NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Dallas Mavericks	95		Excitement	5.7 [684]		MVP	Gerald Green (DAL): +13.0%
Minnesota Timberwolves	85		Comeback	1.6 [818]		LVP	Josh Howard (DAL): -17.1%

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Gerald Green	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.06	0.07	0.00	5	90%	0.15	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Erick Dampier	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.05	0.01	-0.04	5	64%	0.09	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Jason Terry	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.03	0.04	0.00	14	56%	0.11	2	-0.04	6	83%	0.00
Dirk Nowitzki	0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.06,0.07	0.06	0.03	0.02	17	52%	0.10	1	-0.03	6	67%	-0.02
DeSagana Diop	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.00	0.00	-0.02	2	50%	0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Jose Juan Barea	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	-0.00	3	83%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Bass	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.02	0.03	-0.00	6	43%	0.03	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.02
Jason Kidd	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	11	39%	-0.01	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Jerry Stackhouse	-0.07	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.02	-0.01	5	20%	-0.06	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Josh Howard	-0.17	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.16,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.07	-0.06	0.05	15	44%	-0.09	3	-0.08	2	100%	0.01

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rashad McCants	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.07	0.02	-0.00	8	78%	0.16	3	-0.06	7	86%	0.00
Kevin Ollie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.06	0.01	0.02	2	100%	0.09	1	-0.04	3	100%	0.02
Craig Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.02	0.00	6	50%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Love	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	-0.01	0.00	7	53%	0.04	1	-0.04	3	100%	0.01
Mike Miller	0,0,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	-0.01	-0.01	11	50%	0.03	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.02
Rodney Carney	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ryan Gomes	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	-0.02	-0.01	10	30%	-0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Corey Brewer	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.07	-0.07	0.01	6	33%	-0.07	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Randy Foye	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15	-0.15	-0.11	-0.05	-0.01	14	27%	-0.13	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Al Jefferson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.10	-0.06	-0.00	15	40%	-0.03	4	-0.13	5	80%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.1	2.3	28.6	15.4	24.2	1.8	33.3	130.8
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DAL +43.7%

MIN -9.4%

MIN -2.4%

DAL +20.4%

MIN -2.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DAL	MIN	NBA	DAL	MIN	NBA
this game	16.0	14.8	15.5	101.1	91.4	106.4
season	15.6	15.8		108.9	104.3
opponent	15.1	15.4		109.2	107.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DAL	14.8	15.7	16.6	17.0	16.0
MIN	14.6	16.3	14.0	14.3	14.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
DeSagana Diop	55	54	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.22	10	0	10	16.1	15.8	0.28	14.6	15.0	-0.37
Jason Terry	60	61	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.25	5	5	0	16.6	14.9	1.77	14.7	14.9	-0.18
Gerald Green	31	31	0.39	0.11	0.27	0.15	8	2	6	15.2	16.4	-1.27	16.6	13.9	2.79
Brandon Bass	29	30	0.29	0.21	0.09	0.12	6	4	2	16.2	15.9	0.23	15.5	14.4	1.06
Jason Kidd	64	61	0.29	0.21	0.07	-0.04	11	-1	12	15.8	16.4	-0.52	14.9	14.6	0.34
Jose Juan Barea	30	32	0.21	0.29	-0.07	0.24	-1	11	-12	16.4	15.8	0.52	14.6	14.9	-0.34
Dirk Nowitzki	65	62	0.21	0.29	-0.09	0.09	4	6	-2	15.9	16.2	-0.23	14.6	15.2	-0.66
Josh Howard	72	71	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.08	4	6	-2	15.9	16.4	-0.46	14.4	16.0	-1.53
Jerry Stackhouse	25	24	0.02	0.48	-0.45	-0.06	3	7	-4	15.8	16.1	-0.23	13.3	15.3	-2.01
Erick Dampier	39	39	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	-0.01	0	10	-10	15.8	16.1	-0.28	15.0	14.6	0.37

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Randy Foye	61	62	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.17	5	-15	20	14.9	14.6	0.29	16.5	15.0	1.53
Al Jefferson	71	72	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.08	-3	-7	4	14.2	16.6	-2.37	15.8	16.6	-0.82
Rashad McCants	52	54	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.29	4	-14	18	14.3	15.4	-1.08	15.8	16.3	-0.55
Kevin Love	42	43	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.21	0	-10	10	15.8	14.0	1.82	16.2	15.8	0.41
Ryan Gomes	46	46	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	-0.05	-6	-4	-2	13.9	15.6	-1.68	16.1	16.0	0.11
Corey Brewer	48	48	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	0.02	-10	0	-10	14.3	15.3	-1.02	15.7	16.3	-0.62
Craig Smith	27	27	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	-0.07	-11	1	-12	16.1	14.2	1.92	16.1	16.0	0.09
Mike Miller	79	80	-0.50	-0.00	-0.50	-0.15	-12	2	-14	15.0	13.4	1.60	16.2	15.1	1.02
Kevin Ollie	39	38	-0.55	0.05	-0.60	-0.05	-17	7	-24	15.4	14.4	1.03	15.6	16.3	-0.77

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.48,0.43,0.35,0.37,0.39,0.3,0.33,0.34,0.32,0.28,0.28,0.29,0.31,0.38,0.33,0.35,0.29,0.39,0.46,0.51,0.49,0.42,0.42,0.51,0.58,0.58,0.45,0.42,0.45,0.41,0.37,0.3,0.28,0.38,0.38,0.21,0.14,0.07,0.08,0.09,0.1,0.03,0.07,0.06,0.04,0
Game		Similarity Score
NYK 102, MIN 94	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.55,0.48,0.41,0.38,0.37,0.32,0.28,0.28,0.32,0.34,0.35,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.38,0.35,0.32,0.34,0.44,0.44,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.63,0.61,0.61,0.58,0.55,0.41,0.48,0.44,0.4,0.36,0.3,0.3,0.15,0.14,0.09,0.08,0.12,0.1,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.01,0	94.3%
LAL 122, WAS 107	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.52,0.53,0.46,0.4,0.4,0.33,0.32,0.31,0.34,0.36,0.35,0.42,0.34,0.4,0.47,0.44,0.41,0.36,0.39,0.44,0.42,0.36,0.5,0.46,0.58,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.45,0.41,0.37,0.3,0.25,0.26,0.3,0.21,0.2,0.15,0.08,0.05,0.07,0.03,0.01,0,0,0	93.8%
SAC 99, NOP 89	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.42,0.37,0.32,0.25,0.28,0.33,0.29,0.27,0.28,0.22,0.26,0.32,0.42,0.37,0.3,0.32,0.39,0.44,0.42,0.49,0.5,0.46,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.36,0.32,0.29,0.25,0.37,0.26,0.21,0.3,0.22,0.18,0.14,0.19,0.13,0.15,0.07,0,0,0,0,0	93.5%