16,0.17,0.17,0.27,0.23,0.14,0.16,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.15,0.13,0.15,0.11,0.07,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0	95.2%
CHA 110, PHI 93	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.44,0.46,0.47,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.4,0.4,0.47,0.4,0.4,0.33,0.35,0.32,0.25,0.27,0.26,0.39,0.39,0.27,0.19,0.14,0.08,0.1,0.12,0.11,0.15,0.08,0.07,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.1%