NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	102		Excitement	6.5 [511]		MVP	Craig Smith (MIN): +12.2%
Minnesota Timberwolves	94		Comeback	1.9 [755]		LVP	Mike Miller (MIN): -17.1%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Wilson Chandler	0.11	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.07	0.04	0.01	16	62%	0.19	3	-0.08	7	86%	0.01
Al Harrington	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	9	57%	0.07	3	-0.06	3	67%	-0.01
Jared Jeffries	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.02	0.01	-0.01	7	40%	0.01	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.02
Quentin Richardson	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	0.00	6	43%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Nate Robinson	0.00	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0	-0.00	0.03	0.02	15	53%	0.10	4	-0.10	17	82%	0.03
David Lee	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	14	43%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Danilo Gallinari	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	5	30%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Larry Hughes	-0.12	0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.08	-0.03	0.01	15	37%	-0.07	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Craig Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.11	0.03	0.02	6	78%	0.12	0	0.00	6	100%	0.03
Ryan Gomes	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.09	0.02	-0.00	21	58%	0.15	2	-0.05	6	83%	0.01
Mark Madsen	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shelden Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	3	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bobby Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	6	33%	-0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Sebastian Telfair	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.02	-0.05	0.01	20	52%	0.02	4	-0.10	2	100%	0.02
Brian Cardinal	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.05	-0.05	0.00	9	33%	-0.07	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Love	0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.10	-0.04	0.00	7	33%	-0.06	3	-0.09	4	50%	-0.03
Mike Miller	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.10	-0.06	0.01	8	52%	-0.01	6	-0.16	7	71%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.2	2.5	31.5	15.3	29.5	3.3	35.6	139.0
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +8.1%

NYK +9.2%

NYK +12.3%

NYK +21.9%

MIN -1.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	MIN	NBA	NYK	MIN	NBA
this game	12.1	16.2	15.5	98.1	94.0	106.4
season	13.8	15.8		106.2	104.3
opponent	15.1	15.5		109.2	109.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	10.5	12.1	12.2	14.0	12.1
MIN	16.2	16.4	16.2	16.0	16.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
David Lee	91	89	0.49	0.01	0.49	0.29	7	1	6	12.1	12.5	-0.46	15.7	19.7	-3.99
Nate Robinson	84	81	0.47	0.03	0.45	0.03	15	-7	22	12.1	12.1	0.04	15.4	19.5	-4.13
Wilson Chandler	90	87	0.47	0.03	0.43	0.17	10	-2	12	12.3	11.4	0.90	16.1	16.6	-0.50
Quentin Richardson	50	47	0.44	0.06	0.37	0.29	5	3	2	11.9	12.3	-0.41	18.5	14.1	4.36
Jared Jeffries	49	46	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.34	2	6	-4	13.2	11.2	2.02	17.0	15.4	1.60
Larry Hughes	78	75	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.20	2	6	-4	12.1	12.4	-0.33	15.7	17.7	-2.00
Al Harrington	54	52	0.10	0.40	-0.29	-0.10	7	1	6	11.3	13.0	-1.71	15.3	17.1	-1.86
Danilo Gallinari	24	23	-0.13	0.63	-0.77	0.10	-8	16	-24	12.2	12.1	0.15	18.1	15.6	2.48

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mark Madsen	11	11	0.04	-0.54	0.57	-0.08	4	-12	16	16.9	16.1	0.82	12.1	12.1	-0.05
Bobby Brown	17	19	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.04	1	-9	10	19.8	15.4	4.32	12.3	12.1	0.22
Shelden Williams	27	27	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	-0.20	2	-10	12	15.0	16.6	-1.62	11.9	12.2	-0.33
Craig Smith	53	54	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.03	-6	-2	-4	15.9	16.5	-0.58	11.6	12.7	-1.09
Brian Cardinal	70	73	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	-0.44	2	-10	12	16.7	14.9	1.88	12.8	10.5	2.26
Ryan Gomes	82	88	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.19	-7	-1	-6	16.2	15.9	0.29	12.3	11.1	1.27
Kevin Love	57	59	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	0.15	-19	11	-30	16.1	16.3	-0.21	11.6	12.8	-1.21
Mike Miller	92	96	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.31	-5	-3	-2	15.7	21.5	-5.78	12.0	13.6	-1.61
Sebastian Telfair	91	93	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	-0.19	-12	4	-16	16.0	18.2	-2.24	12.2	11.4	0.86

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.55,0.48,0.41,0.38,0.37,0.32,0.28,0.28,0.32,0.34,0.35,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.38,0.35,0.32,0.34,0.44,0.44,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.63,0.61,0.61,0.58,0.55,0.41,0.48,0.44,0.4,0.36,0.3,0.3,0.15,0.14,0.09,0.08,0.12,0.1,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.01,0
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 104, PHX 92	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.46,0.43,0.36,0.32,0.29,0.29,0.28,0.29,0.29,0.32,0.36,0.36,0.33,0.4,0.42,0.34,0.39,0.44,0.46,0.51,0.56,0.5,0.61,0.6,0.64,0.61,0.55,0.62,0.48,0.52,0.56,0.48,0.4,0.3,0.26,0.14,0.11,0.12,0.26,0.24,0.1,0.1,0.05,0,0,0	94.8%
LAL 122, WAS 107	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.52,0.53,0.46,0.4,0.4,0.33,0.32,0.31,0.34,0.36,0.35,0.42,0.34,0.4,0.47,0.44,0.41,0.36,0.39,0.44,0.42,0.36,0.5,0.46,0.58,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.45,0.41,0.37,0.3,0.25,0.26,0.3,0.21,0.2,0.15,0.08,0.05,0.07,0.03,0.01,0,0,0	94.7%
DAL 95, MIN 85	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.48,0.43,0.35,0.37,0.39,0.3,0.33,0.34,0.32,0.28,0.28,0.29,0.31,0.38,0.33,0.35,0.29,0.39,0.46,0.51,0.49,0.42,0.42,0.51,0.58,0.58,0.45,0.42,0.45,0.41,0.37,0.3,0.28,0.38,0.38,0.21,0.14,0.07,0.08,0.09,0.1,0.03,0.07,0.06,0.04,0	94.3%