NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	92		Excitement	5.2 [800]		MVP	Anthony Carter (NYK): +13.1%
Atlanta Hawks	79		Comeback	2.0 [344]		LVP	Al Horford (ATL): -17.6%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Anthony Carter	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.06	0.07	-0.00	5	100%	0.20	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Amar'e Stoudemire	0.08	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.06	0.05	0.03	20	57%	0.12	2	-0.04	6	100%	0.05
Landry Fields	0.06	0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.08	0.00	0.03	11	62%	0.06	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Shawne Williams	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.08	0.02	0.04	8	75%	0.08	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Roger Mason Jr.	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.02	0.01	5	50%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shelden Williams	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Toney Douglas	-0.03	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	9	50%	-0.01	2	-0.02	2	50%	0.00
Jared Jeffries	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Carmelo Anthony	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.03,-0.12,-0.08,-0.11,-0.16,-0.16,-0.19,-0.18,-0.18,-0.15,-0.17,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.19,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.19	-0.04	-0.08	18	34%	-0.01	5	-0.13	5	40%	-0.02

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jamal Crawford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.04	0.04	-0.03	13	50%	0.09	4	-0.06	2	100%	0.02
Damien Wilkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Zaza Pachulia	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Hilton Armstrong	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	0.00	0	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Jeff Teague	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	4	44%	0.02	1	-0.04	1	0%	-0.01
Marvin Williams	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.01	0.01	7	44%	0.01	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.02
Kirk Hinrich	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.09	-0.06	0.07	9	83%	0.05	2	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Joe Johnson	0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	15	47%	0.02	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Josh Smith	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.05	-0.02	0.01	17	50%	0.06	4	-0.13	0	0%	0.00
Al Horford	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.18	-0.12	-0.05	0.01	8	25%	-0.10	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.5	3.0	31.0	18.5	24.2	2.8	30.0	138.0
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +25.6%

NYK +4.6%

NYK +2.2%

NYK +24.1%

ATL -6.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	ATL	NBA	NYK	ATL	NBA
this game	15.9	16.6	15.5	104.5	88.8	105.7
season	14.3	16.5		108.6	104.0
opponent	15.5	15.5		105.1	108.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	14.5	16.4	15.7	17.2	15.9
ATL	16.8	17.9	15.7	16.3	16.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Roger Mason Jr.	46	48	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.09	15	-2	17	15.5	16.3	-0.77	16.5	16.8	-0.37
Shawne Williams	51	52	0.50	0.00	0.49	0.17	11	2	9	16.3	15.4	0.82	16.1	17.4	-1.28
Toney Douglas	60	61	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.04	12	1	11	15.7	16.3	-0.60	17.0	15.9	1.13
Landry Fields	73	72	0.35	0.15	0.19	0.11	8	5	3	15.8	16.3	-0.43	16.8	15.8	1.07
Jared Jeffries	48	49	0.35	0.15	0.19	0.02	11	2	9	15.2	16.8	-1.63	17.0	16.1	0.92
Amar'e Stoudemire	73	72	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.02	7	6	1	16.0	15.4	0.61	17.2	14.0	3.25
Carmelo Anthony	55	57	0.21	0.29	-0.09	0.06	5	8	-3	16.3	15.2	1.07	16.6	16.7	-0.04
Anthony Carter	28	28	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.08	1	12	-11	16.3	15.7	0.60	15.9	17.0	-1.13
Shelden Williams	6	6	-0.15	0.65	-0.80	-0.00	-5	18	-23	17.7	15.8	1.89	9.5	17.1	-7.64

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Damien Wilkins	23	23	0.01	-0.51	0.52	-0.08	3	-16	19	15.2	17.1	-1.90	16.0	15.9	0.12
Zaza Pachulia	2	3	-0.04	-0.47	0.43	0.02	-2	-11	9	22.0	16.5	5.49	13.0	16.0	-3.01
Joe Johnson	66	65	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.02	-4	-9	5	16.8	16.2	0.56	16.5	14.2	2.35
Josh Smith	67	67	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.10	-4	-9	5	17.0	15.6	1.32	15.5	17.2	-1.68
Jeff Teague	23	21	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.02	-7	-6	-1	16.6	16.7	-0.09	14.0	16.5	-2.51
Hilton Armstrong	20	20	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	-0.10	-6	-7	1	16.1	16.8	-0.62	16.9	15.6	1.35
Marvin Williams	58	57	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	-0.00	-11	-2	-9	16.8	16.3	0.52	14.9	17.7	-2.83
Jamal Crawford	51	49	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.14	-8	-5	-3	16.0	17.5	-1.47	16.6	15.0	1.63
Kirk Hinrich	61	63	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.10	-12	-1	-11	16.9	16.1	0.71	16.1	15.4	0.66
Al Horford	74	72	-0.46	-0.04	-0.43	-0.05	-14	1	-15	16.8	16.0	0.76	16.2	14.5	1.72

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.42,0.4,0.37,0.4,0.4,0.37,0.39,0.4,0.37,0.36,0.37,0.36,0.38,0.4,0.4,0.44,0.46,0.39,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.39,0.49,0.55,0.6,0.66,0.58,0.58,0.55,0.48,0.48,0.56,0.48,0.4,0.26,0.3,0.34,0.33,0.15,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 92, GSW 74	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.43,0.38,0.33,0.31,0.35,0.33,0.34,0.38,0.38,0.34,0.3,0.29,0.4,0.38,0.4,0.37,0.37,0.46,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.51,0.5,0.6,0.6,0.51,0.61,0.55,0.47,0.48,0.45,0.48,0.56,0.4,0.34,0.26,0.21,0.25,0.19,0.2,0.09,0.02,0,0,0,0,0	94.1%
MIL 98, POR 92	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.41,0.47,0.42,0.35,0.4,0.37,0.4,0.38,0.36,0.34,0.35,0.3,0.34,0.36,0.42,0.44,0.39,0.4,0.39,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.5,0.49,0.55,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.45,0.44,0.48,0.4,0.3,0.22,0.21,0.17,0.19,0.06,0.09,0.03,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.04,0	93.8%
WAS 100, CLE 91	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.46,0.47,0.39,0.4,0.38,0.43,0.41,0.38,0.36,0.42,0.4,0.45,0.44,0.45,0.42,0.4,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.57,0.58,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.37,0.29,0.28,0.3,0.34,0.18,0.21,0.16,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.02,0,0	93.2%