inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Phoenix Suns 103 Excitement3.0 [1208] MVPKevin Garnett (BOS): +10.7%
Boston Celtics 115 Comeback1.2 [1141] LVPGrant Hill (PHX): -7.8%


Phoenix Suns
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Marcin Gortat0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.06-0.000.01859%0.0400.00683%0.01
Vince Carter0.030,0,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.060.000.04961%0.0300.0000%0.00
Aaron Brooks0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.11-0.000.087100%0.083-0.063100%0.00
Channing Frye-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.000.01440%-0.0100.002100%0.01
Robin Lopez-0.020,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.030.00-0.02833%-0.0200.002100%0.00
Hakim Warrick-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.000.000.02547%-0.021-0.00560%-0.00
Steve Nash-0.020,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.020.000.00753%0.012-0.031100%0.00
Mickael Pietrus-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.00-0.010.02855%-0.012-0.03475%-0.00
Jared Dudley-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.030.060.000.09862%-0.011-0.02862%-0.01
Grant Hill-0.080,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.04-0.010.031339%-0.061-0.02250%-0.01

Boston Celtics
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Kevin Garnett0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.110.110.18-0.000.071487%0.153-0.044100%0.01
Rajon Rondo0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.090.090.010.01870%0.091-0.01757%-0.00
Glen Davis0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.03-0.030.02-0.041344%0.031-0.00667%0.01
Ray Allen0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.09-0.000.081466%0.021-0.001100%0.00
Paul Pierce0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.020.000.01967%0.033-0.03667%-0.01
Avery Bradley0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.030.00-0.03425%0.0000.0000%0.00
Jeff Green0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.01-0.00-0.01650%0.011-0.0000%0.00
Von Wafer0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.020.00-0.0010%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Nenad Krstic0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.010.00-0.001046%-0.011-0.00862%-0.02
Troy Murphy0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.050.00-0.03312%-0.0200.00250%-0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game24.92.430.415.730.62.542.4148.9
league avg26.22.430.316.427.22.433.9140.0
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
BOS +26.6%
PHX -0.7%
BOS +9.7%
BOS +10.5%
BOS +3.9%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsPHXBOSNBAPHXBOSNBA
this game14.215.215.5104.0118.6105.7
season14.515.7108.0104.8
opponent15.815.799.6109.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
PHX14.516.613.812.214.2
BOS14.914.715.016.115.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Hakim Warrick4646-0.07-0.430.36-0.5115-274213.215.0-1.8216.314.22.05
Aaron Brooks4444-0.09-0.410.32-0.4713-253812.515.5-2.9616.214.41.79
Mickael Pietrus5252-0.14-0.360.22-0.409-213013.015.5-2.5516.214.12.08
Jared Dudley5554-0.14-0.360.22-0.4611-233413.714.8-1.0516.613.53.09
Marcin Gortat6262-0.22-0.280.05-0.499-213013.914.7-0.7716.512.93.63
Robin Lopez3634-0.25-0.25-0.010.33-208-2815.113.71.4013.216.3-3.08
Vince Carter4139-0.32-0.18-0.150.35-2311-3414.913.71.1313.216.6-3.39
Steve Nash5553-0.41-0.09-0.330.29-2412-3615.512.52.9614.416.2-1.79
Grant Hill5150-0.42-0.08-0.340.26-2311-3415.113.21.9114.016.4-2.41
Channing Frye5351-0.43-0.07-0.360.36-2715-4215.013.21.8214.216.3-2.05

Boston Celtics
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Rajon Rondo80820.51-0.010.51-0.2626-144014.518.5-4.0314.313.60.66
Paul Pierce73760.480.020.46-0.2826-144014.517.4-2.9414.513.11.44
Kevin Garnett69720.430.070.36-0.2724-123613.918.4-4.4314.214.10.11
Ray Allen77790.320.180.130.0593614.019.7-5.6613.716.0-2.27
Nenad Krstic45450.290.210.07-0.1816-42014.415.9-1.5915.313.31.97
Jeff Green32310.200.30-0.100.40-719-2618.013.84.1212.914.8-1.83
Glen Davis50520.190.31-0.120.31-416-2016.214.12.1314.114.3-0.24
Troy Murphy28270.080.42-0.330.38-1022-3217.814.23.6313.314.5-1.18
Von Wafer14140.010.49-0.490.15-517-2219.314.54.7716.213.92.36
Avery Bradley1717-0.000.50-0.500.44-1527-4218.514.54.0313.614.3-0.66


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.52,0.62,0.62,0.56,0.61,0.59,0.63,0.69,0.75,0.72,0.79,0.8,0.82,0.83,0.8,0.76,0.75,0.76,0.79,0.83,0.87,0.95,0.95,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,0.99,0.96,0.96,0.95,0.94,0.89,0.98,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
POR 74, SAS 840.5,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.57,0.6,0.59,0.63,0.63,0.69,0.76,0.77,0.81,0.81,0.87,0.86,0.85,0.84,0.81,0.78,0.78,0.79,0.86,0.94,0.91,0.91,0.93,0.95,0.96,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.96,0.95,0.97,0.96,0.94,0.86,0.91,0.95,0.94,1,1,1,196.5%
PHX 101, IND 1160.5,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.5,0.56,0.58,0.57,0.59,0.57,0.63,0.71,0.75,0.77,0.76,0.76,0.75,0.75,0.8,0.82,0.75,0.8,0.84,0.83,0.92,0.94,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.5%
TOR 102, GSW 1060.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.61,0.52,0.53,0.57,0.57,0.57,0.66,0.7,0.72,0.74,0.76,0.8,0.79,0.76,0.74,0.77,0.8,0.78,0.82,0.89,0.91,0.92,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,0.98,0.97,0.97,1,0.99,0.96,196.5%