NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Minnesota Timberwolves	92		Excitement	6.1 [588]		MVP	Kevin Garnett (MIN): +14.0%
Golden State Warriors	74		Comeback	1.9 [325]		LVP	Speedy Claxton (GSW): -18.0%

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevin Garnett	0.14	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.11,0.1,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.15	0.02	0.04	15	81%	0.22	2	-0.08	6	83%	0.00
Wally Szczerbiak	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.04	0.05	-0.01	10	50%	0.08	2	-0.06	4	75%	0.01
Sam Cassell	0.02	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.05,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.01	0.02	-0.01	18	50%	0.08	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Ervin Johnson	0.02	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gary Trent	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Fred Hoiberg	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	2	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Trenton Hassell	-0.02	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.01	-0.02	0.01	6	50%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Oliver Miller	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darrick Martin	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	5	33%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Latrell Sprewell	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.02	-0.03	15	34%	-0.06	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Michael Olowokandi	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.13	-0.04	-0.02	5	20%	-0.04	4	-0.11	0	0%	0.00
Mark Madsen	-0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.13	-0.05	-0.00	5	21%	-0.10	2	-0.07	4	25%	-0.06

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Adonal Foyle	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.04	-0.01	-0.04	14	62%	0.11	2	-0.04	4	50%	-0.03
Troy Murphy	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.05	-0.01	0.00	10	71%	0.10	2	-0.06	8	100%	0.05
Calbert Cheaney	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brian Cardinal	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.07	-0.04	0.00	6	40%	-0.04	2	-0.07	3	67%	-0.01
Mickael Pietrus	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.10	-0.03	-0.02	3	12%	-0.05	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
Mike Dunleavy	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.14	-0.03	-0.05	7	24%	-0.07	3	-0.05	3	67%	-0.00
Clifford Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.13	-0.02	-0.03	8	12%	-0.10	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jason Richardson	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.11,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.14	-0.03	-0.01	14	34%	-0.08	3	-0.08	4	75%	-0.01
Speedy Claxton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.18	-0.13	-0.06	-0.01	11	31%	-0.13	2	-0.05	4	50%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.3	1.7	34.2	16.4	27.0	1.8	27.2	131.5
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIN +32.0%

MIN +5.9%

MIN +2.2%

MIN +11.2%

GSW -1.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIN	GSW	NBA	MIN	GSW	NBA
this game	14.6	16.1	15.7	98.9	78.7	100.5
season	15.6	16.1		103.2	100.8
opponent	15.3	16.1		101.6	98.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIN	13.7	13.2	13.5	19.4	14.6
GSW	18.2	15.1	14.2	17.6	16.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Sam Cassell	67	69	0.64	-0.14	0.77	-0.10	25	-7	32	15.6	12.2	3.40	16.8	14.4	2.38
Michael Olowokandi	47	49	0.50	-0.00	0.51	-0.08	20	-2	22	15.2	14.1	1.15	16.0	16.3	-0.31
Wally Szczerbiak	51	53	0.50	-0.00	0.51	0.03	16	2	14	15.2	13.9	1.31	15.5	17.0	-1.47
Latrell Sprewell	77	76	0.40	0.10	0.30	-0.19	20	-2	22	13.5	19.9	-6.39	16.1	16.3	-0.16
Kevin Garnett	70	70	0.33	0.17	0.15	-0.20	18	0	18	14.6	14.7	-0.07	16.8	14.4	2.38
Mark Madsen	23	22	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.10	2	16	-14	13.8	14.9	-1.09	15.6	16.3	-0.73
Fred Hoiberg	17	19	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.17	-2	20	-22	18.8	13.7	5.04	15.6	16.3	-0.65
Ervin Johnson	26	26	0.08	0.42	-0.34	-0.04	4	14	-10	15.7	14.3	1.40	17.3	15.7	1.55
Trenton Hassell	45	44	0.00	0.50	-0.49	-0.03	1	17	-16	13.4	15.8	-2.33	16.7	15.6	1.09
Gary Trent	1	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	18	-18	41.0	14.4	26.64	11.5	16.2	-4.75
Oliver Miller	15	15	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	0.12	-7	25	-32	13.3	14.9	-1.64	14.7	16.4	-1.76
Darrick Martin	26	25	-0.14	0.64	-0.77	0.07	-7	25	-32	12.2	15.6	-3.40	14.4	16.8	-2.38

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brian Cardinal	39	40	-0.08	-0.42	0.35	-0.19	4	-22	26	14.6	17.2	-2.58	13.3	15.6	-2.32
Speedy Claxton	69	68	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	-0.18	1	-19	20	15.7	17.5	-1.87	13.8	17.0	-3.22
Mickael Pietrus	21	21	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	0.23	-14	-4	-10	16.6	16.0	0.61	16.9	14.0	2.86
Troy Murphy	51	49	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.22	1	-19	20	15.1	17.4	-2.25	15.0	14.3	0.66
Mike Dunleavy	44	43	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	0.24	-16	-2	-14	16.4	15.9	0.53	15.7	13.7	1.96
Adonal Foyle	83	80	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	0.06	-11	-7	-4	16.7	11.9	4.80	15.2	11.0	4.24
Calbert Cheaney	38	38	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.19	-8	-10	2	16.4	16.0	0.41	14.5	14.7	-0.20
Jason Richardson	73	72	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	0.16	-22	4	-26	16.9	13.4	3.56	14.7	14.6	0.03
Clifford Robinson	52	54	-0.51	0.01	-0.51	0.23	-25	7	-32	16.3	15.9	0.40	13.9	15.6	-1.72

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.43,0.38,0.33,0.31,0.35,0.33,0.34,0.38,0.38,0.34,0.3,0.29,0.4,0.38,0.4,0.37,0.37,0.46,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.51,0.5,0.6,0.6,0.51,0.61,0.55,0.47,0.48,0.45,0.48,0.56,0.4,0.34,0.26,0.21,0.25,0.19,0.2,0.09,0.02,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIL 98, POR 92	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.41,0.47,0.42,0.35,0.4,0.37,0.4,0.38,0.36,0.34,0.35,0.3,0.34,0.36,0.42,0.44,0.39,0.4,0.39,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.5,0.49,0.55,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.45,0.44,0.48,0.4,0.3,0.22,0.21,0.17,0.19,0.06,0.09,0.03,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.04,0	94.5%
NYK 92, ATL 79	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.42,0.4,0.37,0.4,0.4,0.37,0.39,0.4,0.37,0.36,0.37,0.36,0.38,0.4,0.4,0.44,0.46,0.39,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.39,0.49,0.55,0.6,0.66,0.58,0.58,0.55,0.48,0.48,0.56,0.48,0.4,0.26,0.3,0.34,0.33,0.15,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.1%
NYK 102, MIN 94	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.55,0.48,0.41,0.38,0.37,0.32,0.28,0.28,0.32,0.34,0.35,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.38,0.35,0.32,0.34,0.44,0.44,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.63,0.61,0.61,0.58,0.55,0.41,0.48,0.44,0.4,0.36,0.3,0.3,0.15,0.14,0.09,0.08,0.12,0.1,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.01,0	93.6%